In my IRA, STO May 26, 75 put @ .80 cents which will replace the 70 and 75 puts that will expire today.
Monthly Archives: April 2017
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – since…
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – since my scalp trades for this week (22/22.5/23) seem to be working and should expire in a few hours, I’m putting on one for next week.
Sold UVXY Apr 28 2017 33.0 Calls @ 0.27 with the stock at 19.40
edit: Added UVXY Apr 28 2017 34.0 Calls @ 0.27
STO EXPE next week 125…
STO EXPE next week 125 puts at 1.55. Earnings next week but good support at 125 in the big IRA account.
STO 2 IWM next week 135 puts at .80 in the smaller IRA.
#SVXY #volatility Roll Apr 21…
#SVXY #volatility
Roll Apr 21 $110 put to Apr 28 $110 put for $1.80 when stock at $126.72
$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – This…
$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – This account has 300 shares long with a basis around 9.00.
Not wanting to be left with a odd number of shares after the reverse split, I’ve rolled down my Apr 21 2017 10.5 Calls to Apr 28 2017 10.0 Calls for a 0.57 Credit with the stock at 9.97
I’m hoping they take the stock next Friday while I make an extra 5% in 7 days.
$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – Rolled…
$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – Rolled out 1 SVXY April 21 105.0 Put out 1 week for a 1.23 Credit
$UVXY #ShortCalls – Sold UVXY…
$UVXY #ShortCalls – Sold UVXY May 26 2017 42.0 Calls @ 0.89. Top of the chain with the stock at 19.62
$SVXY #ShortPuts – a little…
$SVXY #ShortPuts – a little more risk, but paired with short ITM calls or Short Stock or both
Sold SVXY Apr 28 2017 107.0 Puts @ 1.48 – only a week out and 20 points OTM
Sold SVXY May 5 2017 97.0 Puts @ 1.21 – only 2 weeks out and 30 points OTM
#REVERSE SPLITS: After close of…
$UVXY #CoveredCall #IRA – Rolled…
$UVXY #CoveredCalls #IRA – Rolled up my UVXY Apr 23.0 Call one week and up to 24.0 for an 0.80 Credit
#FallingKnife stocks today – $COP
#FallingKnife stocks today – $COP $MUR
ISRG
#Earnings #ShortStrangles – Could let this thing go at breakeven today but….it’s brought in nice premium so I’m gonna give it another week and try to get one side to expire then work with the other side for awhile.
Rolled 815/800 inverted strangle out to next week’s 817.5/815 inverted @ .20 credit.
New position is now 817.5/815 inverted @ 15.33
I’d prefer the call side to expire since the put should be easier to roll. Another option would be to roll whatever side is left out to a new, wider strangle.
Closing out the call spreads…
Closing out the call spreads (90/92.5 and 92.5/95) on my WDC laddered jade lizards with earnings coming up. I don’t mind being assigned on the downside if it drops below 75, but with a new price target of 116 don’t want to see a nice profit turn into a loss. I can close 1 at even, 1 for a slight loss, and 1 for a slight profit so basically a scratched trade. May re-ladder after earnings.
IRA selling some IWM puts that expire next week, 2 strikes OTM.
In the big IRA account will do the same with SPY.
$UVXY #CoveredCall #IRA – Rolled…
$UVXY #CoveredCall #IRA – Rolled forward my UVXY Apr 23.0 Call one week for an 0.88 Credit
$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple…
$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple of small trades to begin replacing positions expiring today.
Sold 1 SVXY May 19 2017 85.0 Put @ 1.28
Sold 1 SVXY May 26 2017 85.0 Put @ 1.45
Ongoing weekly experiment. I had…
Ongoing weekly experiment. I had not thought much about low value options, and typically would not sell options if they were less than $0.25. But one of the things I have already learned in the income blueprint is that a $0.40 option sold every week for a year (52 weeks) is $2080. On a 5000 account that is almost a 50% annual return. Food for thought on IRA or smaller accounts.
