GILD #FallingKnife
Sold $GILD Aug 18 55 puts @ 1.32
Monthly Archives: February 2017
$UAA – From Tasty Trade this morning
February 8, 2017
Talk about a cool brand falling from grace. It seems like nobody loves Under Armour anymore. First, it’s the anti-hunters hating UAA for sponsoring hunters. Then hunters hate UAA because they caved to anti-hunters and dropped sponsorship of someone who speared a bear. Now it’s the market hating on UAA because their numbers didn’t match the “rah rah!” forecasts of its CEO. The stock dropped 30% last week on disappointing earnings. Me? I buy their t-shirts when they’re on sale. T-shirts don’t last long on the Preston ranch, and I don’t mind being unpopular. And to be unpopular with the market would be to take a bullish stance on UAA. If you think UAA isn’t down for the count quite yet, and that the stock might not drop much more, the short 19.5 put in the March weeklies with 30 DTE is a bullish strategy that has a 75% prob of expiring worthless, creates just over $1.00 in daily theta, and has a .30% theta return on capital.
SPX Chart and VIX Indicator…
SPX Chart and VIX Indicator have been updated
Futures
#futures My accounts were just approved to trade futures. I’ll start paper trading the /ES and /YM and learn from @fibwizard, @fuzzballl, @vxxkelly and everyone else before I put real money on the line.
#no fills-couldn’t get filled on…
#no fills-couldn’t get filled on DIS, AKAM and ALK, even re-did them a couple times-oh well
Futures Chart
I am not a good teacher, so bear with me..The chart has the lines tool I spoke of earlier..and my pivots displayed..
The method used is to measure the opening YM candle, and draw the green/red lines for open range…
that allows the 2 gold lines, for expected open move and 9:30 reversal support to be drawn…as well as the the 3 extended target lines above , or below..
open:
opening candle opens 15-20 points..end to end
Lines are drawn
YM then moves 30-50 points (20040-20070 today )
exit the trade at a target line or pivot bounce
9:30 reversal
The futures indexes will almost always reverse at 9:30am..
if the reversal stops at the Gold Line, YM has a good chance to continue back up to a higher target
if, like today, it breaks down below the gold line for 30 mins or so, and then tries to move up..it will usually top out at the previous target, and then sell off the target line , back into the open range area..like this mornings -57 point move..
The 9:30 reversal/continue/sell off will usually go until 11:00, when dead time for lunch takes over…take your lunch break
11:00am – 12:30/1pm Dead time..
AfterNoon Session
12:30/1pm after lunch, traders come back and make a small push up/down, usally good for 20 -40 points most days..after which it slides sideways into the 2pm pro hour..I dont play the 2pm – 3pm pro hour..I am a beginner, learning to trust my system..I make my 40-60 points between the open and lunch zone..
The above is what I was taught in the Futures class I took..its one of many trade methods..I like it because it works consistantly, and its easy to learn..I am good at trading fib lines and PP levels..this method does the same..for a futures trade..
Income
Most of us here trade for income..be it selling options, or futures..Futures is by no means easy..I am getting better at it..I set easy to reach goals by which I can live by the below..
1. set your exits and entries…ahead of time
2. do not hesitate to enter or exit..never 2nd guess your discipline or stops
3. wait for the moves and lines and validate with the indicators..when in doubt, get out..
My Plan goals for the YM;
40 points daily..
5 contracts per trade
20 point stops
risk = 500.00 ( 25/point x 20 points )
40 points daily = 1000.00 weekly/4000 monthly
Today I made 70..it doesnt seem to be a terrificly difficult goal..the more I learn, hopefully the better I’ll get…
$SVXY #Contango ETFs Filled right…
$SVXY #Contango ETFs Filled right at the close. Sold March 03rd 100 Put @ 1.50 when SVXY was at 120.46.
$UVXY
BTC Feb 17 $60 calls @ $.01, sold for $1.00
#Earnings AKAM
#Earnings
$AKAM STO 2/10 65 put @.75
Company has beaten estimates 8 of 11 past quarters. I hope it didn’t hurt too much.
SIG #FallingKnife Adding a ladder…
SIG #FallingKnife
Adding a ladder rung to my July 55 puts:
Sold $SIG Apr 21 60 puts @ 1.20.
