#Earnings $AEO reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Sept. 4, 2019 BO -11.61%
June 5, 2019 BO +0.10%
March 6, 2019 AC -0.37%
Dec. 11, 2018 AC +2.94%
Aug. 29, 2018 BO -6.52%
May 31, 2018 BO -1.81%
March 8, 2018 BO -9.43%
Dec. 6, 2017 BO +2.42%
Aug. 23, 2017 BO +7.76% Biggest UP
May 17, 2017 BO -14.73% Biggest DOWN
March 1, 2017 BO -9.52%
Nov. 30, 2016 BO -12.42%

Avg (+ or -) 6.64%
Bias -4.43%, strongly negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 15.30 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 13.90 to 16.70
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 14.28 to 16.32
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.7%): 13.05 to 17.55
Based on UP max only (+7.8%): 16.49

Open to requests for other symbols.