Killing downside warning

#SPXcampaign #VIXIndicator It’s becoming clear that Downside Warning needs to be scrapped. I’m taking it off the site and will determine a new strategy. The trigger will remain only as a set up for the eventual Upside Warning, which has been working like a charm.

$CAT #CoveredPuts Sold against my…

$CAT #CoveredPuts
Sold against my short stock position:
STO $CAT Dec 29 128 puts @ 1.41.
Strike price is below the 50 day moving average.

SVXY

STO Nov 24 $80 puts @ $0.50
STO Dec 29 $70 puts @ $2.00

SVXY

STO December 29, 65 put @1.60

Closed Nov 17th 2500/2475 BuPS…

Closed Nov 17th 2500/2475 BuPS for 0.20 off a GTC order. Yay!

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Got stopped near the lows on some put spreads that were expiring today and tomorrow. Worst time to close them.

Stopped Nov 15th 2565/2540 put spreads for 8.10
#ReverseRoll Sold Nov 17th 2560/2585 call spreads for 9.40 (I will have to stop this by end of day if we don’t drop)

Stopped Nov 16th 2585/2560 put spreads for 16.90. No roll yet.

Stopped Nov 22nd 2555/2580 call spreads for 14.30. Rolling to a Nov 29th call spread as we move higher.

VIX and SPX

Well, if this does not turn into more of a correction, I will replace the Downside Warning with Iceman’s BTFD billboard. April was the last time we actually had some follow through on a downside warning, and it was only minor. Otherwise they have only meant buy the dip.

I can also say that the ITM call-spread rolling that worked beautifully before is NOT working for me this time. I experienced the usual drawdown, but have been stuck now with too many spreads close to the money and getting whipsawed on days like today. I am having to cease with selling rolls on some spreads I am closing, mainly because I need to get back to the standard strategy of 10-12 delta OTM spreads.

For now, I’m watching to see how the day ends. My main goal is to get call spreads closed while we’re down, as the inevitable move will be higher. However, we can’t shut the door on a correction before year’s end. I don’t know how much the delay of tax cuts will effect the market, but it is my opinion that nothing will be passed before Christmas. That could mean a deeper correction, but more likely a BTFD.

SVXY

#IRA – Sold 1 SVXY FEB 16 2018 60.0 Put @ 2.88

$SVXY adding slowly

Sold $SVXY Dec 29 70 put @ 2.10

#vxxgame

$UVXY 2020

Dipping a toe into 2020 here to get something on the books at the highest strike. Will wait for more strikes to be added before selling more.
Sold $UVXY Jan 17 2020 33 call @ 10.00.
#VXXGame

$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple of orders filled this morning with the stock just below 100.
Sold SVXY Dec 8 2017 65.0 Puts @ 0.67
Sold SVXY Dec 15 2017 65.0 Puts @ 1.22
Sold SVXY Dec 22 2017 65.0 Puts @ 1.25
Sold SVXY Dec 29 2017 65.0 Puts @ 1.59
and
Sold SVXY Dec 29 2017 60.0 Puts @ 1.25

$UVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to…

$UVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to close 2 UVXY Nov 17 2017 14.0 Puts @ 0.01.
We all know that the VIX could collapse at any time.
Sold these on 11/03/2017 at 0.60.

LTC Litecoin

@fuzzballl RE: your post yesterday, interesting stuff…more info 4 u.

Interactive Brokers warns on bitcoin futures
http://www.seekingalpha.com/news/3312462

DOWNside Warning in effect

#VIXIndicator

Upside Warning canceled

#VIXIndicator The Upside warning that started on Sept 22nd was finally canceled at the open today, as the VIX is now over 50% higher than its low on Nov 3rd. This constitutes a signal for the downside. A full downside warning will happen if we reach 14.38 today.

These red flags are lurking…

These red flags are lurking below a market at record highs

“Fast Money” traders discusses which stocks are safe to buy as they dip lower.

Watch: http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000671223

SPX trade

#SPXcampaign Forgot to post this yesterday. A put spread hit my stoop on the morning lows so I closed it, as well as its offsetting call spread (at a profit). I did not roll it yet.

