Sold on 12/13 2.35 credit
Iron Condor Entry:
STO SPX 1/25/19 2370 Puts
BTO SPX 1/25/19 2350 Puts
STO SPX 1/25/19 2870 Calls
BTO SPX 1/25/19 2890 Calls
best possible Credit
Exit:
3x put spread credit stop GTC
3x call spread credit stop GTC
Recent Updates Page 275
AMAT DG EWW OLED TNA UVXY WYNN
#LongCalls #LongPuts #LEAPS – Taking a shot with some additional sales with stops on previous weeks that are profitable. I may get stopped out of a few of those if the market reacts positively to the Fed….but Gubment shutdown still looming….(insert OMG scary face world is ending emoji here…LOL!).
AMAT:
Sold AMAT JAN 11 2019 37.0/42.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .32
DG:
Sold DG JAN 11 2019 109.0 Calls @ .92
EWW:
Bought to Close EWW DEC 28 2018 43.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for .40)
Sold EWW JAN 11 2019 42.0 Calls @ .38
OLED:
Sold OLED JAN 4 2019 110.0 Calls @ 1.15
TNA: Added to LEAPS and new sales…
Bought to Open TNA JAN 15 2021 70.0 Calls @ 7.00
Sold TNA JAN 4 2019 55.0/60.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .52
UVXY:
Rolled UVXY DEC 28 2018 52.5 Puts to UVXY DEC 28 2018 57.5 Puts @ .56 credit
WYNN:
Sold WYNN JAN 4 2019 115.0 Calls @ 1.55
A near record setting week of premium selling last week and this week is shaping up nicely. Let’s see where the bounce goes…
DUST
#LongPuts #LEAPS – Turned out to be a good short but feel like I’ve got about all I can get for now. Gold pushing up against resistance and DUST back near it’s original starting point prior to the run up so booking it.
Entered the trade on the spike in mid August and added on the September spike. In spite of some weekly puts having issues and never quite getting to a full position it turned out ok.
Sold to Close DUST JAN 17 2020 40.0 Puts
Bought to Close DUST JAN 4 2019 32.0 Put
Bought to Close DUST JAN 4 2019 33.0 Put
Bought to Close DUST JAN 11 2019 23.5 Puts
All said and done a 4.57 winner on a 7 lot.
🙂 🙂
FDX earnings analysis
#Earnings $FDX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Sept. 17, 2018 AC -5.53% Biggest DOWN
June 19, 2018 AC -2.69%
March 20, 2018 AC -1.17%
Dec. 19, 2017 AC 3.51%
Sept. 19, 2017 AC 2.08%
June 20, 2017 AC 1.60%
March 21, 2017 AC 2.12%
Dec. 20, 2016 AC -3.33%
Sept. 20, 2016 AC 6.89%
June 21, 2016 AC -4.53%
March 16, 2016 AC 11.83% Biggest UP
Dec. 16, 2015 AC 2.02%
Avg (+ or -) 3.94%
Bias 1.07%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 183.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 172.43 to 195.07
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 176.51 to 190.99
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (11.8%): 162.01 to 205.49
Open for requests on other symbols.
MU earnings analysis
#Earnings $MU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Sept. 20, 2018 AC -2.86%
June 20, 2018 AC 0.83%
March 22, 2018 AC -7.99%
Dec. 19, 2017 AC 4.02%
Sept. 26, 2017 AC 8.51%
June 29, 2017 AC -5.11%
March 23, 2017 AC 7.40%
Dec. 21, 2016 AC 12.68% Biggest UP
Oct. 4, 2016 AC -0.56%
June 30, 2016 AC -9.15% Biggest DOWN
March 30, 2016 AC -0.09%
Dec. 22, 2015 AC -2.12%
Avg (+ or -) 5.11%
Bias 0.46%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 34.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 31.72 to 37.77
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 32.97 to 36.53
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s 12.7%): 30.34 to 39.16
Open for requests on other symbols.
