KL Covered strangle Rolled / NUGT Puts Rolled / EWZ put Closed / LABU Calls Rolled / CMG BUPS Closed

#shortputs #coveredcalls
$KL BTC 12/20/40 put and STO 1/17/2020 40 put at added .80 credit.
$KL BTC 12/20/45 call and STO 1/17/2020 45 call at added ..65 credit.

#shortputs
$NUGT BTC 12/20/ 35 puts and STO 12/27 34 puts at .75 debit. Spending .75 to get potential .25 “profit”. I have been rolling out and now down since 8/12. Current “profit” is $5200. If put to me tomorrow the profit would be reduced by $3640. Maybe I should just close out.

$EWZ BTC 12/20 40 put at .05. STO at .77. Thank you @fuzzballl

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 12/20 45 call and STO 1/3/2020 55 call at $7.90 debit. Basis now 57.04. Stock at 56.24. Close to throwing in the towel. Stock first bought on 3/5/2019. Bad trading. Should have gotten out of stock much earlier and took the loss. Now eight months of rolling and tracking and loss mitigated but the potential opportunity profits lost by capital tie up …duh!

#bups
$CMG BTC 12/20 690/700 BUPS at .05. Sold for 1.65. Thank you @ramie77 via @optioniceman inspiration.

SQ

#CoveredCalls – Late fill roll up and out a week…

Rolled SQ DEC 13 2019 64.5 Calls to DEC 20 2019 65.5 Calls @ even

SPXpire

#SPX1dte Expired today: $SPX Dec 11th 3075/3095-3160/3180 condors, sold yesterday for 1.05.

IV and premium high this week due to Sunday’s tariff deadline. I have a 7-dte expiring Monday that has not changed in price despite two days passing and no movement in SPX.

LSCC

BTO January 17, 20 calls at .88 and , STO January 17, 17.5 puts at .91 cents

Rolling NUGT

BTC NUGT Jan 03 25.5 Puts (55% winner), STO Jan 17 25 put for .38cr

#coveredcall

CIEN Earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – Taking a small shot. Breakeven near the expected move and recent lows with no upside risk.

Sold CIEN DEC 13 2019 33.5/37.0/38.0 Jade Lizards @ 1.09

TSLA

Rolled $TSLA Dec 13 2019 352.5/362.5 #BeCS // Dec 27 2019 355/365 #BeCS @+0.5.
A pull back would be welcome.

LK

STO January 17, 29 puts at 2.60

CIEN earnings analysis

#Earnings $CIEN reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Sept. 5, 2019 BO -3.83%
June 6, 2019 BO +26.78% Biggest UP
March 5, 2019 BO -4.88%
Dec. 13, 2018 BO +8.61%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO +12.44%
May 31, 2018 BO -4.19%
March 6, 2018 BO +10.05%
Dec. 7, 2017 BO -1.93%
Aug. 31, 2017 BO -10.96% Biggest DOWN
June 1, 2017 BO +15.80%
March 8, 2017 BO -8.40%
Dec. 8, 2016 BO +15.13%

Avg (+ or -) 10.25%
Bias 4.55%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 35.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 32.28 to 38.72
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 31.86 to 39.14
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (26.8%): 25.99 to 45.01
Based on DOWN max only (-11.0%): 31.61

Open to requests for other symbols.

LULU #earnings Also from Yesterday…

LULU #earnings

Also from Yesterday

STO $LULU 200/210 Dec 20 #BuPS @1.57 – had put in a limit order @1.55 and someone gave me their $0.02 (??).