TSLA Rollout

Bought to close TSLA 08/23/2019 195.00 Calls / Sold TSLA 08/30/2019 195.00 Calls @ 0.47 Credit

KHC Rollout

Bought to close KHC 08/23/2019 26.00 Puts / Sold KHC 09/06/2019 25.50 Puts @ 0.05 Credit + 0.50 better strike

NUGT Rollups

Bought to close NUGT 08/23/2019 34.00 Calls / Sold NUGT 08/30/2019 35.50 Calls @ 0.13 Credit + 1.50 better strike Bought to close NUGT 08/23/2019 32.50 Calls / Sold NUGT 08/30/2019 33.00 Calls @ 0.20 Credit + 0.50 better strike
Bought to close NUGT 08/23/2019 32.00 Calls / Sold NUGT 08/30/2019 32.50 Calls @ 0.13 Credit + 0.50 better strike

BYND

Bought to close BYND 08/23/2019 130.00 Put @ 0.05. Sold this last Friday @ 1.25

Consent de’CREE

#Earnings. I must consent that this trade failed.
Paid .01 to close $CREE 58.5 Aug23/Aug30 put calendar. Leaving call side to expire, and be a lottery ticket for next week. #DoubleCalendar bought Tuesday for .67.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Apr 23rd 2840/2860-2965/2985 condors for 1.05, IV: 15.95%, SPX 2924.

GPS earnings analysis

#Earnings $GPS reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 30, 2019 AC -9.32%
Feb. 28, 2019 AC +16.18% Biggest UP
Nov. 20, 2018 AC +4.66%
Aug. 23, 2018 AC -8.60%
May 24, 2018 AC -14.56%
March 1, 2018 AC +7.82%
Nov. 16, 2017 AC +6.98%
Aug. 17, 2017 AC -0.13%
May 18, 2017 AC -3.92%
Feb. 23, 2017 AC +3.04%
Nov. 17, 2016 AC -16.60% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 18, 2016 AC +3.90%

Avg (+ or -) 7.98%
Bias -0.88%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 17.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 15.54 to 19.96
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 16.33 to 19.17
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (16.6%): 14.80 to 20.70
Based on UP max only (+16.2%): 20.62

Open to requests for other symbols.

#shortstrangles