WYNN
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Filled on a batch of the over sales. Looking to sell ’em again tomorrow either for the double dip next week or the week after…
Bought to Close WYNN DEC 21 2018 120.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.16)
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Expiring: $SPX Dec 17th 2500/2520-2665/2685 condors. Sold Friday for 1.05.
Also, stopped $SPX Jan 17th 2420/2400 put spreads for 3.65, since expected move breached my short puts. These were sold as a roll from a stopped #SPX1dte spread (sold condor for 3.00 on Nov 20). With one roll down of the call side, I’m getting out of this with only a .20 profit (or basically breakeven after commissions). Will look to roll into a new condor later this week.
Double down
Bought more $SPX Dec 28th long 2700/2720 call spreads for .85 (first batch bought this morning for 1.80). With a double position it is easier to sell half at a decent profit and let the other half ride as long as I can. After today’s action the only thing I can be playing for is a rally after we get the Fed meeting out of the way. And by rally, I don’t mean much higher than 2700 before we probably resume the downtrend.
New UVXY high
#VXXGame We just exceeded the 10/29 high of this correction on $UVXY.
The $VIX is still 3 points below its correction high set on 10/11.
We are setting up today to hit our 7th downside warning in this correction.
BOIL closed
#ContangoETFs Closed the last of my $BOIL Jan 45 calls for 3.30. I’m underwater despite a few rolls, but this is closest to the money that I had. I want to be ready should we get another winter push higher.
Covered Calls closed
#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
BTC $TQQQ Dec 21st 49 calls for .10. Sold for .90 on Thursday.
BTC $SQ Dec 21st 66 calls for .10. Sold for .84 on Thursday
#spx 12/17 IC/IF Risk $50 for $100
IV is up with the Fed meeting on Wed.
Next Expiration ES Vertical/Binary Signals
Entry:
Sell ES Closest Expiration 2485×2475 Put Spread/Binary
Sell ES Closest Expiration 2630×2640 Call Spread/Binary
Price: 1.90+ combined credit, 2.00+ is preferred
Exit Stop Limit Loss GTC Resting Order: 3x credit per side
ie, 1.00 for spread, the stop is 3.00
_______________________________________________________________________
Next Expiration SPX Iron Butterfly Signals
Entry:
Sell SPX Closest Expiration 2460x2560x2660 Iron Butterfly
Price: Max Credit Possible for Iron Fly
Exit Stop Limit Loss GTC Resting Order: Credit for Iron Fly x1.5
ie, if the iron fly credit is 30, the GTS stop limit debit would be 45 points.
…by the roadside in a ditch
Watching the carnage, this one came to mind. (click the photo)
12/14 spx trades
meant to post these on friday, will try to post wednesday’s trade plan today.
Next Expiration ES Vertical/Binary Signals
Entry:
Sell ES Closest Expiration 2555×2545 Put Spread/Binary
Sell ES Closest Expiration 2650×2660 Call Spread/Binary
Price: 1.90+ combined credit, 2.00+ is preferred
Exit Stop Limit Loss GTC Resting Order: 3x credit per side
ie, 1.00 for spread, the stop is 3.00
_______________________________________________________________________
Next Expiration SPX Iron Butterfly Signals
Entry:
Sell SPX Closest Expiration 2500x2600x2700 Iron Butterfly
Price: Max Credit Possible for Iron Fly
Exit Stop Limit Loss GTC Resting Order: Credit for Iron Fly x1.5
ie, if the iron fly credit is 30, the GTS stop limit debit would be 45 points.
#contangoetfs BOIL Down below 38…
#contangoetfs BOIL
Down below 38 today
SPX long
#SPXcampaign #SPX1dte Bought to open $SPX Dec 28th 2700/2720 call spreads for 1.80. Looking for a trickle higher into the end of the year.
Kinda what I’ve been expecting…
…but so far, still waiting…
$SPX: clean tag of lower trend line as support.
New lows show a positive RSI divergence.
If this trend line holds and the structure plays as a falling wedge a very sizable rally could emerge.