YM After Lunch Trade
#futures
12:15 Entered YM Long at 20000, as it bounced off the Target-3 line , stop at 19980
12:20 YM above the 20010, stop moved to 19990
12:35 Stop moved to BE at 20000, as wave crosses zero to the upside
1:25 Exit trade at 20010, for 10 points…
gain @ 10 points..
my day is over, trade-wise..for 70 points today…
#futures YM STO @20047.00 YM…
#futures
YM STO @20047.00
YM BTC @20028.00
SOLD UVXY 10 MAR 17…
SOLD UVXY 10 MAR 17 50 CALL @.43
YM 10am Trade
#futures
10:15 Short YM at 20050, as TTM_Squeeze triggered to the downside, stop at 20070
10:20 YM moves thru 20040, stop moved to 20060
10:25 YM moves thru 20030, stop moved to 20050, trade at BE
10:30 Exit trade as YM bounces off the S1 Pivot..
Gain @ 30 points
SPX Trades
$SPX BTC 2/13 2090/2190 BUPS @ .30 95% profit
$SPX STO 3/17 2090/2190 BUPS @ 4.60 Thanks @fibwizard for your tutelage
IBB
#ShortStrangles – Cleaning up the straggler of an old strangle…
Bought to Close IBB FEB 17 2017 260.0 Put @ .13 (sold for 2.40)
SPX trades
#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Feb 16th 2165/2140 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.30 on Jan 20th.
Sold to Open $SPX March 10th 2360/2385 call spreads for 1.45, with SPX at 2298.
ALK earnings
#Earnings Taking a bullish position as airlines have been performing well and chart is bullish.
STO $ALK Feb 17th 95/90 put spreads for 1.80. Max risk 3.20.
$DUST #ShortCalls – Bought to…
$DUST #ShortCalls – Bought to close DUST (ns) Mar 17 2017 12 Calls @ 0.05. This was an old pre-split position and won’t trade any lower.
Sold these last year over many months between July and early October at an average of 1.50
AAPL
STO March 17, 130 puts @2.20
CMG
STO January 275 put @6.20 on 1 contract.
NVDA
BTC Feb. 10, 95 puts @0.05, sold @1.05
LH
STO August 105 puts @1.20
MBLY
BTC Feb. 17, 37 puts @0.05, sold @1.15
YM Open Trade
#futures
8:35 Open YM long at 20040, as squeeze fires to the upside, with Wave-a moving to the upside, and Sq-Power high
Stop set at 20020
8:40 YM moves above 20060, stop moved to BE at 20040
8:45 YM moves past 20070, stop moved to 20050, locking a 10 point gain
9:20 target stop at 20075 hit, trade exits
gain @ 35 points
CMG
BTC March 17, 275 put @0.10, sold @4.15
REGN earnings
Unbelievable…moved back up to the 9th now…
Rolled this week’s 340/370 strangle to March monthly 310/395 @ 1.19 credit.
This makes room for an earnings trade…
GMB109 – ES/YM:
Have been following the ES/YM commentary and trying to setup the Chart, not having luck in some areas. I understand how to setup the John Carter Indicators.
– I am not having any luck setting up the “Pivots” as
your chart shows.
Is it possible for you to create a list and illustration of all the settings and indicators ?? It would be very helpful for all of us trying to get a grasp of your methods.
Also, would like to know more about the Carter Class you recently took, would like to do the same. If you have some of these items that can be sent I am at: lbower@gmbinvest.com
I and others do appreciate your help in this trading approach.
thanks, Larry – El Paso, Tx
#SpxCampaign Following Brain Trust
$SPX STO 3/3 2180/2205 @ 1.40
$SPX STO 3/10 2165/2190 @ 1.55
AMD
STO July 12 puts @1.35
NXPI
STO April 95 puts @1.00
Out a Few Hours Early
#spxcampaign
Closed Early
$SPX 2/6 2325/2300 BECS @ .20 84% profit
TQQQ
STC 2019, 35 calls
BTC 201935 puts
BTC Feb. 10, 72 calls for a credit of 34.80, my cost was 33.80 and It was too difficult to roll the weekly calls for a profit. There is more volatility in AMZN and GOOGL.
Getting back on the NUGT call train
Sold $NUGT Jun 16 24 calls @ 1.20. Highest strike.
CDK
BTC Feb. 17, 55 puts @.05, sold @1.10
CMG put
Sold $CMG Sep 15 350 put @ 15.00. Strike price is below the November low, and at a price the stock has not been since June, 2013. I’ll buy the stock at a cost basis of 335.00 if it ends up going down that far. But more likely, I’ll look to close the position many months early for more than 50% of the premium.
LH puts
Sold $LH Aug 18 105 puts @ 1.40
NUGT calls
Sold $NUGT Mar 24 17.50 calls @ .65
ES After Lunch
#futures
12:30 Enter long ES trade at 2285, stop at 2283..as wave-a moves to positive bars..risk = 2 points
1:00 Stop moved to 2284, Risk = 1 pt
1:20 ES enters a squeeze, wave above zero, I still hold, bars still blue..
