Sold $DIS 9/20 130/120 bull put spread @ 1.57
Daily Archives: Wednesday, August 7, 2019
#earnings LYFT #tastytradefollow Sold Aug….
#earnings LYFT Z
LYFT #tastytradefollow Sold Aug. 16, 52/70/70 strangle for 3.55.
Z sold Sept. 20, 40/60 strangle for 2.28, thanks for the data Jeff
X puts
Sold $X 9/20 11 puts @ .50
Z earnings trade
#Earnings Sold $Z Aug 9th 40/44-56/60 condors for 1.265. It’s got a couple of big moves recently but otherwise fairly quiet. Also sold 42/44-56/58 for .75 in smaller account.
#earnings ROKU Sold Sept. 20,…
#earnings ROKU
Sold Sept. 20, 60/140 strangle for 2.57 with ROKU around 100.
SPX 2-dte
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX May 9th 2910/2935 call spreads for 5.25. Still looking for more downside, or at least resistance at 2900.
Z earnings analysis
#Earnings $Z reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 9, 2019 AC +5.04%
Feb. 21, 2019 AC +26.36% Biggest UP
Nov. 6, 2018 AC -26.92% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 6, 2018 AC -14.77%
May 7, 2018 AC -1.44%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC -2.67%
Nov. 7, 2017 AC +2.67%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -9.05%
May 4, 2017 AC +9.29%
Feb. 7, 2017 AC -6.37%
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +6.32%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC -4.73%
Avg (+ or -) 9.64%
Bias -1.36%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 50.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 43.33 to 56.67
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 45.18 to 54.82
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (26.9%): 36.54 to 63.46
Based on UP max only (+26.4%): 63.18
Open to requests for other symbols.
DRIP new highest strikes
Sold $DRIP 9/20 164 Call @ 9.00
TRADES:
PAYS STO 8/16/19 12.5 PUTS @1.00
PAYS STO 8/16/19 12.5 CALLS @.80 Will cover if necessary.
CSII BTO STOCK @43.75
STNE BTO STOCK @34.99
#earnings #closing WYNN Bought Sept….
TNA
#CoveredCalls – Basis reduction is about all you can do here…
Bought to Close TNA AUG 09 2019 59.0 Call @ .08 (sold for 1.56)
Sold TNA AUG 16 2019 54.0 Call @ 2.05
SPX 1-dte stopped
#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Aug 7th 2795/2775 put spreads for 1.40. Condors sold for 1.25 yesterday.
At the lows, SPX was within its expected move to my short strike, so I’m stopping out on the bounce.