Previous breakout attempt failed.
Targets would include MA reconnects. pic.twitter.com/9UrAfk889d— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) December 17, 2018
At the lows, do we…
At the lows, do we finally get a Santa rally or drive further off the cliff.
I would not mind the seasonal Santa rally but so far has not looked like it is going to happen.
Trade smart and don’t drink too much eggnog!
Closed SOXL call
#ContangoETF’s While short puts continue to decay (very slowly), closed $SOXL Feb 150 call for .90. Sold for 4.50 on Dec 3rd. I’ll sell more calls on any rally.
UVXY
ORCL earnings analysis
#Earnings $ORCL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings FIVE-day moves over the last 12 quarters, since expiration is 4 days away on Friday.
**** FIVE-DAY moves ****
Mon 09/17/2018 AC 3.90%
Tue 06/19/2018 AC -4.68%
Mon 03/19/2018 AC -13.79% Biggest DOWN
Thu 12/14/2017 AC -4.74%
Thu 09/14/2017 AC -8.99%
Wed 06/21/2017 AC 9.77% Biggest UP
Wed 03/15/2017 AC 5.06%
Thu 12/15/2016 AC -4.55%
Thu 09/15/2016 AC -4.38%
Thu 06/16/2016 AC 3.49%
Tue 03/15/2016 AC 7.07%
Wed 12/16/2015 AC -6.39%
Avg (+ or -) 6.40%
Bias -1.52%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 46.70 the data suggests these ranges into Friday’s expiration.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 43.62 to 49.78
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 43.71 to 49.69
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (13.8%): 40.26 to 53.14
Open for requests on other symbols.
Good morning
Another ugly day in the market.
DG TNA TQQQ XBI
#LongCalls #LEAPS – I thought I was done but I can’t resist selling a little more into this volatility. Gives me a little extra hedge if we open down next week also.
DG: Stop set on next week so going out with an overlapping sale. Selling against 110/90 put spreads so any sale above 110 is a nice one.
Sold DG JAN 4 2019 110.0 Calls @ .70
TNA: Booking and selling. Fairly aggressive double dip next week.
Bought to Close TNA DEC 21 2018 66.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for .81)
Sold TNA DEC 21 2018 54.0 Calls @ .62
TQQQ: Same as TNA double dipping next week…(hopefully)
Bought to Close TQQQ DEC 21 2018 54.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for .85)
Sold TQQQ DEC 21 2018 46.0 Calls @ .82
XBI: Booking and selling.
Bought to Close XBI DEC 21 2018 85.0/95.0 Bear Calls Spreads @ .01 (sold for .63….legged out to get the net penny 🙂 )
Sold XBI DEC 28 2018 81.5 Calls @ .40
Just for margin purposes in the IRA: Bought XBI DEC 28 2018 88.5 Calls @ .01 paired with 81.5 and 82.5 short calls.
Whew! Happy weekend everyone!
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Dec 14th 2580 puts for .20.
Sold $SPX Dec 17th 2500/2520-2665/2685 condors for 1.05.
AMZN put spread
Sold $AMZN Jan 18 1400/1390 BuPS @ 1.50
WTW
#LongCalls #LEAPS – This is turning into one of my more interesting positions. Started out as a blown out earnings strangle and then became a covered call position. To free up cash the stock was rolled into 2021 LEAP calls at the 50 strike. Throughout the entire ordeal I’ve managed to stay pretty close to even but unable to get all the way there. Still not bad when considering it all started up around 80 and the stock is below 48 now.
It’s trying to find a bottom or could be setting up for another leg down. As long as it’s grinding sideways, I’ll keep hammering the weekly sales right at the money with great premium. This could end up being a longer term hold. Starting to see a lot of potential considering all the premium brought in so early in a 2021 position…
These are non ratio’d full sales that I will roll at the first sign of negative deltas. Otherwise keep selling.
