SHOP IC Thx Jeff
KSS BuPS This was rolled from last week
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Sell BeCS as IWM approaches…
Sell BeCS as IWM approaches 20 and 50 daily ma Feb 23 $153.5/157 for $1.05 credit. I noticed ATM puts are much more expensive than calls, so sell call spread risking 2.45 to make 1.05.
#coveredcalls Rolled NUGT Feb 16…
Rolled NUGT Feb 16 $27 call to Mar 16 $30 call for $1.10. I entered trade about 11 am when NUGT was about $28, looking now I could have held till expiration (worthless.)
ETFs closed
#contangoetfs
Closed on GTC orders:
$KOLD Feb 16th 50 call for .05. Sold for 2.95 on Oct 5th.
$NUGT Mar 16th 44 calls. Sold for 1.50 and 1.22 in January.
SPX puts closed
#SPXcampaign When SPX got up to 2748 I closed this spread to take some profits…
Closed $SPX Feb 21st 2700/2675 put spreads for 1.75. Sold for 14.00 on Monday.
XLV
BTO Mar 16 86/85/83 The Call a bit more ITM 3.25 P/P/C #Fuzzy Un Hedged at this time
WDAY
BTC March 16, 80 put @.10, sold @ 1.45
I am slowly clearing up a lot of my small put shorts.
AAPL
#ShortPuts #Earnings – Three weeks to go and a nice rally. Consdering where these were last week I’m booking. Leftovers from an earnings trade…
Bought to Close AAPL MAR 9 2018 165.0 Put @ .89 (sold for 3.50)
Bought to Close AAPL MAR 9 2018 167.5 Put @ 1.27 (sold for 4.10)
#pietrades for next week. Will…
#pietrades for next week.
Will be assigned on AAPL today at 165, cost basis 161. Will re-load next week or when we have a little pull back (everything extended again).
Opened ERX CC at 28 strike, cost basis 27.5 on 5 contracts $260 income.
Closed XBI 85 put at 0.06, sold for 1.15.
Staying pretty close to goal of $900 a week income on 50k account.
Next week expirations wil be GILD at 72 CC, GM put at 42.5, and ERX. Will probably add another early next week. Trying to build up to 5 names, 3 contracts each.
SVXY hit 13, only 77 more points to go after calculating my avg. cost around 90! 🙂
PYPL
#SyntheticStock – Carefully easing the weekly up. I can’t see this thing getting back to it’s all time highs so keeping some downside protection but picking up 1.46 of upside
Rolled PYPL FEB 16 2018 75.5 Calls to MAR 9 2018 77.0 Calls @ .04 debit
Anybody remember the good old days when a major moving average, say the 50 day sma, used to serve as resistance when the price moved up to it?
MU
SLB
#SyntheticStock – Been looking to get a new one over in the oil patch. Synthetics are pretty diversified so far and this will help even more. I also looked at EOG and HES. Any of them would probably work. Should act as a hedge for my transport (LUV). It’s sitting down in congestion right now but looks to have some upside room.
Jan 2019 67.5/67.5/65 @ 5.35
Max loss: 7.85
48 weeks so need 17 cents average to cover.
VIX dropping, still in backwardation
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks-volatility/u-s-stock-volatility-shock-wanes-vix-futures-signal-smoother-sailing-idUSKCN1FZ2I2
Stop and roll
#SPXcampaign Stopped $SPX March 15th 2815/2840 call spreads for 4.30. Sold on Monday for 1.75.
#CondorRoll Sold Feb 20th 2700/2725/2760/2785 condors for 8.05. Aggressive strikes expiring Tuesday, which is our next trading day due to the holiday Monday.
Closing Early SQ BUCS (Holy Acronym Batman)
$SQ STC 2/16 40/45 BUCS at 76% of max profit
ANET
STO June 200 put on 1 contract @ 6.90
#earnings ANET Arista Networks down…
#earnings ANET
Arista Networks down $48 (15%) so far
#earnings DE Closed March 16…
#earnings DE
Closed March 16 IC for 1.07, sold yesterday for 1.70.
