Daily Archives: Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Ramie 12:00 pm on Tuesday, February 4, 2020  

Closing NUGT

Bought to close:
$NUGT 6/19 47 call @ 1.51. Sold for 3.85 on 12/24.
$NUGT 6/19 51 call @ 1.17. Sold for 4.00 on 12/30.

Jeff 11:41 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 5th 3225/3245-3340/3360 condors for .95, IV 12.89%, SPX 3304, deltas -.06, .06

mortlightman 11:01 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020  

CMG

BTO Feb 7 932.5/940.0/974.5 Call BF $0.25 Earnings expected move.

generalmelchett 10:59 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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AMD, SQ, XBI

BTC AMD 28 FEB Ā 43 PUT @.30ā€¦STO 1/29 @.79ā€¦Thanks @ramie77

BTC SQ 21 FEB Ā 70 PUT @.15ā€¦STO 1/29 @.55ā€¦

BTC XBI 21 FEB Ā 85 PUT @.40ā€¦STO 1/24 @1.05ā€¦

#shortputs

jsd501 10:15 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020  

BEAT

STO March 20, 50 put at 2.66, earnings are on Feb. 19

geewhiz112 8:46 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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CMG Jade Lizard

#jadelizard #earnings
$CMG STO 2/7 820 put and STO 900/910 BECS at total credit of 9.75 Thanks for the data @jeffcp66

thomberg1201 7:38 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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#earnings #closing CMI Yesterday bought…

#earnings #closing CMI

Yesterday bought Feb. 21, 150/175 strangle for 1.49, bought this morning for .74.

Thanks for the data Jeff.

Lesserweavil 7:28 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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MEI

Rolled MEI Feb-21-2020 35 #CoveredCall // Mar-20-2020 35 @0.95.

fuzzballl 6:46 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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EXAS REGN ROKU

#ShortPuts ā€“ Gonna be out most of the week except to check in for a quick earnings trade hopefully. Taking some risk off on the big bounceā€¦

EXAS: Earnings next week so getting completely out to re-sell then. I guessed wrong on the date when originally selling this one.

Bought to Close EXAS FEB 14 2020 87.5 Put @ 1.70 (sold for 2.20)

REGN: Assigned stock at 380 and rode it to 280 and back to 400 and back to 320 selling around it the whole time šŸ™‚ Unloading stock on this bounce to get within 5.80 of even. Earnings this week so Iā€™ll re-enter then.

Sold shares @ 350.00

ROKU: Earnings next week so booking this week.

Bought to Close ROKU FEB 7 2020 120.0/100.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .40 (sold for 2.15)

Lesserweavil 6:42 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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WORK

STO $WORK 25 Mar-20-2020 #CoveredCalls @0.75

Jeff 6:40 am on Tuesday, February 4, 2020
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CMG earnings analysis

#Earnings $CMG reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 22, 2019Ā AC -5.15%
July 23, 2019Ā AC +5.18%
April 24, 2019Ā AC -4.46%
Feb. 6, 2019Ā AC +11.35%
Oct. 25, 2018Ā AC +3.42%
July 26, 2018Ā AC +5.71%
April 25, 2018Ā AC +24.44% Biggest UP
Feb. 6, 2018Ā AC -10.55%
Oct. 24, 2017Ā AC -14.58% Biggest DOWN
July 25, 2017Ā AC -2.30%
April 25, 2017Ā AC +2.38%
Feb. 2, 2017Ā AC -4.54%

Avg (+ or -) 7.84%
Bias 0.91%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 880.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 824.29 to 935.71
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 811.02 to 948.98
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Qā€™s (24.4%): 664.93 to 1095.07
Based on DOWN max only (-14.6%): 751.70

Open to requests for other symbols.

#bups