CHWY earnings analysis

#Earnings $CHWY reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over its entire history.

A rare case where the expected move is nearly twice its historical maximum move.

June 9, 2020 AC -3.64% -3.64%
April 2, 2020 AC -4.82% -4.82%
Dec. 9, 2019 AC +5.45% 5.45%
Sept. 17, 2019 AC -6.14% -6.14%
July 18, 2019 AC -6.57% -6.57%

Avg (+ or -) 5.32%
Bias -3.14% , negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 62.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 54.66 to 69.34 (+/- 11.8%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 5 quarters: 58.70 to 65.30
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 5 Q’s (6.6%): 57.93 to 66.07
Based on UP max only (+5.5%): 65.38

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