CC vs naked puts
We all know the graphs look the same but after a year of doing both I discovered something that makes a difference. I set up 1 account and have only traded CC in that account, a combination in the others mostly as #pietrades.
Interesting dynamics, both have performed well but the puts/call account did about 57.7% annualized. The CC only looks like it will be close to 88% annualized. That is a significant difference and the difference between doubling an account in 12-13 months vs. 18-24 months.
Very important now that 2 of my big IRA accounts are now little accounts from the SVXY debacle. At 88% could replace all the lost money in 3 years.
So anyway, selling ATM or even slightly ITM CC may improve returns compared to just selling puts. I think mostly because they are OTM and the ATM options have more premium. They also seem to be easier to roll down and when you roll them up you get appreciation plus extra income.
Feb 15 #Fuzzy Land Whew!…
Feb 15 #Fuzzy Land
Whew! Sea sick anyone?
1. Closed yesterday’s SPY #AtomicFuzzy for 41% profit on the core trade, total of $580. During the brief market swoon today I thought I’d take the profit. I didn’t anticipate the huge up move that followed.
My future Atomics will be set with April expiration unless I specifically want a quick flip.
2. Opened a new AAPL Atomic Fuzzy: Apr 170/170/165 @ 6.39 x 2, 180/185 Call Credit Spread @ 1.35 x 4. AAPL had a nice MACD cross today on the daily.
3. Closed the 15 DIA Fuzzies that I opened yesterday for a $1700 profit.
4. Rolled hedges on the AAPL and FB fuzzy bears that are taking heat.
My CLOSED fuzzy total for the quarter now is $26,454. I sure would like to reclaim that 50-handle…but I’m still being cautious. This string of powerful up moves….not a single one of them is a 1-standard deviation move. How can that be, you ask? The down move on Feb 5 was 5.4 standard deviations….as long as that bar stays in the SD average for compilations, it will affect all other bars printing. So, even though I’m looking for 3 1-SD up bars to confirm the rally, I have to keep in mind that the bars are being tamped down by that massive Feb 5 bar. Any indicators that you use that are tied to standard deviations will be seeing the same skew.
Closed Another SPX Early
#spxcampaign
$SPX BTC 2/16 2650/2675 BUPS @ .20 STO @ 1.75 Last week it was a BIG negative Thank you @jeffcp66 I know I am learning. Appreciate your incites. I mean insights, although lately many of us have become incited. And Lady Luck .
CYBR covered calls
Sold $CYBR Apr 20 50 calls @ 1.65. Been writing calls on this stock for quite some time. With this sale, my basis has been reduced by 14.25 (originally acquired at 57.40 so basis now 43.15). Selling the 50s gives me a little more upside as well, with the stock decisively breaking through resistance and just about filling the gap from July.
Here we go again
#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX March 9th 2810/2835 call spreads for 3.40. Sold for 1.50 last Thursday. Holding off on roll for now.
TQQQ Bearish Fuzzy
BTO Jan. 2019, 165 put @ 35.207
STO Jan. 2019, 165 call@ 30.985
BTO Jan., 2019 170 call @ 28.403
STO Feb.23,155 put @ 2.846
Trade cost 29.80 plus the 5.00 spread, so I need .73 cents per week to break even.
SPX Campaign / Closed Early SPX WUBA OLED CRM WYNN / Rolled DVN
#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 2/23 2665/2690 BUPS @ 4.75 and @ 6.70
$SPX STO 3/16 2475/2500 BUPS @ 1.40
$SPX STO 3/16 2875/2850 BUPS @ 1.80 Thank you for all @jeffcp66
#ironcondor
$BIDU STO 3/16 210/220/270/270 IC for 2.50
Closed Early I’m a little gun shy
$SPX BTC 2/21 2675/2700 BUPS @ 5.00 STO 2/13 @ 16.80 Thank you again kind sir @jeffcp66
$WUBA STC 2/16 75/85 BUCS @ 3.73 BTO 1/5 @ 5.00 Several days ago it was nearly 100% loss. Today only 26% loss. Of course before that which should not be named happened there was significant profit. Will probably open another BUCS in this name in hopes of earnings run. Earnings 2/26.