Stopped $SPX Dec 8th 2510/2485 put spreads for 2.88.
Closed SPX Dec 8th 2650/2675 call spreads for .42.
Both spreads sold as an #IronCondor last week for 3.05.

#svxy Is today with vix…

#svxy

Is today with vix at 12.93 and rising a good day to sell puts in this product?

Good morning

According to zero hedge, Denis Gartman thinks the bear market is upon us. If true to form, we should buy the dip.

#rocketmanhedge

LTC (Litecoin)

#Litecoin – Still playing in the middle of a busy street. Not sure how safe this is but have added some more Litecoin over the last couple weeks.

Bought to Open Litecoin @ 54.46 (earlier)
Bought to Open Litecoin @ 62.60 (tonight)

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – Bought…

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – Bought to close Jan 19 2018 32.0 Puts/ Sold DUST Mar 16 2018 30.0 Puts @ 0.25 Credit.
Originally sold the Jan 32.0 Puts @ 14.67 on a #Rolldown in April and covered them today at 6.46.
I didn’t “need” to make this trade today, but I wanted to get the strike price down on an up day in the stock. (at least it was up this morning) 🙂

End of day SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Sold $SPX Dec 14th (monthly) 2635/2660 call spreads for 1.90
Sold $SPX Nov 17th 2590/2615 call spreads for 2.50. Expire this Friday at the close.

#shortcallspreads GOOGL Followed a Tastytrade…

#shortcallspreads GOOGL
Followed a Tastytrade trade Dec. 15, 1070/1080 BeCS for 2.40, GOOGL is at 1041

GILD rolled 24 DTE 78…

GILD rolled 24 DTE 78 put to 45 DTE for 0.65 credit as a calendar now. Only had 0.15 time value left. Going @fuzzballl style, stay 45 DTE and roll them when 20 or so DTE left and most of the time value has been sucked out.

Decreases max loss to $2525 now so will be rolling and adjusting these for a while!

IBB split

Was looking at some of our old friends…BIB XBI LABU and IBB for maybe some potential #FallingKnife possibilities when I stumbled on this for IBB:

The Board has approved a 3-for-1 split for this fund for shareholders of record as of the close of business on November 28, 2017, payable after the close of trading on November 30, 2017. The 3-for-1 split will lower the share price and increase the number of outstanding shares. The total value of shares outstanding is not affected by a split.

Could be interesting. Just watching for now but out next year at 220-240 looks like it could get juicy.

Boring day so step right up!

Options question on a Whiz trade from this morning. What is wrong with this? I’ll post my reply to him at the close today…LOL For the record, I DID NOT take the trade for a few reasons. Trade is a #LongCallDiagonals with protective put. He says max loss is around $5500 for 10 contracts…Hmmm

=====================================================

New XOM long call diagonal w/protective put 10 contracts

Initial trade:

Buy Jan 2020 65 calls & 65 puts @ 20.75 debit

Weekly sale:

Sell Dec 1 2017 83.5 calls

=====================================================

$SVXY #coveredputs sold SVXY for…

$SVXY #coveredputs
sold SVXY for $102.10, and Nov 17 $100 put for $1.40, yielding 3.38% if exercised

$SVXY #shortcallspreads BTC Nov 17…

$SVXY #shortcallspreads
BTC Nov 17 110/115 bear call spread for 0.05, sold yesterday for 0.45

SVXY

STO Dec 15 $75 put @ $1.80
STO Dec 22 $70 put @ $1.65

Was in a meeting so missed the last flush lower so couldn’t get the fills that @optioniceman got.

$SVXY STO Dec 29th 75…

$SVXY STO Dec 29th 75 Put @ 2.55 with SVXY at 101.82.

Afternoon all. Just popped in…

Afternoon all. Just popped in from running the dog around the yard and saw Iceman’s postings. Joined the sell.
$SVXY STO Dec 15th 75 Puts @ 1.80 with SVXY @ 101.57 Now if I can just catch that Dec 29 price.

