Bought to close:
$NUGT 6/19 47 call @ 1.51. Sold for 3.85 on 12/24.
$NUGT 6/19 51 call @ 1.17. Sold for 4.00 on 12/30.
Daily Archives: Tuesday, February 4, 2020
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 5th 3225/3245-3340/3360 condors for .95, IV 12.89%, SPX 3304, deltas -.06, .06
CMG
BTO Feb 7 932.5/940.0/974.5 Call BF $0.25 Earnings expected move.
AMD, SQ, XBI
BTC AMD 28 FEB 43 PUT @.30…STO 1/29 @.79…Thanks @ramie77
BTC SQ 21 FEB 70 PUT @.15…STO 1/29 @.55…
BTC XBI 21 FEB 85 PUT @.40…STO 1/24 @1.05…
BEAT
STO March 20, 50 put at 2.66, earnings are on Feb. 19
CMG Jade Lizard
#jadelizard #earnings
$CMG STO 2/7 820 put and STO 900/910 BECS at total credit of 9.75 Thanks for the data @jeffcp66
#earnings #closing CMI Yesterday bought…
MEI
Rolled MEI Feb-21-2020 35 #CoveredCall // Mar-20-2020 35 @0.95.
EXAS REGN ROKU
#ShortPuts – Gonna be out most of the week except to check in for a quick earnings trade hopefully. Taking some risk off on the big bounce…
EXAS: Earnings next week so getting completely out to re-sell then. I guessed wrong on the date when originally selling this one.
Bought to Close EXAS FEB 14 2020 87.5 Put @ 1.70 (sold for 2.20)
REGN: Assigned stock at 380 and rode it to 280 and back to 400 and back to 320 selling around it the whole time 🙂 Unloading stock on this bounce to get within 5.80 of even. Earnings this week so I’ll re-enter then.
Sold shares @ 350.00
ROKU: Earnings next week so booking this week.
Bought to Close ROKU FEB 7 2020 120.0/100.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .40 (sold for 2.15)
WORK
STO $WORK 25 Mar-20-2020 #CoveredCalls @0.75
CMG earnings analysis
#Earnings $CMG reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Oct. 22, 2019 AC -5.15%
July 23, 2019 AC +5.18%
April 24, 2019 AC -4.46%
Feb. 6, 2019 AC +11.35%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC +3.42%
July 26, 2018 AC +5.71%
April 25, 2018 AC +24.44% Biggest UP
Feb. 6, 2018 AC -10.55%
Oct. 24, 2017 AC -14.58% Biggest DOWN
July 25, 2017 AC -2.30%
April 25, 2017 AC +2.38%
Feb. 2, 2017 AC -4.54%
Avg (+ or -) 7.84%
Bias 0.91%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 880.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 824.29 to 935.71
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 811.02 to 948.98
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (24.4%): 664.93 to 1095.07
Based on DOWN max only (-14.6%): 751.70
Open to requests for other symbols.