$OLED BTC 2/16 BUPS @ 7.00 STO @ 2.55 Made up some ground recently on $AAPL resurgence.
$CRM STC 2/16 105/115 BUCS @ 6.72. BTO at 3.50 Happy 😉
$WYNN BTC 2/16 150/160 BUPS @ .20 (GTC order) STO 1/30 at 2.84
Rolled
$DVN Rolled 2/16 41 put to 3/9 41 put for even.
#earnings #shortputspread DE Sold March…
#earnings #ironcondor DE
Sold March 16, 140/150/180/190 for 1.70
Taking off BIIB
I’m using today’s small bounce to get out of this short put for tomorrow’s expiration. It’s now above the strike price slightly so I’m out and taking my modest profit.
Bought to close $BIIB Feb 16 300 put @ 2.25. Sold for 3.60 on 1/8.
AAPL
TSEM
Closed #Fuzzy, poor choice, too short of trade. -205.00
TQQQ
BTC March 16, 75 puts @.10, sold @ 1.30
closing SHOP
#Earnings BTC $SHOP Feb 16th 117/149 #ShortStrangles for .10. Sold yesterday for 1.85.
TSLA
#ShortStrangles – Currently short June 170/510 and 180/500 strangles. These are decaying nicely so squeezing one more in. Plan is to close before next earnings unless they are looking REALLY safe.
Sold TSLA JUN 15 2018 190.0/470.0 Strangle @ 3.49
Was also looking at Sep 155/520 (highest and lowest strikes)
#pietrades GM Rolled Feb. 16,…
#pietrades GM
Rolled Feb. 16, 42.50 put to March 2, 42.50 for .40, basis is 126. Ex-div date is March 8, about .38, current stock price is 41.70
SHOP
#Earnings – Thanks @Jeff !!
Bought to Close SHOP FEB 16 2018 115.0/150.0 Strangles @ .10 (sold for 1.68)
UPS
SPX calls sold
#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX March 15th 2850/2875 call spreads for 1.60.
I suppose I’ll keep selling the call side until we get the upside warning. But it looks like its already time to roll the spread I sold on Monday.
MU
Rolled Feb 16 45.5 to Feb 23 .23 #Hedge
#Fuzzy . Has anyone looked…
#Fuzzy . Has anyone looked at Ford for a fuzzy?
F Jan 2020
STO 9.87 PUT
BTO 4.87 PUT
BTO 9.87 CALL
Or if you BTO 11.87 CALL you can do the trade or a credit.
Is there a trade here, or am I too optimistic?
TSLA
#Earnings – Still messing around with the remnants of the earnings strangle.
Current position was 310/320 strangle @ 8.05
Stock is bouncing so closing the put and rolling the call to a new strangle…
Bought to Close TSLA FEB 16 2018 310.0 Put @ .19
Rolled TSLA FEB 16 2018 320.0 Call to MAR 9 2018 315/355 Strangle @ .41 credit.
Tiny credit overall so now MAR 9th 315/355 @ 8.25
MU, XBI
#Fuzzy – STO MU Feb23’18 45 calls for 0.32.
Also STO XBI Feb23’18 95 calls for 0.40.
SPX
Closed out the Feb 23rd Trade from Tuesday that Jeff Posted…
BTO Feb 23 Long 2575 @ 13.20
STO Feb 23 Short 2625 @ 22.10
BTC Feb 23 Short 2625 puts @ 5.90
STC Feb 23 Long 2575 Puts @ 2.40
Gain 60%…..
VXX and SVXY
#VXXGame I forgot I had even sold a $VXX Feb 23rd 27 call for 6.00 on Feb 2nd. But I did and I was early assigned on Monday night, so I’m short 100 shares. I will hold that.
