SHOP earnings analysis

#Earnings $SHOP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 29, 2019 BO -3.81%
Aug. 1, 2019 BO +7.39%
April 30, 2019 BO +7.85%
Feb. 12, 2019 BO +1.37%
Oct. 25, 2018 BO +12.03% Biggest UP
July 31, 2018 BO -6.66%
May 1, 2018 BO -4.45%
Feb. 15, 2018 BO +0.28%
Oct. 31, 2017 BO -9.02% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 1, 2017 BO +5.77%
May 2, 2017 BO +7.40%
Feb. 15, 2017 BO +8.13%

Avg (+ or -) 6.18%
Bias 2.19%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 497.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 451.53 to 543.47
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 466.75 to 528.25
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (12.0%): 43765 to 557.35
Based on DOWN max only (-9.0%): 452.63

Open to requests for other symbols.