#CoveredCalls – Thanks to @OptionIceman for reminding me WDC had suspended it’s divvy. I was not aware of this. STX is a similar company with a similar chart and a similar divvy. Liquidated my WDC and bought an equal number of shares in STX. WDC was underwater so I’ll roll all that into the new position and go from there with an STX basis.
Thanks again Iceman!
I’ve been away from this one since January.
Taking a flyer here with 1 DTE
Sold 1 TSLA 08/21/2020 2300 Call / Bought 1 TSLA 2500 Call @ 1.52 Credit.
This stock topped out at 2021.99 so far, up 140 ish
#IronCondors #ShortStrangles #CoveredCalls #Earnings – A little bit of everything today…
AMZN: Book it. Remnants of an iron condor after closing the longs recently.
Bought to Close AMZN AUG 21 2020 2700.0/3700.0 Strangle @ .25 (sold for 4.05)
NVDA: Earnings plus new position.
Bought to Close NVDA AUG 21 2020 455.0 Put @ .23 (sold for 4.10)
Bought to Close NVDA SEP 04 2020 425.0 Put @ 1.55 (sold for 3.80)
Sold NVDA SEP 18 2020 425.0 Put @ 3.95
SPCE: Covered. New sales playing to the downside.
Bought to Close SPCE AUG 21 2020 18.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.65)
Sold SPCE AUG 28 2020 15.0 Calls @ 2.05
WDC: Stock assigned early so beginning covered call campaign. Great divvy down here.
Sold WDC SEP 11 2020 36.0 Calls @ .56
KODK STO 8/28/20 8.0 CALLS @.68
KODK 100 SHARES @7.29 #Covered call.
#shortputs
$CLDR BTC 8/21 12.5 put and STO 8/26 12.5 put at .10 added credit
#Earnings $FL reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 22, 2020 BO -8.49%
Feb. 28, 2020 BO +8.01%
Nov. 22, 2019 BO -2.91%
Aug. 23, 2019 BO -18.91%
May 24, 2019 BO -15.95%
March 1, 2019 BO +5.96%
Nov. 20, 2018 AC +14.90%
Aug. 24, 2018 BO -9.17%
May 25, 2018 BO +20.15%
March 2, 2018 BO -12.72%
Nov. 17, 2017 BO +28.16% Biggest UP
Aug. 18, 2017 BO -27.92% Biggest DOWN
Avg (+ or -) 14.44%
Bias -1.57%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 27.15 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 25.04 to 29.26 (+/- 7.8%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 23.23 to 31.07
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (28.2%): 19.50 to 34.80
Based on DOWN max only (-27.9%): 19.57
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings BTC $NVDA 455/460-525/530 iron condors for $0.15. Sold yesterday for 1.75.
This was my first Jeff follow. Now I’m a Believer.
#Earnings $DE reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 22, 2020 BO -1.47%
Feb. 21, 2020 BO +6.99% Biggest UP
Nov. 27, 2019 BO -4.29%
Aug. 16, 2019 BO +3.84%
May 17, 2019 BO -7.65% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 15, 2019 BO -2.11%
Nov. 21, 2018 BO +2.42%
Aug. 17, 2018 BO +2.35%
May 18, 2018 BO +5.74%
Feb. 16, 2018 BO +1.57%
Nov. 22, 2017 BO +4.32%
Aug. 18, 2017 BO -5.37%
Avg (+ or -) 4.01%
Bias 0.53%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 191.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 183.41 to 198.59 (+/- 4.0%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 183.34 to 198.66
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (-7.7%): 176.39 to 205.61
Based on UP max only (+7.0%): 204.35
Open to requests for other symbols.
#shortputs VIAC
Sold Sept. 18, 25 put for .88.
Just WOW
#Earnings BTC $NVDA 455/460-525/530 iron condors for .20. Sold yesterday for 1.70.
S&P500 Dividend payers within 10% of their yearly lows.
On my watch list for now
Sold $BABA 9/18 225/235//280/290 iron condor @ 2.95. Earnings were reported this morning.
STO September 18, 750/3500 strangle at 6.80, Going to try one more time to make money on TSLA.
Bought to Close KSS Aug 21 2020 22.5 Covered Calls 0.01. Sold before earnings @ 1.88.
So it didn’t quite protect me from the drop in the stock, but it did help.
Some diagonal bear spreads helped a bit too.