As for $SVXY, the only short put they’ve left me with was the Feb 16th 90 put. I guess waiting for assignment on schedule rather than early. I also have a Jan 2019 25 put which I don’t expect assignment on anytime soon.
Downside?
#VIXIndicator, well we never got the Downside Warning cancellation…. 2700 seems like a good place to pause as traders still wary after the tumult. I remain bullish for now, but we’ll see what the afternoon brings.
Sold $SPX March 15th 2500/2475 put spreads for 1.60.
#shortputs SVXY Closed Feb. 16,…
#shortputs SVXY
Closed Feb. 16, 12 put for .12, originally a Feb. 9, rolled to tomorrow, not messing around with this for $12
SPX
BTC 5 MAR 18 2470/2460 PUT @0.20 Sold @0.70 on 12 Feb 2018
SPX trades
#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order: $SPX March 9th 2300/2275 put spreads for .20. Sold on Feb 5th for 1.80. Got above 4.00 on Feb 6th…. that’s past my usual roll stop but it was just too far OTM to worry about.
STOPPED Feb 21st 2750/2775 call spreads for 3.50. Sold for 4.35 in a #CondorRoll last Thursday.
#ReverseRoll Sold Feb 23rd 2690/2665 put spreads for 5.45.
AAPL call closed
#CoveredCalls #CoveredCallCampaigns Owning stock during a face-ripping rally is great! Covered Calls, not so much.
BTC $AAPL Mar 9th 170 call for 4.90. Sold for 1.23 on Monday. Will be back to sell calls, and probably some puts, too.
$SVXY
#CoverCalls
Started to sell some calls this morning
STO Mar 9 $15 calls @ $0.30
TLT
STO Feb 23 120/121 BeCS .13
#Bitty
ITM roll
#SPXcampaign On Feb 2nd I sold an ITM put spread in anticipation of the correction ending.
Sold $SPX Feb 23rd 2825/2800 put spreads for 16.90, when SPX was at 2761.
Feb 23 was too ambitious… this was a short correction but even so, should have gone to March. But I fully expected this possibility. I rolled in two steps this time. I put in GTC orders and adjusted prices slowly.
Sold SPX March 2nd 2800/2775 put spreads for 23.80. This filled yesterday during the morning gap down.
Closed Feb 23rd 2825/2800 put spreads for 24.00. This filled early this morning in pre-market.
So I was able to move the spread 25 points lower for only a .20 debit.
Since I paid only 1.00 less than the 25.00 cost to let the Feb 23 spread expire fully ITM, it was also possible to leave it in case we actually rally above 2800 by next Friday. I doubt that will happen, but it could!
SPY
Rolled Feb 16 274 Calls to Feb 23 276.5 .24 Cr #Hedge
So what did the VIX…
So what did the VIX close at yesterday? Can’t tell if i’m seeing yesterday’s close or pre-hours. If it’s the close, did the downside get cancelled yesterday?
SHOP whew
#Earnings #ShortStrangles Lucky we got a pullback on earnings… the steady tick higher had me sweating the 149 calls, but they and the 117 puts look much better now.
Good Morning
Good Morning
UVXY It would have been…
UVXY
It would have been a nice trade to buy UVXY puts yesterday.
Or even a put spread. UVXY is down $4.80
Feb 14 #Fuzzy Land Hi…
Feb 14 #Fuzzy Land
Hi Everyone! I’m starting to take some new Fuzzy nibbles. I’m still not seeing the indicator that I want for a full blown rally, so I’m being very cautious with size. I’m still making the bulk of my daily money with NQ scalping right now.