$VIX – http://www.businessinsider.com/mystery-trader-50-cent-cant-stop-betting-on-a-stock-market-shock-2017-4?r=UK&IR=T
$VIX – http://www.businessinsider.com/mystery-trader-50-cent-cant-stop-betting-on-a-stock-market-shock-2017-4?r=UK&IR=T
SPX Campaign Earnings Iron Condor BUPS and Closing Early (aka potpourri)
#ironcondor
$FDX STO 5/19 175/180/200/195 Iron Condor @ 1.40 (Forexpro at OMM)
#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 4/26 2410/2385 BECS @ 1.90 Thank you @jeffcp66
#bups
$GOOGL STO 5/19 825/835 BUPS @ 2.40 (OMM)
$GS STO 5/19 195/205 BUPS @ .75 (SUZ @ OMM)
Closed Early
$NVDA BTC 4/21 95/105 BUPS @ 31% profit (probably should have waited)
$NFLX BTC 4/21 135 put @ .15 91% profit Earnings trade
$USCR BTC 4/21 55/60 BUPS @ 80% profit
$MRO ShortCalls – Bought to…
$MRO ShortCalls – Bought to close MRO JUL 21 2017 25.0 Calls @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower and don’t expire for 3 months.
Originally sold on 12/01/16 @ 0.87
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close URI Apr 21 2017 105.0 Puts @ 0.05. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.
FXE
A new ticker I’m adding. Super low margin with decent liquidity and premium…
Sold FXE MAY 19 2017 101.0/107.0 Strangles @ 1.02
Joining TLT, GLD, EWW in my #PerpetualRollingStrangles experiment…
IBB adjustment
#ShortStrangles – Rolled this week’s 295 put out to May monthly @ 3.00 credit. Sold against a 300 call…
Position now 295/300 strangle @ 8.65
#earningstraderepair IBM Iron fly on…
#earningstraderepair IBM
Iron fly on IBM didn’t work (neither did GS) was able to roll 167.50/170 put spread to May 19 160/165 for a credit of .40.
#earnings Tonight After the bell:…
#earnings
Tonight After the bell: V
Tomorrow before the Bell: HON, SLB, KSU, GE
Anyone???
#shortputspread LULU Closed May 19…
#shortputspread LULU
Closed May 19 50/45, made about .60 on it, almost in the black on an earnings trade gone wrong
A couple of trades this morning.
#CreditSpread #BuPS #IronCondors
STO May 19 NFLX 135/125 BuPS for $1.60 right after the open.
STO Apr 24 SPX 2290/2285 BuPS and 2395/2390 BeCS for $0.65 when SPX was at 2346.02
#spxcampaign #ironbutterfly Followed from TT…
#spxcampaign #ironbutterfly
Followed from TT
May 12 SPX 2315/2340/2340/2365 for 22.00, profitable between 2317 and 2362
SPX trades
#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX May 18th 2415/2440 call spreads for 1.65.
Sold to Open SPX Apr 26th 2375/2400 call spreads for 2.90
Bought to close $SPXPM Apr 21st 2300/2275 put spreads for .20. Sold as part of a #CondorRoll for 4.10 on Apr 7th.
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close URI Apr 21 2017 104.0 Puts @ 0.05. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.
$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…
$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close AXP Apr 21 2017 72.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.
Earnings before Open
Alliance Data Systems (ADS) – consensus EPS $3.86
BB&T Corp. (BBT) – consensus EPS $0.73
Bank of New York (BK) – consensus EPS $0.80
Blackstone (BX) – consensus EPS $0.67
Citizens Financial Group (CFG) – consensus EPS $0.51
D. R. Horton (DHI) – consensus EPS $0.59
Danaher (DHR) – consensus EPS $0.84
Dover Corp. (DOV) – consensus EPS $0.61
Janus Capital (JNS) – consensus EPS $0.21
KeyCorp (KEY) – consensus EPS $0.28
Nucor (NUE) – consensus EPS $1.07
Quest Diagnostics (DGX) – consensus EPS $1.18
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) – consensus EPS $2.05
Travelers (TRV) – consensus EPS $2.38
Verizon Communications (VZ) – consensus EPS $0.97
Earnings After Markets Close
Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) – consensus EPS $0.32
Celestica (CLS) – consensus EPS $0.28
E*TRADE Financial (ETFC) – consensus EPS $0.39
Mattel (MAT) – consensus EPS -$0.17
NCR Corp. (NCR) – consensus EPS $0.46
Skechers USA (SKX) – consensus EPS $0.55
Visa (V) – consensus EPS $0.79
Other trades on Wednesday
#Earnings #Rolling #ITMroll #ContangoETFs #VXXGame
Bought to close $PANW Apr 21st 135 put for 25.50, to avoid early assignment.