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY Dec 29 2017 70.0 Puts @ 2.05 with the stock at 101.98

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – in an account already short some ITM Calls I’m bringing in cash with no additional margin requirement.
Sold SVXY Dec 15 2017 75.0 Puts @ 1.84.
Sold SVXY Dec 22 2017 75.0 Puts @ 2.24.

DGX

STO February 100,  covered calls @ 1.70

$SVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to…

$SVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to Close 2 SVXY JAN 19 2018 137.5 Calls @ 0.48.
The original position was a sale of 1 SVXY Jan 275.0 Call @ 3.60 before the 2 – 1 split.
Taking gains when I can get them in SVXY Calls.

Old school style hedge

GILD is being my PIA trade. Down from 84.75 to 70.63 in less than a month. Usually I can roll to keep up but this thing has violated every support level over the last 6 months and keeps dropping even with institutions starting to buy it now. And the premiums are not high enough to keep up with the drop so each roll was just giving me higher margin requirements.

So anyway, I hedged it to limit my losses to $2851 but is fairly complex. Still short 8 puts at various strikes and expirations over next 17-31 DTE from 78-72. Bought 8 Jan 19 77.5 puts so those are now calendar and diagonals spreads and will roll the puts as the time value evaporates. They cost 12.26 and have over 60 weeks left so should be able to cover those with put weekly put sales and aggressively rolling down to get back to even but will need to add 4-6 to cover the rolls on the puts already. So I need to collect $18 in premium over the life of the LEAPs.

Also rolled 12/1 76 call to 71.5 and converted to synthetic short to cover my 300 shares from a further drop. Will roll the synthetic each week until we have a true reversal and will try to get a credit each week.

Credit of 1.04 on the call roll then BTO the 12/1 71.5 put for 1.80.

So now my losses are capped to what I am already in the hole and hope to make that up with weekly sales and rolling.

Ultimate goal is now just to break even. Learned long ago I don’t need to be right, just want to make $ trading.

So this will be a #longputdiagonals trade until I can scratch it. I may convert the calls to LEAPs with next roll for a true #longputdiagonals.

Also freed up a lot in margin so can now add some other trades.

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rolldown – I’ve…

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rolldown – I’ve been sitting on these short puts for months, with big gains in them because they were rolled into when the stock was a lot lower. Taking the opportunity of the move toward 28 in the stock to roll them down and out again.
Bought to close Nov 17 2017 29.0 Puts/ Sold DUST Dec 15 2017 27.0 Puts @ 0.10 Credit.
Originally sold the DUST Nov 17 2017 29.0 Puts on another rolldown  @ 7.80 and covered them today at 1.83.

$SVXY #shortputs BTC Nov 17…

$SVXY #shortputs

BTC Nov 17 $94 puts for 0.65, sold Nov 9 for $1.20.

SVXY

STO December 29, 60 put @ 1.10

SVXY UVXY

STO SVXY Nov 24 $85 puts @ $0.80
STO UVXY Dec 1 $22 calls @ $1.00

REGN

#CoveredCalls – Still reducing basis as it drops…

Bought to Close REGN NOV 17 2017 415.0 Call @ .12 (sold for 6.29)

Sold REGN NOV 24 2017 400.0 Call @ 2.60

$SVXY

STO SVXY Dec 1 $80 puts @ $1.00

SVXY Dec

Sold $SVXY Dec 15 70 put @ 1.30

UVXY for this week

Sold $UVXY Nov 17 21.50 calls @ .25

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign

Sold $SPX Dec 14th (monthlys) 2450/2425 put spreads for 1.55.

Sold Nov 30th 2570/2545 put spreads for 6.50, as an #ATMroll from the 2585/2560 puts closed yesterday for 6.40. Was able to move down 15-points by waiting for the down open.

IBM

#401k #Dividends #ShortPuts – Adding to a few potential divvy stocks in the long term account…

Sold IBM APR 20 2018 140.0 Put @ 4.30

Gets the stock at 135.70 with a 4.4% divvy at that level. Throw in a few covered calls annually and it’s decent return….

REGN

#FallingKnife possibility. I’ve been selling covered calls (cautiously) against it. Looking at a possible long term trade there too. Great weekly premium….