Open positions:
AAPL Fuzzy bear (apr 165/165/170) only a teensy 2-lot. Closed hedge today
DIA regular fuzzy: Mar 274/274/245 @ 3.87 w/ 251 hedge, 15 contracts in 2 accounts
FB Fuzzy bear (apr 175/175/180 @ 6.16, removed hedge today, 5 contracts
IWM Regular Fuzzy (Mar 151/151/149) hedged w/ 151 (ITM)
MU Regular Fuzzy (Apr 42/42/40) w/ 43.5 hedge (close to ITM)
SPY #AtomicFuzzy (Mar 269/269/267 x10, 271/275 x20) did you catch this?
TBT Regular Fuzzy (Apr 39/39/37) unhedged
Who caught the Atomic Fuzzy? Don Kaufman at Theo Trade has an “Atomic Hedge” trade, where OTM puts are bought at a certain expiration, and using the same expiration a 2x OTM call spread is sold to cover the cost of the puts, all against a long underlying position. The trade hedges pretty well, while still offering long delta for continued move up. Of course after reading about it, my first thought was “Fuzzify it!” So by doing the same thing with a Fuzzy, the max loss is cut in half or more. I put my first one on today and I liked the movement it saw in the rally. What it does is build in the hedge up front, so you can set it and forget managing hedges.
Here’s my specfic trade on SPY:
1. Synthetic: Mar 269/269 for .51 cr x 10
2. Protective puts: Mar 267 for 4.33 x10
3. Atomic element: Mar 271/275 call credit spread 1.63 cr x 20
Regular Fuzzy max loss: $5451
Atomic Fuzzy max loss: $2560
It does suck away about 100 delta so it moves more slowly than a regular unhedged fuzzy. Also it needs to be managed early to avoid the upside “sea of death”. But it moved well in today’s rally and is designed for holding just a week or two with this DTE, or can be designed with a much longer DTE.
I’m a tester/tweaker on everything, this is the first test….so I’m happy to keep reporting on these as a few more test cases are created. Hey…it sure is nice to see the cost of fuzzies coming DOWN!! 🙂
Sue
VXX moves
#VXXGame Added to existing long put positions:
Bought $VXX June 25 puts for .70
Bought $VXX Jan 2019 20 puts for 1.70
Bought $VXX June 30 put for 1.95
Also, sold $UVXY Jan long 75 put for 3.40. Purchased for 1.59 in January as a pre-hedge against short calls sold in February.
FB covered call
#CoveredCalls #CoveredCallCampaign
Sold $FB Mar 9th 187.5 call for 1.45.
I now have this campaign going for FB, $AAPL, and $BABA. I also have $VRTX but I plan to sell that stock once it gets to 170.00 area.
SVXY additional thoughts
So without being back in contango SVXY is now up 1.2% on the day. I have been looking at percentages and found some info that the reason it dropped so hard was because of the difference in the short vs. long term VIX nunbers. Had long term vol. been higher, the drop would not have been as severe. It appears that you have to watch the potential spread and the wider it gets, the more damage a volatility spike will cause.
Since vol had been so low, the difference caused by the spike was more severe.
Anyway, I certainly won’t trade it unhedged again but I think it is a useful tool for income and trading.
Also, at these suppressed levels the option premium is not there to justify selling cc yet, at least for me. We start getting some decent premiums I will start selling weeklies against it but need at least 0.40 a few strikes OTM before I would call that decent. Had you sold the ATM you would already be rolling.
Once back in contango (vix below 17 should trigger), the drag from rolling the options should start to have a good benefit. Historically about 1-2% every 2 weeks in looking at the contango history.
Do we zoom back to 140, probably not. But if we can stay in contango for a while, we could be sitting at the 30-40 level again in 6 months. That would be enough of a recovery for me to close everything out and move the earned back cash to other vehicles.
I think the best way to trade this would be #fuzzies after a vol spike. Controlled risk, no cap on upside if you do not sell calls against it.
I know a lot of us were burned on this and I can feel your pain, 2 IRA accounts almost completely wiped out, but I think if we are patient, hedge gradually on the way up (buy puts in case it goes to zero), we can get back most of what we lost in about 6-12 months. Of course any additional vol. spikes will slow that down. Be patient but hedge.
Just thinking out lot. Anyone else have anything to add please comment……….