Sold to Open PANW May 17th 135 put for 25.90
Sold to Open $DUST May 21st 35 calls for 1.40
Sold to Open $SVXY May 21st 90 puts for 1.95
$SVXY $UVXY – Prior pivot…
$SVXY $UVXY – Prior pivot points to watch for a potential breakout (prices are approximate)
$UVXY Late Feb High 23.85/ Late Mar High 20.18 (followed by new low of 15.16)/Mid Apr High 21.75
$SVXY Late Feb Low 118.40/ Late Mar Low 127(followed by new high of 146)//Mid Apr Low 120.19
So a move in UVXY above 22 would signal caution and open the door for a bigger move.
The expectation is that SVXY breaks below the 118/120 band.
For UVXY, except for 2-3 day scalping trades like I did today, I’d keep selling weeklys in the $40-42 strike area, and for longer trades I’d stay at the 60 strike.
The sweet spot for Weekly Put sales in SVXY continues to be in the 75 to 85 strike price area. Selling too close in the 90-105 area could leave you exposed to a sudden downdraft in SVXY. It has moved 10 points lower in two days 2 or 3 times since late March.
Strike prices beyond the weeklys should be in the 60’s, although they are illiquid and not very high priced. Maybe it’s better to keep the powder dry and concentrate on the weeklys 5 and 6 weeks out.
Just my humble opinion.
Now watch volatility collapse. Just what I don’t want 😉
Trade chart for Todays YM Trades
Experiment
So I usually don’t sign up for advisory services. The only ones I have ever made money with were Don Fishback and in the good old days when the VIX stayed around 18-20 was Dr. Terry Allen’s recommendations (he taught some of my friends at UVA and is how I was introduced to options) and the trading book was helpful for directional trades. I have also spent plenty of money on tools that don’t work (John Carter and others). I have found a few tools from alphashark that are useful and have paid for themselves but only if you get them on sale.
The most useful resource I have seen and is free is tastytrade. There are now education experts packaging their research and selling it when you can get it for free from them. Selling options 30-45 days out, managing winners, and rolling/adjusting losers works. Can we all have results as good as Karen the Supertrader, probably not but by staying in the game and compounding we can probably make a decent amount of money and many of us had (my new GTI was paid for with cash last year with option profits).
Anyway, my experiment was I had a special price on Options Income Blueprint, $80 for 2 months so I figured what the hell, worth a try. They do all of the above but focus on weekly options. Same benefits, quicker decay so quicker pay check hopefully. I am only 2 weeks in and have already found you get assigned a lot more because you are closer to the money or have to roll options a lot more because of the same reason. However, I am slightly profitable and as long as you roll for even or a credit do not add any additional risk to the trade. I will report back at the end of 2 months and post some of my trades. If it works may be able to get quicker time decay and is another tool for generating income.
Glad I was referred to options bistro, I have already had a lot of good ideas and like the way everyone trades!
Now maybe we get some more volatility!?
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – two…
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – two more trades with the stock at 20
Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.5 Calls @ 0.26
Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 23.0 Calls @ 0.22
Very slight backwardation in the VIX futures
http://vixcentral.com/
NIB
#FallingKnife – 10 year low…anyone like hot chocolate?