Bought to Close WTW DEC 14 2018 49.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.15)
Sold WTW DEC 28 2018 48.5 Calls @ 1.85
That’s it for me this week (I think ). Another pretty good week of selling with the elevated volatility…
Hey Gang,
For those of you who wish to read this, here’s what’s been going on with me. I had already announced that I planned to retire in April, the volatility mess in Feb hurt, and it sucked big time, but it did not change the calculus on retirement plans. I have never mentioned this, on purpose, but worked for Rockwell Collins ($COL now part of $UTX) for 32 years. I had worked my way into a very unique position where I was the only person in the company doing what I did. I was involved in projects with very senior leaders where I wasn’t even allowed to tell my boss what I was doing. So, my retirement caused them some grief trying to figure out what to do since I could not be directly replaced by anyone in the organization. I spent Feb, Mar and April training a number of different people to take over the things I was working. That took all of my time and effort, so had to just walk away from the market altogether.
Even before the Feb mess occurred, I had been wanting to move away from what I was doing and head for futures day trading. I liked the idea of being able to be flat at the end of every day and not have to worry about after hour shenanigans, or what was happening in China, etc…. Had spent quite a bit of time picking @Fibwizard‘s brain and working on a strategy that would work for me. Once I retired, I dove pretty deep into it and figured out a good approach, but eventually had to look elsewhere. I had figured out a strategy that I could implement, and if I had still been working and at my computer all day, would have gone that way. But, with retirement, I didn’t want to spend all day staring at my screen waiting for the right setups. Lots of other things I wanted to do with my time.
Around that time @smasty160 told me about a guy named Tony Rago @ TheoTrade who was trading /NQ futures with other traders, calling out what they were doing real time in a live chat room. I spent some time studying his approach and watching. I then started paper trading it on TOS. The worst possible thing that could have happened, happened, for the next 3 weeks it worked beautifully and I killed it. So I decided to go live. First day, first trade ended up a very small loss, no biggie. Next trade, got long, and seconds later a Washington headline crushed the market and I had to hit eject as it just kept heading south, no rebound at all to give me a better exit. After what happened in Feb, the last thing I wanted was to be starting something new and losing money at it. So had to be back to paper trading. 3 weeks later when I had some confidence back and was consistently making money, first day back trading real money and you guessed it, bang, another headline hit while I was long and got crushed again.
Not much you can do about the headline risk, but the better I get at trading, the fewer trades I have to take to make my goal for the day and thus the less amount of time actually being exposed to the market.
His overall approach makes sense and Tony put a lot of time and effort into developing it, but I wasn’t really happy with it as is:
1) Sometimes it worked right away
2) Sometimes it worked but you had to deal with some heat first (never feels good as you don’t know if it will continue to go against you or not), which is OK with Tony, he accepts it as part of his thesis. Since it is his, and he put the time into developing it, he has that level of confidence in it. Me, not so much.
3) Sometimes it just plain didn’t work
I before I spent any more capital, I wanted try to figure out how to put the odds on my side
I needed a better set of rules to use.
I spent months fine tuning the approach, trading for a few weeks, analyzing failures. Lather, rinse, repeat. I’ve had times I went 3 weeks trading without a single loosing trade only to have it start to fail so spent more time tweaking. I have definitely put my time into it. I now have time frames, EMA’s and patterns identified that put the edge dramatically in my favor when entering a trade. Still working on my execution, having the patience to wait for the high probability setups and identifying them real time as they are developing, they are always obvious later looking at the chart :). I trade for about the first hour of trading, 1.5 hrs max.
On the flip side, retirement definitely doesn’t suck. I’ve been loving it.
Econ Calendar for week of 12/17/18
Fed decision released Wednesday at 2pm ET
Link to chart: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=17&month=12&year=2018&cust=us&lid=0
#shortputspread AAPL November 2, sold…
#shortputspread AAPL
November 2, sold a Dec. 21, 180/190 put spread for 1.27. I sold the long put today for 13.35, giving me a cost basis of 175.39 after assignment next week. Right now there is decent call volume over the next month and unless AAPL keeps going down , I may be out by earnings at the end of January.
