LULU earnings analysis

#Earnings $LULU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 26, 2020 AC -5.95%
Dec. 11, 2019 AC -3.73%
Sept. 5, 2019 AC +7.81%
June 12, 2019 AC +2.12%
March 27, 2019 AC +14.12%
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.36% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +13.08%
May 31, 2018 AC +16.31% Biggest UP
March 27, 2018 AC +9.21%
Dec. 6, 2017 AC +6.42%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC +7.19%
June 1, 2017 AC +11.54%

Avg (+ or -) 9.24%
Bias 5.40%, strong positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 311.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 288.00 to 334.00 (+/- 7.4%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 282.27 to 339.73
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (16.3%): 260.28 to 361.72
Based on DOWN max only (-13.4%): 269.45

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