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Closed $SPX Nov 20th 2560/2585 call spreads for 17.15. Sold for 20.25 last Monday.
#ITM roll Sold Nov 27th 2570/2595 call spreads for 16.00.

Closed Nov 20th 2585/2560 put spreads for 6.40. Sold for 6.10 last Monday.
Not rolling yet. Watching for next strong move and will sell in that direction, or a condor.

Closed Nov 24th 2625/2650 call spreads for .40. Sold for 1.75 on Oct 27th.

AMD

Possible #SyntheticStock or #LongCallDiagonals out to 2020.

Not a big fan of their products but seems pretty low risk at synthetic 12 with disaster put at 10. After this big drop it might grind around for awhile allowing pretty aggressive weekly sales before it heads back up (or down…LOL)

UVXY 2020

#VXXGame – Highest strike is 26 in the new ones. Already 448 on the volume. Nothing for me yet…

Starting a position in TTD

Never traded this one before. Stock has imploded but momentum seems to be slowing.
Sold $TTD Dec 15 45 puts @ 1.45 with the stock at 47.79.

TDA update

#Commissions – Well they were a lot more accommodating this year and gave me what I was asking as far as options go. They are about even with Tastyworks now. I’ll go after the stock commission again next year and the exercise fees. I think they’re seeing the reality of things finally!

Sticker back in the drawer for now…

TW

TSLA

#ShortStrangles – Adding one to the upside…unbalanced now. 170 put against 500 and 510 calls.

Sold 1 TSLA JUN 15 2018 500.0 Call @ 2.65

$SVXY #shortcalls Sold Nov 17…

$SVXY #shortcalls

Sold Nov 17 $110/115 BeCS for 0.45, delta 0.18

NVDA

#ShortStrangles – One of my top performers for the year…just doesn’t feel right without something going.

Sold NVDA DEC 15 2017 200.0/240.0 Strangle @ 4.32

#optionladder STO EOG 46 DTE…

#optionladder

STO EOG 46 DTE 97 put for 1.05, 1.03, 1.02. Weird the market makes did not do them as a batch, usually means they are being greedy.

Econ Calendar for week of 11/13/17

Be sure to periodically click “Home/REFRESH” above to keep Bistro features updated.

Screen Shot 2017-11-13 at 5.58.32 AM

NOTE: There may be errors…

NOTE: There may be errors and omissions in this list. Please perform your own due diligence and confirm the earnings date BEFORE entering a trade.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Notable Earnings After Close Fri (Last Week)/Before Open Mon:

ACM, JD, TSN, VRAY

http://bit.ly/2howZNL

Notable Earnings After Close Mon/Before Open Tues:

AAP, ARMK, CLSN, CXRX, DHT, DKS, FENG, HD, HOLI, IGT, KLIC, LNG, PQG, SSYS, SWCH, TJX, WOW

http://bit.ly/2hnMipR

Notable Earnings After Close Tues/Before Open Wed:

AMRS, ARA, AST, AUPH, BZH, EVOK, JASO, MTOR, MTSI, PLCE, SBH, TGT, WPRT, YRD, YY

http://bit.ly/2hpe5GB

Notable Earnings After Close Wed/Before Open Thurs:

ANW, BBY, BERY, BL, BSTI, CATO, CSCO, FGL, HI, HP, NTAP, NTES, SFS, SJM, SPB, SPH, STNG, VIAB, WMT

http://bit.ly/2hmSNcq

Notable Earnings After Close Thurs/Before Open Fri:

AMAT, BKE, DCIX, FANG, FL, GLOB, GPS, HIBB, POST, ROST, SCVL, SPLK, SPWH, WSM

Jade lizard TT research as…

Jade lizard TT research as opposed to just selling puts. Fairly significant difference in credits.

2020 LEAPS…when?

Get the rest of them tomorrow including UVXY, VXX, and SVXY!

https://www.optionseducation.org/tools/faq/leaps_cycles.html

VIX going up

#VIXindicator The VIX is trending up again. Closes at or beyond the upper or lower Bollinger bands often signal a reversal is imminent. On the last uptrend in late October we closed 4 days at or just outside the upper BB, then reversed. On the current uptrend, we haven’t closed that high yet, which suggests the VIX uptrend may continue, meaning more volatility in the coming week.

