SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to open $SPX Feb 21st 3295/3315-3405/3425 condors for .80, IV: 11.99%, SPX 3371, deltas -.06, +.05

KOLD

#BearCallSpreads – Got aggressive to get out of this one this morning. Glad I did….it’s been underwater from almost the minute I sold it.

Bought to Close KOLD FEB 21 2020 45.0 Call @ 1.70 (sold 45/53 @ 1.77)

NVDA

#ShortPuts – Missed the bigger down move this morning but take what I can get…

Sold NVDA Mar 13 2020 280.0 Put @ 2.74

OLED Earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – Selling the put with breakeven outside the expected move.

Sold OLED FEB 21 2020 157.5/185.0/187.5 Jade Lizard @ 2.75

OLED put spread

#Earnings A bullish position for a stock that has bullish tendency on earnings.

Sold to Open $OLED Feb 21st 170/165 put spreads for 1.70.

#earnings DE Sold March 20,…

#earnings DE

Sold March 20, 150/155/175/180 #ironcondor for 1.76. Thanks for the data Jeff.

NVDA

STO April 3, 270 put at 4.35

Trimming DRIP

Bought to close 3/20 140 call @ 1.95. Sold for 4.30 on 1/24.

UVXY

#ShortCalls – Booking and adding…

Bought to Close UVXY FEB 21 2020 13.0 Calls @ .02 (sold for .72)
Sold UVXY MAR 13 2020 12.5 Calls @ .95

WPM

STO April 17, 30 puts at .63

DE earnings analysis

#Earnings $DE reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 27, 2019 BO -4.29%
Aug. 16, 2019 BO +3.84%
May 17, 2019 BO -7.65% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 15, 2019 BO -2.11%
Nov. 21, 2018 BO +2.42%
Aug. 17, 2018 BO +2.35%
May 18, 2018 BO +5.74%
Feb. 16, 2018 BO +1.57%
Nov. 22, 2017 BO +4.32%
Aug. 18, 2017 BO -5.37%
May 19, 2017 BO +7.30% Biggest UP
Feb. 17, 2017 BO +1.00%

Avg (+ or -) 4.00%
Bias 0.76%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 165.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 158.30 to 171.70
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 158.41 to 171.59
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.7%): 152.38 to 177.62
Based on UP max only (+7.3%): 177.05

Open to requests for other symbols.

OLED earnings analysis

#Earnings $OLED reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 30, 2019 AC +15.27%
Aug. 1, 2019 AC -1.64%
May 2, 2019 AC +8.76%
Feb. 21, 2019 AC +23.03%
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -20.50% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 9, 2018 AC +13.54%
May 3, 2018 AC +12.43%
Feb. 22, 2018 AC -15.81%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +9.52%
Aug. 3, 2017 AC -1.30%
May 4, 2017 AC +23.87% Biggest UP
Feb. 23, 2017 AC +20.08%

Avg (+ or -) 13.81%
Bias 7.27%, strongly positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 177.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 159.33 to 195.67
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 153.41 to 202.59
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (23.9%): 135.51 to 220.49
Based on DOWN max only (-20.5%): 141.51

Open to requests for other symbols.

ETFC

Morgan Stanley has agreed a $13bn all-stock deal to buy online trading platform ETrade, in a sharp escalation of the battle for the US wealth management market.