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold…
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold URI Apr 21 2017 104.0 Puts @ 0.30 with the stock at 119.26
$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold…
$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold AXP Apr 21 2017 72.0 Puts @ 0.29 with the stock at 75.69
$UVXY #CoveredCall #Rollout – Rolled…
$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollout – Rolled 1 UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.5 Call out one more week for 1.04 Credit.
Better than the 0.80 credit I got last week
GOOGL adjustment
#LongCallDiagonals – Earnings next week so rolling this thing up to at the money. Paying a small debit but that’s ok since this short call has accumulated 13.00 in premium so far.
Rolled Apr 21st 840.0 call to Apr 28th 855.0 @ .75 debit
This thing has to level off at some point where the rolls can catch up. In the meantime 2019 long call/Bups working nicely.
SPX Campaign
#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 5/12 2135/2195 BUPS @ 2.00
$QCOM #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold QCOM…
$QCOM #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold QCOM APR 21 2017 49.0 Puts @ 0.29 with the stock at 52.33
SPX
The 20day MA has crossed below the 50 day MA and the RSI does not look good either. Time to be careful.
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold URI…
$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold URI APR 21 2017 105.0 Puts @ 0.35 with the stock at 119.59
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation- Sold UVXY…
$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation- Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.0 Calls @ 0.26
The 2 week high on the stock is 21.75 and they can always be rolled.
$TSO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Thanks…
$TSO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Thanks @hcgdavis for pointing this one out
Sold 1 TSO Jun 2 2017 68.5 Put @ 1.09
Sold 1 TSO Aug 18 2017 65.0 Put @ 65.0 Put @ 1.72
$NUGT #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – Selling…
$NUGT #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – Selling more to force DUST up 🙂
Sold NUGT Jun 2 2017 7.5 Puts @ 0.49
Sold NUGT Jun 2 2017 7.0 Puts @ 0.36
SVXY
In my IRA, STO June 16, 65 puts @.75
$XOP–A bullish trade on oil
Sold $XOP May 19 34 puts @ .60
Straddling $T Earnings Trade
$T BTO 4/28 40.50 straddle @ .95
JPM
#LongCallDiagonals #IRA – Still selling weeklies while she rests…
Bought to Close JPM APR 21 2017 87.0 Calls @ .04 (sold for .47)
Sold JPM APR 28 2017 86.5 Calls @ .45
This question for anyone. How…
This question for anyone. How does one trade SVXY, UVXY if day trading?
# falling knife. I was…
- falling knife. I was hoping TSO would rebound off the 77-78 level. However it is starting to look like a falling knife trade. I have my cost basis down below 82 and have sold and 83 call. If it rebounds I will have a good profit. If it continues to drop I will collar it by adding some long-term puts. If anybody else is following this trade, it tends to rebound hard when it finds a bottom. I have seen it run 77-90 in the course of a week. If I were taking this trade now, I would probably buy stock and then sell a call credit spread at the money so you could have some unlimited upside.
Follow the Leader SPX Campaign and Reducing Risk on $AMZN
#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 5/12 2200/2225 BUPS @ 1.45
Closed Early
$AMZN BTC 4/19 930/920 BECS @ 82% profit
Have several $AMZN BUPS and BECS expiring 4/19 and feel better closing some early.
EWW adjustment
#ShortStrangles – Looks like the short term run is over. Closing put side of strangle at even and re-selling in the same expiration where I rolled the calls earlier.
Bought to Close EWW APR 21 2017 52.5 Puts @ 1.73 (sold for 1.75)
Sold EWW MAY 12 2017 49.0 Puts @ .61
New position is now May 12th 49/50 Strangles @ 1.43
SVXY
STO June 16, 70 puts @ .90 cents in my IRA.
$GWW $APA $IBM – #FallingKnife…
$GWW $APA $IBM $CVX – #FallingKnife candidates today
$VFC #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$VFC #ShortPuts – Bought to close 1 VFC May 19 2017 45.0 Put @ 0.05.
It won’t trade any lower and I’m out a month early.
