LK Put Rolled / NUGT Call Closed / LULU MCD LRCX Spreads Closed

#shortputs
$LK BTC 12/13 31.50 put and STO 12/20 31 put at additional .15.

#coveredcalls
$NUGT BTC 31 call at .10. STO at 1.26

#bups #becs #bucs
$LULU BTC 12/20 185/195 BUPS at .30. STO on 11/11 for 2.60. Symmetry$ STO 11/11 BTC 12/12
$LULU BTC 12/20 235/240 BECS at .30. STO on 11/16 for 1.20.
$MCD BTC 12/20 185/190 BUPS at .20. STO on 11/1 for 1.25.
$LRCX STC 12/20 285/295 BUCS at 2.50. BTO on 10/30 for 3.40.

COST

STO 255/325 strangle for January 17, at 1.18

SLB Covered Call Rollout

Bought to close SLB 12/13/2019 37.50 Calls / Sold SLB 12/20/2019 37.50 Calls @ 0.18 Credit

COST earnings analysis

#Earnings $COST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 3, 2019 AC +0.92%
May 30, 2019 AC -0.81%
March 7, 2019 AC +5.08% Biggest UP
Dec. 13, 2018 AC -8.58% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 4, 2018 AC -5.55%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.55%
March 7, 2018 AC -0.89%
Dec. 14, 2017 AC +3.32%
Oct. 5, 2017 AC -5.97%
May 25, 2017 AC +1.79%
March 2, 2017 AC -4.33%
Dec. 7, 2016 AC +2.43%

Avg (+ or -) 3.35%
Bias -1.10%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 297.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 287.83 to 307.17
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 287.53 to 307.47
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (-8.6%): 271.97 to 323.03
Based on UP max only (+5.1%): 312.61

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 13th 3090/3110-3205/3225 condors for .80. IV: 12.95%, SPX 3167

CMG

BTC $CMG 8/13 825/835 #BeCS. Sold 11/29 as a 795/805 #BeCS. Several adjustments later, overall loss is $4.72.

TRADES:

LK BTC 12/13/19 28.5 PUTS @.05
STNE STO 12/20/19 PUTS @1.80