I think I am done with earnings trades for a while. The option prices do not adequately reflect the volatility. Yes the premiums rise into earnings but the move is bigger than expected so you still end up losing.
AMAT which I had almost recovered from previous earnings down 6.2% so will probably take another 12 weeks to break even. Now will have to sell below cost basis so will have to watch any reversal closely.
WDC, Mu total crap. Both beat earnings and expectations and have traded down 11-14%. At least MU looks like it may have found a base.
I can get same results using SMH for the chips without getting burned on earnings.
Be happy I did not sell puts in NVDA or it would have gone the other way 🙂
Have a great weekend!
Options Bistro 