#closing PLUG
Aug. 12, sold a Sept. 18, 10/12 put spread for 1.15, bought today for .59
Thanks to everyone who was plugging PLUG
#SPX7dteLong Bought to Oen $SPX Aug 26th 3340/3360-3370/3390 condors for 16.00, with SPX at 3363.
BTC August 21, 70 puts at .01, sold at .85 cents. That is it for this week.
Completing some Short Calendar Iron Condor Spreads.
Bought to Open VXX Oct 16 2020 70 Calls / Sold VXX Aug 21 2020 26.0 Calls @ 0.05 Credit.
Bought to Open VXX Sep 18 2020 60 Calls / Sold VXX Aug 21 2020 27.0 Calls @ 0.08 Credit.
Still trying to keep my 25.0 Puts out of the money by the close tomorrow.
As a kicker I also sold some VXX Aug 21 2020 28.0 Calls @ 0.25 against already long calls that expire tomorrow but are fully paid for from earlier spreads.
#DoubleDip
OSTK STO 9/4/20 130.0 CALL @10.0
#SPX7dte First time I’ve ended in the dead zone of one of these long condors. Got a dollar for the put side this morning but zero for the call side. My mistake was forgetting the Fed minutes were today, which meant I should have closed with a small profit before 2pm ET. Loss of 14.80.
Adding some calls for this week hoping to pull my large put positions back out of the money before Friday
Sold VXX 08/21/2020 26.0 Calls @ 0.29
Sold VXX 08/21/2020 27.0 Calls @ 0.18.
Sold these against November long calls I’ve been adding for the last two weeks.
If the markets decline badly, these can easily be rolled.
#ShortPuts – Just in case NVDA pulls some chip stocks down taking this off for safety. Got over half of max profit. Might look at it again when the squeeze forms and sell something ITM for the recovery.
Bought to Close INTC SEP 18 2020 45.0 Puts @ .42 (sold for .94)
#ShortPuts – Just for safety. Still holding Sep 18th 125 strike.
Bought to Close ROKU AUG 21 2020 140.0 Put @ .34 (sold for 2.78)
STO October 2, 280/300 bull put spread at 1.02
#ShortPuts – Sold TDOC SEP 18 2020 180.0 Put @ 3.06
#ShortPuts – Looking to replace this one now…
Bought to Close TDOC SEP 04 2020 165.0 Put @ .45 (sold for 4.30)
#shortputs
$MRVL BTC 8/21 36 put and STO 8/28 36 put at .40 added credit.
$TDOC BTC 8/28 175 put and STO 9/11 185 put at 2.35 added credit. Thanks for the reminder @fuzzballl
$TDOC BTC 9/4 165 put and STO 9/11 185 put at 2.10 added credit. Thanks for the reminder @fuzzballl
Sold 1 SPY Sep 18 2020 333.0 Call / Bought 1 SPY Oct 16 2020 346.0 Call @ 5.02 Credit.
If there is no market pullback in the next month I can do a weekly roll after that.
SPY was down below 333 three times in the last 10 trading days
A bit of a bounce in the stock and so I wrote against half of my October long calls again
Sold AAL 08/21/2020 14.50 Calls @ 0.12
#DoubleDip
In my IRA, STO October 2, 350/400-600/650 iron condor at 2.90
#fallingknifeCODX
STO 25 Sept, 14P for 2.30
Sweet premium so either I’ll get crushed or love it!
I’ll get my answer in 37 days or less.
BTC September 18, 1500/2900 strangle at 39.00 cost was 44.00 so squeezed out a small profit.
Also, BTC the September 18 1330/1350/1880/1900 Iron condor at 15.30
#shortstrangles COF #earnings BABA #closing LUV
BABA Sold Sept. 18, 230/235/285/290 for 1.79.
Thanks for the data Jeff
COF Sold Sept. 18, 57.50/75 strangle for 1.67
#tastytradefollow
LUV Aug. 6, sold Sept. 18, 27.50 put for .65, bought today for .24
#ShortPuts #Earnings – Going out a couple weeks to average down just in case…
Sold NVDA SEP 04 2020 425.0 Put @ 3.80
$IRBT STC Aug 21, 80 / 75 / 65 Broken Wing Put Butterfly for $2.55 credit (trade entered for a $0.78 credit), so $0.78 credit on the way in and + $2.55 credit on the way out making for a total gain of $3.33.
Although IRBT was approaching max profit on the trade, expiring this Friday, humility for once urged me to take the profits now.