Rolling a bunch this week
#fuzzy
EXPE 125/126 7 DTE rolled out 21 for 0.40 credit. Cb 12.78
EOG 110/110 7 DTE rolled our 28 DTE for 0.55 credit. Cb 11.84
MU 40/40 7 DTE to 21 DTE for 0.40 credit. Cb 13.91
WDC 40/42.5 7 DTE to 28 DTE for 0.51 credit. Cb 19.58.
GILD 67.5/69 1 DTE to 21 DTE for 0.76. Cb 9.59
Still have 109 weeks to manage these and some have already been reduced 25-50% from original cost. For pure ROI looks like #fuzzy may win especially when volatility kicks up.
#pietrades
LNG 62 cc 1 DTE rolled out 7 DTE for 0.74 credit. Cb 58.84
All told $1860 of credits for the week. Another week or 2 will have enough cash to start the #lizardpies test using 1-2 contracts. After 8 weeks of being flat finally bringing in cash again to use for new trades.
I plan to try to take a few of the #fuzzy all the way to expiration just to see what kind of actual/real world returns you can get over a year. Currently looks around 100% annualized. With the exception of WDC. may end up closing that as soon as I can break even especially if it keeps dropping.
Have a great weekend 🙂
WYNN
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Next week’s naked 120’s look pretty safe so doubling up with spreads since it’s an IRA.
Sold WYNN DEC 28 2018 115.0/125.0 Bear Call Spreads @ 1.20
UNG
OLED
#ShortCalls #BullPutSpreads – Booking this for safety since I’ve been overselling slightly…
Bought to Close OLED DEC 14 2018 101.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.30)
RTN
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Slowly but surely…
Bought to Close RTN DEC 21 2018 185.0/195.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .04 (sold for .73)
REGN
#ShortCalls #BullPutSpreads – Still selling against Jan 2021 ITM bull put spreads to reduce basis if I eventually end up with the stock. Learned my lesson on this ticker to never try for that last dime. It can move bigly in a short time.
Bought to Close REGN DEC 14 2018 380.0 Call @ .10 (sold for 2.55)
Sold REGN DEC 21 2018 397.5 Call @ 2.10
#assignment KORS Apparently someone thinks…
#assignment KORS
Apparently someone thinks I want to be assigned on ITM puts. Assigned on a 55 put, cost basis is 53.50, KORS currently at 38.39, think I’ll have a COORS or two.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Closed $SPX Dec 14th 2700 calls for .05. Stop level on the put spread is the expected move to the short put… EM is currently 24.00, so stop is 2604 for the 2580/2560 put spread. Unless we breach that level I will look to exit for .05 or .10. Sold condor yesterday for 1.05.
Good Morning everyone,
Very Sorry about how long I’ve been away. Hope you have been killing it. I’ll make a longer post a little later today telling you what I’ve been up to.
Kelly
XLE
Possible #LongCalls #LEAPS entry here. Trying to bottom and you could cover over 10 percent of LEAPS cost in the first week…
#closing #assignment AAPL Dec. 11,…
#closing #assignment AAPL
Dec. 11, I was assigned 100 shares from a 185/187.50 put spread that was to expire tomorrow. I sold the long put and sold a March 14, 170 call for 2.06. AAPL is a little over 170 so I closed the covered call. I have made $45 after all is said and done from a put spread I had written off as a loser. I closed today because I have a 180/190 expiring Dec. 21. That one will take a little longer to get back to even.
Both put spreads were post earnings trades.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Dec 14th 2560/2580-2700/2720 condors for 1.05. Expire tomorrow.
Also, a 45-dte roll from last month…
BTC $SPX Jan 17th 2950/2970 call spreads for .20. Sold 11/20 in a condor for 3.00 (2420/2400 puts still active)
Rolled to Jan 17th 2800/2820 call spreads, sold today for 2.55.
SMH
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Another good week in this one. Not getting sold too hard anymore but not rallying either.