1:30 Exit trade at 2285, for no gain…Wave turns red , scalp arrows turn down
cant win them all…
SPX puts sold
#SPXcampaign Sold an extra put spread, $SPX Feb 13th 2270/2245 for 2.30, with SPX at 2289 and one week to expiration.
/ES @Fibwizard @fuzzballl Did either…
/ES @Fibwizard @fuzzballl
Did either of you go short /ES @ 10:37am central? Indicators were lining up nicely. I don’t have the Launchpad yet so I don’t know what that showed.
#spxcampaign STO SPX MarWk2 2350/2375…
#spxcampaign
STO SPX MarWk2 2350/2375 call spread sold for $1.45 when SPX @2291
PCTY
BTC Feb. 30 puts @0.05, sold @.85
$ABMD #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$ABMD #ShortPuts – Bought to close 1 ABMD Mar 17 2017 70.0 Put @ 0.05. It won’t trade any lower and still has 6 weeks to run.
Originally sold 10/27/16 at 1.70
$GILD #FallingKnife – another decent…
$GILD #FallingKnife – another decent candidate
$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Weeklys – sold…
$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Weeklys – sold this morning
Sold UVXY Feb 10 2017 27.0 Calls @ 0.37
Sold UVXY Feb 10 2017 27.5 Calls @ 0.32
Sold UVXY Feb 10 2017 28.0 Calls @ 0.24
REGN quickie
#ShortStrangles – Trying to sneak one in before earnings next week…
Sold REGN FEB 10 2017 340.0/370.0 Strangle @ 3.25
TLT
#PerpetualRollingStrangles #ShortStrangles – Enjoy this position so much I’m increasing the size a little.
Sold TLT MAR 10 2017 116.0/122.0 Strangles @ 1.31
SPX puts sold
#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX March 10th 2190/2165 put spreads for 1.50, with SPX at 2294.
/YM scalp
I’m betting fibwizard is getting one heck of a nice scalp this morning. In at 19333 and still riding it. I gotta start getting up earlier…LOL
PS….I missed it. Too lazy… 😦 😦
Econ Calendar week of 2/6/17
VIX Indicator and SPX Chart…
VIX Indicator and SPX Chart have been updated
#Expiration #Earnings #Assignment and Some Trades
#earnings
$FB 2/3 132 Straddle Total Loss (Mishandled by me)
$AAPL 2/3 118/121/124/121 Iron Butterfly Small Loss
$AMZN 775/790 BUPS Closed early (was 2/17 expire) @93% profit
$FB 123 put Full profit
$FB 125 put Full profit
#optionsexpiration
$SPX 2135/2160 BUPS
$REGN 380 call (covered)
$NVDA 90 put
$BMY 48 put
$UVXY 40.50 call
$VRX 14.50 call (covered)
$CLF 9 call (covered)
#assignment
$APC called away @ 70 (Basis 68.38)
$NUGT called away @ 11 (Basis 9.95)
Trades
Closed Early
$NFLX STC 2/17 115 call @ 24.26 (BTO 11/10 @ 13.75)
$SVXY STO 2/24 95 put @ 1.30
$CSCO BTO 3/17 31 call @ .98 (OMM)
$MS STO 2/17 45 calls @ .63
$AMZN STO 3/17 750 put @ 4.60
Thanks to everyone who trades responsibly at Jeff’s Bistro.
Have a great weekend and a profitable next week.
#OptionsExpiration for 2/3 Only 2…
#OptionsExpiration for 2/3
Only 2 expirations:
$CYBR 02/03/2016 53.50 puts
$TWLO 02/03/2016 30.00 puts
No assignments.
Option Expiration Feb 3 SPX…
Option Expiration Feb 3 SPX IC 2225/2220 2310/2315
OPTION EXPIRATION, 2/3/17
JNUG 2/3/17 7.5 PUTS
UVXY 2/3/17 28.5 CALLS
UVXY 2/3/17 29.5 CALLS
UVXY 2/3/17 30.0 CALLS
BMY 2/3/17 48.0 PUTS
Have a great weekend everyone. ;>)
OptionsExpiration
Very good expiration. Lots of contracts expiring.
$SVXY $75 puts
$SVXY $124 calls
$UVXY $30 calls
$UVXY $31 calls
$UVXY $32 calls
$UVXY $35 calls
$UVXY $39 calls
$UVXY $40 calls
$UVXY $42 calls
$VXX $28.5 calls
#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Feb3 – Another…
#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Feb3 – Another stressful expiration as I needed to cover or roll positions in $SVXY and $DUST. But also, a number of profitable trades, including taking a nice gain in $NUGT after holding the stock for several months
— Expirations —
CF (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 36 Calls (Covered)
CVS (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 79 Calls (Covered)
MYL (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 37.5 Puts
NUGT (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 8 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 55 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 70 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 80 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 83 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 95 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 101 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 122 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 28 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 30 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 32.5 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 40.5 Calls (Covered)
UVXY 20/(Weekly) Feb 3 2017 15.5 Calls (Covered)
— Assignments —
NUGT (Weekly) Feb 3 2017 11.5 Calls (Covered)
$CVS #CoveredCalls – Sold CVS…
$CVS #CoveredCalls – Sold CVS (Weekly) Feb 10 2017 79.0 Calls @ 0.35, replacing calls expiring today.
