#CoveredCalls – Getting some fresh premium going while volatility is still up a little…
Bought to Close SQ AUG 16 2019 71.0 Calls @ .20 (sold for 1.34)
Sold SQ SEP 6 2019 70.0 Calls @ 1.27
Daily Archives: Tuesday, August 6, 2019
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Aug 7th 2775/2795-2930/2950 condors for 1.25, IV 21.5%, SPX 2877.
A TRADE:
CSII BTO STOCK @42.98
TRADES:
STNE STO 8/16/19 38.0 CALLS @.70
AMD STO 8/9/1930.0 CALLS @.23 COVERED
YETI STO 8/9/1930.0 ITM PUTS @1.05
#earnings DIS Sold Sept. 20,…
#earnings DIS
Sold Sept. 20, 130/150 strangle for 3.49, thank you Jeff for the data.
TRADES:
BYND STO 8/9/19 170/175 BeCS @.75
STNE BTO STOCK @35.02
PAYS BTO STOCK @10.98
DIS earnings analysis
#Earnings $DIS reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 8, 2019 AC -1.03%
Feb. 5, 2019 AC -1.10%
Nov. 8, 2018 AC +1.72%
Aug. 7, 2018 AC -2.21%
May 8, 2018 AC -1.78%
Feb. 6, 2018 AC -1.32%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC +2.04%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -3.87% Biggest DOWN
May 9, 2017 AC -2.15%
Feb. 7, 2017 AC 0.00%
Nov. 10, 2016 AC +2.86% Biggest UP
Aug. 9, 2016 AC +1.23%
Avg (+ or -) 1.78%
Bias -0.47%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 140 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 133.71 to 146.29
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 137.51 to 142.49
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (3.9%): 134.58 to 145.42
Based on UP max only (+2.9%): 144.00
Open to requests for other symbols.
#earnings WYNN Sold Sept. 20,…
#earnings WYNN
Sold Sept. 20, 90/130 strangle for 3.02. Thanks for the data Jeff.
TRADES:
YETI STO 8/9/19 30.5 CALLS @.50
YETI STO 8/9/19 28.5 PUTS @.65
V STO 8/9/19 167.5/162.5 BuPS @.75
#earnings #closing PG July 29,…
SPX 1-dayer
SPX 2760/2755 BuPS for 0.20-0.25 for tomorrow, you can adjusted if the SPX down to yesterday low
WYNN earnings analysis
#Earnings $WYNN reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 9, 2019 AC -4.72%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC +2.09%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -13.13% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 1, 2018 AC -6.53%
April 24, 2018 AC -3.74%
Jan. 22, 2018 BO +8.67% Biggest UP
Oct. 26, 2017 AC -1.50%
July 25, 2017 AC -5.02%
April 25, 2017 AC +5.89%
Jan. 26, 2017 AC +7.93%
Nov. 2, 2016 AC -9.31%
July 28, 2016 AC -6.41%
Avg (+ or -) 6.25%
Bias -2.15%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 110.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 101.52 to 118.48
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 103.13 to 116.87
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.1%): 95.56 to 124.44
Based on UP max only (+8.7%): 119.54
Open to requests for other symbols.
ISRG
#JadeLizards – Rolling call spread down to the short put strike for additional premium. Still no upside risk but won’t make as much on a rally.
Rolled ISRG AUG 16 2019 535.0/540.0 BeCS to ISRG AUG 16 2019 500.0/505.0 BeCS @ 1.78 credit.
Total premium received now is up to 7.70. Make 2.70 on a big rally or receive stock at a basis of 492.30
WYNN Earnings
#CoveredCalls #Earnings – Similar to REGN yesterday rolling a covered call down aggressively for more premium. Fading the rally today…feels like all news is still bad news. REGN beat top and bottom and stock went nowhere.
Rolled WYNN AUG 09 2019 121.0 Call to AUG 09 2019 113.0 Call @ 2.40 credit (5.75 total now)
DRIP
#BearCallSpreads – After seeing a crude oil chart yesterday with Carter Worth talking about the potential downside in oil I’m moving my naked call into bear call spreads. Going out in time and increasing size to make it worthwhile. I believe DRIP will be below 70 by 2021. Recently I’ve been trying to really cap my losses to the upside and this helps with that.
Rolled DRIP DEC 20 2019 115.0 Call to JAN 15 2021 70.0/80.0 Bear Call Spreads
Total credit in the spreads is now 1.60 per spread. I look at this as being similar to long term UVXY positions I’ve had in the past on huge spikes…
SPX another round
#SPX1dte I think we have at least one more leg down.
Sold $SPX Aug 12th 2900/2925 call spreads for 9.00
#closing SPX Sold Sept. 20,…
#closing SPX
Sold Sept. 20, 2825/2840 LCS spread for 10.10 bought yesterday for 9.5
SPX closed
#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Aug 7th 2725/2700 put spreads for .30. Sold yesterday for 1.80.
Options Bistro 