Bought to Close SMH DEC 14 2018 95.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for .82)
Sold SMH DEC 21 2018 94.5 Calls @ .58
XBI
#LongCalls #LEAPS – In an IRA so rotating back and forth between spreads and naked to be able to overlap these by a few days. Next week’s spreads are safe so adding…
Sold XBI DEC 28 2018 82.5 Calls @ .51
Closing some BOIL
Had this order in to close for .05. Just got filled.
Bought to close $BOIL Dec 21 105 calls @ .05. Sold for 1.50 on 12/4.
Some more rollouts
Rolled the following short Dec in the money puts out to Jan:
$ATVI 12/21 50 puts out to 1/18/19 50 puts @ 1.06 credit
$GS 12/21 180 puts out to 1/11/19 180 puts (weekly to avoid earnings) @ 2.22 credit
$WYNN 12/21 120 puts out to 1/18/19 120 puts @ 1.78 credit
Calls sold
#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Sold $TQQQ Dec 21st 49 calls for .90
Sold $SQ Dec 21st 66 calls for .84
#earnings #ironcondor ADBE Sold Dec….
#earnings #ironcondor ADBE
Sold Dec. 21 225/230/265/270 for 1.29, right around the max moves, thanks Jeff.
OLED
#ShortCalls #BullPutSpreads – Tomorrow looks good and next wek is getting some breathing room so adding the next batch…
Sold OLED DEC 28 2018 105.0 Calls @ 1.10
UPS Falling Knife
Throwing one out there at 10 delta. Strike is at a level the stock hasn’t been in around 6 years.
Sold $UPS Jul 19 75 puts @ 1.35.
EWW
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Slow day today…finally. 🙂 🙂
Bought to Close EWW DEC 21 2018 43.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for .40)
Sold EWW JAN 4 2019 42.5 Calls @ .36
Rolling TNA
Rolled $TNA Dec 21 60 puts out to Jan 18 60 puts for 1.28 credit.
TQQQ
BTO January 18, 55 calls at 1.20 creating a 50/55 call spread against my January 2021 call position. This frees up a lot of margin and I can roll the spread if I need to.
#assignment SCCO I already owned…
#assignment SCCO
I already owned 50 shares in the copper miner (copper is important to batteries, solar and wind power so the price can only go up-riigghhht), assigned on a 40 put I’ve been trying to roll, cost basis of 151.667 shares is 41 after selling a Jan. 36 call.
#earnings #ironcondor COST sold Dec….
#earnings #ironcondor COST
sold Dec. 21, 210/215/240/245 for 1.05, right at the max moves, thanks for the data Jeff.
PVTL calls closed
#Earnings #CoveredCalls BTC $PVTL Dec 21st 21 covered calls for .05. Sold for .80 on Tuesday. Earning report has had little effect on the stock. Cost basis 19.00. Will continue to hold and sell calls.
COST earnings analysis
#Earnings $COST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Oct. 4, 2018 AC -5.55%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.55%
March 7, 2018 AC -0.89%
Dec. 14, 2017 AC 3.32%
Oct. 5, 2017 AC -5.97% Biggest DOWN
May 25, 2017 AC 1.79%
March 2, 2017 AC -4.33%
Dec. 7, 2016 AC 2.43%
Sept. 29, 2016 AC 3.40%
May 25, 2016 AC 3.57% Biggest UP
March 2, 2016 AC -0.77%
Dec. 8, 2015 AC -5.41%
Avg (+ or -) 3.17%
Bias -0.75%, slight negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 229.00 the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 220.17 to 237.83
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 221.75 to 236.25
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (6.0%): 215.33 to 242.67
Open for requests on other symbols.