Options Expiration 2/3/17
#OptionsExpiration #Earnings #SPXcampaign #IronButterfly #CoveredCalls #Assignment #ShortPuts #ShortCalls #VXXGame #StockTrades #ShortStrangles
–Expiring w/max profit–
FB 123, 126, 129 puts
FB 138 covered calls
REGN 340/400 strangle
UVXY 32 and 40 calls
SPX 2260/2235 put spreads. Sold for 3.35 on Jan 24th
SPX 2245/2220 put spreads. Sold for 1.35 on Monday
— Assignment ?? —
AMZN 840 put… was going to let the 810 long put cancel it out, but looks like I may get stock instead
— Expired w/Max loss —
AAPL 118/121/124 iron butterfly
SPX puts sold
#SPXcampaign Sold to open $SPX 2205/2180 put spreads for 1.30, with SPX at 2297. Not usually selling put spreads on up days, but this fulfills my basic campaign strategy of 2 call spreads and 2 put spreads per week. Next week I’ll be selling the March 10th expiry.
$SVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to…
$SVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to close 1 SVXY Feb 3 120 Call @ 2 to avoid assignment. Originally sold @ 2.75.
This friggin’ stock rallies late in the day almost every Friday. Feels a bit like manipulation to me.
SPX roll
#SPXcampaign #Rolling a roll
Bought to close $SPX Feb 6th 2290 calls for 8.70. Sold as 2290/2315 call spreads for 4.10 on Wednesday. (saving the 2315 long calls for Monday in case we get a strong pop)
Sold to Open $SPX Feb 15th 2295/2320 call spreads for 9.00. Will roll this again off it is ATM or ITM next week (one week before expiration.
QCOM
STO July 45 puts @1.28
Busted earnings trades
#Earnings Well, this quarter has been quite dismal for #IronButterflies and #IronCondors. I’m taking losses on FOUR this week. Naked options or one-sided credit spreads, meanwhile, have all been winners. Even though these losses are small (by design), I’ll have to rethink this strategy; although one win can make up for several losses, it doesn’t matter much if no wins are to be had!
BTC ANTM Feb 3rd 155 calls for 4.20. Sold as part of IB for 3.75
BTC MRK Feb 3rd 62 calls for 1.97. Sold as part of IB for 1.19.
Also looking at max losses on AAPL (.66) and AMZN (3.90).
$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – Repeating…
$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – Repeating last weeks move while pushing up the strike price.
Normally I would let this week’s worthless option roll off and attempt to sell next week’s on Monday.
I’m spending a little to buy back worthless calls but who knows what Monday will bring.
Bought to close NUGT Feb 3 2017 12.0 Calls @ 0.02 (Sold @ 0.14)
Sold NUGT Feb 10 2017 12.5 Calls @ 0.32
New SPX Trade
sold 2 Mar 17 2090/2190 bups @ 4.50
SPX Closed Trade
Jan 25 Sold 2 Feb 03 2230 Short puts @ 4.40
Feb 03 Bought back 2 Feb 03 2230 short puts @ 1.25
gain @ 71%
Following the Crowd
$SPX STO 3/3 2375/2350 BUCS @ 1.40
$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – Taking…
$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – Taking a small Gain and rolling down some expiring positions
Bought to close DUST Feb 3 2017 30.0 Puts / Sold DUST Feb 17 2017 27.0 Puts @ 0.10 Credit
Bought to close DUST Feb 3 2017 30.0 Puts / Sold DUST Feb 24 2017 26.5 Puts @ 0.40 Credit
#SPXcampaign BTC SPX 24 FEB…
#SPXcampaign BTC SPX 24 FEB 17 2170/2070 PUT @1.25 sold it on 17 JAN 2017 for 5.95, gained 80%
REGN earnings
The date finally matches the IV. Moved back to Feb 16 now…
TLT
#PerpetualRollingStrangles – Replacing this week’s expiration.
Sold TLT FEB 10 2017 119.5 Calls @ .69
SPX puts closed
#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Feb 16th 2150/2125 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.50 on Jan 17th.
#spxcampaign Closed my Feb 17th…
#spxcampaign Closed my Feb 17th 2120/2140 BuPS for 0.20.

