ULTA earnings analysis

#Earnings $ULTA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 30, 2019 AC +1.50%
March 14, 2019 AC +8.28% Biggest UP
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.12% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +6.37%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.71%
March 15, 2018 AC +7.63%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC -4.11%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -9.13%
May 25, 2017 AC +3.19%
March 9, 2017 AC +4.62%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC -1.56%
Aug. 25, 2016 AC -6.11%

Avg (+ or -) 5.53%
Bias -0.26%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 115.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 311.92 to 358.08
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 310.30 to 346.62
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.1%): 285.37 to 371.55
Based on UP max only (+8.3%): 355.66

Open to requests for other symbols.