MSFT earnings analysis

#Earnings $MSFT reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 29, 2020 AC +1.00%
Jan. 29, 2020 AC +2.82%
Oct. 23, 2019 AC +1.96%
July 18, 2019 AC +0.14%
April 24, 2019 AC +3.31%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC -1.83% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +5.84%
July 19, 2018 AC +1.79%
April 26, 2018 AC +1.65%
Jan. 31, 2018 AC -0.78%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC +6.41% Biggest UP
July 20, 2017 AC -0.57%

Avg (+ or -) 2.34%
Bias 1.81%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 211.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 201.16 to 220.84 (+/- 4.7%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 206.06 to 215.94
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.4%): 197.47 to 224.53
Based on DOWN max only (-1.8%): 207.14

Open to requests for other symbols.