#earnings SHOP A sign of…
#earnings SHOP
A sign of the times “Shopify Shares Continue To Rally, Now Up ~7% Wednesday And 13.5% For The Week, As Traders Circulate A CBC Article From Feb. 12th Highlighting A Deal Between The Ontario Govt. And Shopify To Run Online Cannabis Sales”
#earnings #shortputspread AAPL Way back…
#earnings #shortputspread AAPL
Way back in what seems like another time, January 25 and 26, I sold put spreads 155/160 and 162.50/165 ahead of earnings and out to Feb. 16. I closed them today after 3 strong moves, made a little, didn’t lose any.
SPX
BTC SPX Mar18 2550 Short Puts @ 16.00, Previously Sold at 40.80 on Feb 12
Gain of 61%
STO SPX Mar18 2550 short puts @16.00 at the bottom of the move down at 1:30cst..
sold against my existing Long side that I kept ….will see if I can get another 60% on the same put..
BTC Mar 23 2600 short puts at 24.80, sold monday at the turn, at 57.00
Gain , nearly 60%…
STO Mar 23 2600 short puts, at 23.75, against my long side existing…
SPY Rolled #Hedge Feb 14…
SPY Rolled #Hedge Feb 14 274 to Feb 16 274 .13
BMY STC #Fuzzy 60/60/58 Mar…
AAPL
BMY
#Fuzzy – BTC BMY Feb16’18 63 calls for 1.66 sold for 0.53, STC BMY Mar23’18 60/60/58 Fuzzy for 5.09, bought for 2.09. Hope this one pulls back some and I will do it again maybe. After all is said and done made 1.96 on 10 contracts.
TBT
Are we getting close to a #SyntheticShortStock position?
TLT
#PerpetualRollingStrangles – Lots going on in my TLT position…LOL Been carrying some of these short calls for a long time…(added a few recently too) Rolled DITM puts out to 2020 and way down. I’ll be selling the call side against those for awhile (cautiously!) Also synthetic short and long puts shorter term.
Bought to Close TLT FEB 16 2018 120.5 Calls @ .03 (sold for .49)
Bought to Close TLT FEB 16 2018 121.0 Calls @ .02 (sold for 2.20)
Combined all of those into one big new sale…
Sold TLT MAR 2 2018 120.0 Calls @ .44
MU
#Fuzzy – BTO MU Mar16’18 44/44/42 Fuzzy for 0.75. Leaving unhedged for now. MU reports earnings on 03/22/18.
SPX puts closed
#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX March 9th 2200/2175 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.90 on Feb 6th when it was 440 points OTM.
SHOP earnings
#Earnings Classic earnings strangle just outside historic moves.
Sold $SHOP Feb 16th 117/149 #ShortStrangles for 1.85. Biggest UP move: 11.6%, Biggest DOWN move: -9.0%, Average move: 7.2%. My strikes are +/- 12% OTM
XBI
#Fuzzy – BTC XBI Feb16’18 93 calls for 0.38, sold for 0.42. Leaving my core XBI Jun’18 91/91/88 Fuzzy unhedged for now. Trying to get out of the way of the stock moving up. Coulda closed for about 0.08 earlier today. Poof there went the Valentines dinner and spa treatment, got reduced to a box of chocolates! Hope I didn’t mess up but looking like the market may go up for a bit with decent earnings coming in and the Fed meeting over a month away.
SPX
#RocketManHedge – Leaving plenty of downside protection while still collecting enough premium to cover the cost of the hedge…
Bought to Close SPX FEB 20 2018 2540.0 Put @ 1.85 (sold for 14.10)
Sold SPX FEB 23 2018 2575.0 Put @ 7.25
VIX is telling the story this morning
The Downside Warning is not officially over until VIX closes below 17.76. But the drop its having this morning, even when the market gapped down, tells me the market is going higher. This morning’s futures drop was a chance for bears to retake control but looking like they barely had a chance.
Options Bistro 