ADBE earnings analysis
#Earnings $ADBE reports tonight. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Sept. 13, 2018 AC 2.29%
June 14, 2018 AC -2.43%
March 15, 2018 AC 3.05%
Dec. 14, 2017 AC 1.43%
Sept. 19, 2017 AC -4.24%
June 20, 2017 AC 2.36%
March 16, 2017 AC 3.80%
Dec. 15, 2016 AC -1.47%
Sept. 20, 2016 AC 7.11% Biggest UP
June 21, 2016 AC -5.72% Biggest DOWN
March 17, 2016 AC 3.84%
Dec. 10, 2015 AC 2.76%
Avg (+ or -) 3.38%
Bias 1.07%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 251.00 the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 239.69 to 262.31
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 242.53 to 259.47
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (7.1%): 233.15 to 268.85
Open for requests on other symbols.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Expired: $SPX Nov 12th 2560/2580/2715/2735 condors, sold yesterday for 1.05
#coveredcallcampaign #closing LUV July 3,…
#coveredcallcampaign #closing LUV
July 3, Tradewise initiated a covered call in LUV. I closed it on my own today, making about $240 with premium and dividends. Their timing was right, but this could have been a really nice winner without the calls as it ran up 10 points or so last summer. I’m being cautious and getting some cash.
TRADES:
DBX BTO STOCK @23.00
SFIX BTO STOCK @22.33
TQQQ
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Stop set on next week’s short 54.0’s so adding some spreads since it’s in an IRA…
Sold TQQQ DEC 28 2018 52.0/58.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .72
TNA
#LongCalls #LEAPS – Stop set on next week’s short 66.5s so adding some spreads since it’s in an IRA…
Sold TNA DEC 28 2018 60.0/70.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .91
Another KOLD closed
#ContangoETFs BTC $KOLD Dec 21st 12 put for .80. Sold for 2.30 on 11/19.
TQQQ
Rolled my 60 calls in February 15, down to January 18, 50 calls for a credit of 1.90 because I am bearish on the market. I know we are up today but I think we are in a bear market if I am reading the charts correctly. If not, I think I can roll these for a 5cent to 10 cent credit and pick up a half point in the strike price with 2 years until expiration. I own the 60 calls in 2021.
UVXY
#shortstrangles GM Sold Jan. 18,…
#shortstrangles GM #rolling #shortputs AA
GM Sold Jan. 18, 33/38 strangle for 1.17.
AA rolled Jan. 38 put to February for .15, AA is at 29.
#fuzzy GILD 70/70 3 DTE…
GILD 70/70 3 DTE rolled out to 17 DTE for 0.53 credit. CB now 9.78 and 109 more weeks to go. This one already up 1.01 per contract if I closed it now.
EFA-Non US and Canada large caps
Looking to do something in January, over 15,000, January 18, 61 calls and 15,000 January 18, 61 puts were traded today. For the most part, not a lot of options are traded.
I bought a 59 put for 1.05, 13,000 of those were traded as well(1 for me).
#shortstock #coveredputs CAKE Sold 100…
#shortstock #coveredputs CAKE
Sold 100 shares short at 45.43, sold a Dec. 21, 45 put for .90.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Dec 12th 2560/2580/2715/2735 condors for 1.05. Expire tomorrow.
TRADES:
SFIX 12/14/18 20.0 CALLS @.40
SFIX BTO STOCK @19.97
SFIX STO 12/21/18 22.0 CALLS @.40
SFIX STO 12/14/18 19.0 PUTS @.55
UVXY
Calls closed
#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Closed $SQ Dec 14th 66 calls for .37. Sold yesterday for .72.
Closed $TQQQ Dec 14th 47 calls for .85. Sold yesterday for .80.
Slight profit and about breakeven on what I sold yesterday, since both very close to being breached this morning. Will replace on next big move.
Closing WTW
I rolled this on 11/23, closing it now for an overall profit.
Bought to close $WTW Dec 21 49 puts @ 2.00. Rolled from 11/23 50 puts. Total profit .60.
#shortstrangles CAT #shortcallspreads SPY TastyTrade…
#shortstrangles CAT #shortcallspreads SPY
TastyTrade idea sold Jan. 105/140 for 2.13
Tradewise idea (modified a little) Jan. 4 273/276 call spread for .55
Options Bistro 