Screen Shot 2017-11-12 at 9.09.16 AM

Expiration

$SVXY Nov 10th 80 Put

Expiration / SPX Campaign / Closed Early / Assignment/Roll

Expiration
$AVGO 240 put Thank you @fuzzballl
$EXAS 51.5 put
$GOOGL 850/890 BUPS
$AAPL 149/157.50 BUPS

#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 11/24 2585/2560 BECS @ 18.50 Thank you @jeffcp66

Closed Early
$MCD BTC 11/17 170/160 BECS @ 50% lower loss than yesterday. Whew!

Rolled/Assigned
$SQ STC 11/10 34.5 Calls @ 5.05 BTO 11/7 @ 3.20 This was half of position
Took assignment of other half @ 34.50 Been looking to acquire this stock. Hope it was worth the wait

Thanks to everyone on this red white and blue site. Have a great weekend.

Nov 10 Expiration

Just one today, with no assignments.
Expired: UVXY Nov 10 25 calls

Is there really less than 2 weeks until Thanksgiving?

Wow….two expired!

#OptionsExpiration

SPX 2560 Put (sold for 5.20)
STMP 182.5 Call (sold for 3.63)

OptionsExpiration

SVXY $60 puts
SVXY $65 puts
SVXY $80 puts
UVXY $17 calls
UVXY $21.5 calls
UVXY $25 calls
UVXY $35 calls
IWM $145.5/$140 put spreads

Also shortly before the close BTC Nov 13 SPX $2570/$2565 put spreads @ $0.50, sold for $0.85. It was always my plan to exit these before the weekend, but really did expect a bigger profit. Yesterday’s action and today’s choppiness kept a bid in these puts and they just didn’t decay as fast as I had wanted. Still have 2 other open put spreads.

Have a great weekend everyone.

Final SPX trades

#SPXcampaign $SPX

Sold Dec 8th 2635/2660 call spreads for 1.51
Sold Dec 8th 2480/2455 put spreads for 1.44

Closed Nov 16th 2615/2640 call spreads for .45. Sold for 1.80 on Oct 20th

Sold Nov 15th 2595/2620 call spreads for 2.20
Sold Nov 24th 2510/2535 put spreads for 1.95

Have a nice weekend

I only have one expiration today. Friday afternoons can really be boring.

SVXY 60 puts.

SVXY

STO December 29, 70 put @ 1.85

Juicing returns

Added a straddle/strangle to GILD to make break even quicker now that we have found bottom.

STO 21 DTE 72 put at 0.8. Cost basis now 76.26 but break even only 74.37 for the entire series of positions. Pairs with the 21 DTE CC at 76.

have a good weekend!

EWZ

#ShortStrangles – Small roll down for some extra credit (again).

Rolled EWZ DEC 15 2017 42.5 Calls down to DEC 15 2017 40.0 Calls @ .65 credit…

Position is now Dec monthly 40 straddle @ 2.73

FB earnings

Covered Stock remnants from an #Earnings trade. No interest in holding this beyond today so bailing out at even.

Sold stock and bought 177.50 call @ 177.47 giving up 3 cents to avoid exercise fees…

TTD

Sold 1,  April 35 put at 1.50

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Too much indecision to leave ITM put spreads over the weekend:

Closed Nov 15th 2595/2570 put spreads for 12.30. Sold in #InverseCondor for 23.25 on Nov 1st
Partially rolled to: Nov 22nd 2590/2565 put spreads for 8.70

Closed Nov 13th 2590/2565 put spreads for 9.35. Sold in an #InverseCondor for 23.00 on Oct 30th.
#CondorRoll Sold Nov 27th 2555/2580/2600/2625 condors for 11.00.

Also, Sold Nov 24th 2560/2585 call spreads for 17.30, as #ITMroll.

MDT, CAH

STO MDT, June 65 put @1.11 on 1 contract

STO CAH March 50 put @1.20 on 1 contract