A former #FallingKnife trade. Originally Sold @ 1.55 on 2/7/17
This is how these trades are supposed to work 🙂
Rolling $FB Calls
$FB STC 4/21 130 calls @11.32 Booking some profit
$FB BTO 5/19 135 calls # 8.32 Looking for earnings run. Run $FB Run
Closed Early
$USCR BTC 4/21 55/60 BUPS @ 80% profit
$TSLA #BuPS STO May 12…
$TSLA #BuPS
STO May 12 TSLA 275/255 BuPS for $2.53
Earnings on May 24th AMC.
Support at 294, 286, 278 & 270.
$NUGT #ShortPuts – Sold NUGT…
$NUGT #ShortPuts – Gold miners are weak after a big run last week. Glad I sold some of my NUGT Friday.
Sold NUGT MAY 12 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.32
Sold NUGT MAY 19 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.41
Sold NUGT MAY 26 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.52
Sold NUGT MAY 26 2017 7.5 Puts @ 0.39
SPX puts sold
#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX May 12 2225/2200 put spreads for 1.45. This is my second put spread from last week that I delayed due to downside threat… that threat seems lower now.
ISRG
#Earnings – Bought to Close ISRG APR 21 2017 720.0 Put @ .05
This leaves 5.04 of premium from the original strangle. Still sitting on the short 800 call.
Also:
Sold ISRG APR 21 2017 805.0 Put @ 6.40
Position is now 805/800 inverted @ 11.44 credit. That give plenty of maneuvering room for an end of week roll if needed. Not ideal but could still work out unless ISRG pulls a CMG and goes to 1000!
BLK earnings profit
#Earnings Bought to close $BLK 370/380/390 #IronButterfly for 4.65. Sold yesterday for 6.50. That should cover losses in $ISRG if it fails to drop below 775.00 by Friday.
SVXY
STO January 185 call @11.30 on one contract.
CMG
#ShortStrangles – Bought to Close CMG APR 21 2017 455.0 Put @ .10 (sold for 6.15 after a couple roll ups)
Still have the short 440 call from the other side of the strangle. With earnings next week I could roll it up a few strikes and sell another aggressive put or just split it up into a new strangle…
$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – covered…
$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – covered two sets of puts sold yesterday. They won’t trade any lower.
Bought to close ISRG Apr 21 2017 680.0 and 685.0 Puts @ 0.05
Earnings After Markets Close
American Express (AXP) – consensus EPS $1.28
Crown Holdings (CCK) – consensus EPS $0.69
Kinder Morgan (KMI) – consensus EPS $0.18
Qualcomm (QCOM) – consensus EPS $1.20
Select Comfort Corp (SCSS) – consensus EPS $0.44
Steel Dynamics (STLD) – consensus EPS $0.76
United Rentals (URI) – consensus EPS $1.51
eBay (EBAY) – consensus EPS $0.48
The math behind why 45…
The math behind why 45 DTE is most efficient for selling options.
https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/the-skinny-on-options-modeling/episodes/why-45-dte-is-the-magic-number-05-26-2016–2
$VIX $VVIX – a little…
$VIX $VVIX – a little light reading for VIX followers
Forecasting a Volatility Tsunami
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2949847
Upcoming volatility?
Nice day in My World…
Potpourri
#closed early
$SPX BTC 4/19 2280/2305 BUPS @ 93% profit Thank you @jeffcp66
$AMZN BTC 4/21 865/875 BUPS @ 92% profit (closed part of position – semi prudent)
$AMZN BTC 4/21 960/950 BECS @ 93% profit
$NFLX BTC 4/21 130/140 BUPS @ 89% profit
$SPX STO 5/1 2415/2390 BECS @ 1.65 Thank you @jeffcp66
$SPX STO 5/19 2165/2190 BUPS @ 1.50 Thank you @jeffcp66
$IBM STO 4/21 170/172.5/175/172.5 Iron Butterfly @ 2.05 Thank you @thomberg1201
$RENN STO 4/21 8/9 BUPS @ .95 Thank you @fuzzballl
$GOOGL BTO 5/19 850 calls @ 22.30
tastytrade Earnings Reseach report…gratis
http://tinyurl.com/m5zewd7