#ShortPuts – Still nice IV rank and selling outside the expected move. Book one and replace it to stay in the game.
Bought to Close TDOC AUG 28 2020 175.0 Put @ .45 (sold for 3.30)
Sold TDOC SEP 11 2020 185.0 Put @ 2.90
#coveredcalls SDC
Bought a Sept. 4, 8.5 covered call for 7.73.
Thanks for the idea Jefflsmith
#ShortPuts – First time in this one. One contract starter just to watch it.
Sold FSLY SEP 4 2020 65.0 Put @ 1.25
#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Aug 19th 3370/3350 put spreads for 1.00. Banking on the call side for my expiration profit. Condors bought last Thursday for 15.80.
#Earnings Sold to Open $NVDA Aug 21st 455/460-525/530 iron condors for 1.70, with stock at 487.30.
I’m ignoring the -18% outlier and going just outside the remaining max moves.
#Earnings $BABA reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 22, 2020 BO -5.87%
Feb. 13, 2020 BO -1.76%
Nov. 1, 2019 BO -0.11%
Aug. 15, 2019 BO +3.02%
May 15, 2019 BO +1.57%
Jan. 30, 2019 BO +6.33% Biggest UP
Nov. 2, 2018 BO -2.41%
Aug. 23, 2018 BO -3.15%
May 4, 2018 BO +3.52%
Feb. 1, 2018 BO -5.90% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 2, 2017 BO -0.68%
Aug. 17, 2017 BO +2.77%
Avg (+ or -) 3.09%
Bias -0.22%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 258.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 244.69 to 271.31 (+/- 5.2%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 250.03 to 265.97
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.3%): 241.67 to 274.33
Based on DOWN max only (-5.9%): 242.78
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings $NVDA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 21, 2020 AC +2.86%
Feb. 13, 2020 AC +7.02%
Nov. 14, 2019 AC -2.66%
Aug. 15, 2019 AC +7.25% Biggest UP
May 16, 2019 AC -2.28%
Feb. 14, 2019 AC +1.81%
Nov. 15, 2018 AC -18.75% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 16, 2018 AC -4.90%
May 10, 2018 AC -2.15%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC +6.69%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC +5.26%
Aug. 10, 2017 AC -5.32%
Avg (+ or -) 5.58%
Bias -0.43%, small negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 488.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 454.74 to 521.26 (+/- 6.8%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 460.77 to 515.23
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (-18.8%): 396.50 to 579.50
Based on UP max only (+7.3%): 523.38
Open to requests for other symbols.
#earningsT.O.S. still not working
As of this morning, 19 Aug, TOS is still screwed up. Not getting filled on trades that normally would fill. And, the one trade that did fill, did not and does not display as a filled order on the Activity and Positions page.
Is anyone using another trading platform?
If this keeps up I may switch.
SDC stock dropped following the recent earnings call. SDC covered calls have generated significant profits in my Schwab accounts. The drop in price created an opportunity to establish new covered calls in IB account. SDC has an interesting business model (changing the paradigm in the orthodontics). Two members of our family have had positive experiences with using the system.
The covered call positions were established with the purchase of 1,000 shares on the 8/17 and another 1,000 shares on 8/18. On 8/17 we sold 10 Aug 21 $7.50 calls followed by selling 10 Aug 21 $8 calls.
#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 9/18 45 put at .15. STO at 3.60. Thank you @jsd501
BTC December 50 puts at 2.00, sold at 3.50, still short 35, 40, and 45 strikes.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 19th 3315/3335-3425/3445 condors for .90, IV 12.12%, SPX 3390, deltas: -.06,+.07
#closing #shortputs DKNG
Bought Sept. 18, 30 put for .75, sold Aug. 14 for 1.75.
#SPX7dte Bought to Open $SPX Aug 24th 3365/3385-3395/3415 condors for 15.05, with SPX at 3391. These are getting riskier with lowering VIX and consolidation, but they are also getting cheaper.
#ShortPuts #Earnings – Selling a day early and fairly aggressively. Solidly in the #TakeOneForTheTeam category. LOL
Sold NVDA AUG 21 2020 455.0 Put @ 4.10
#ShortStrangles – Following @jsd501 here. My second roll up of the put side so far. Massive call skew so the overall position is still short a few deltas…
Rolled TSLA SEP 18 2020 1000.0 Put to SEP 18 2020 1300.0 Put @ 7.40 credit (19.45 total now)
#ShortPuts – Closed some earlier now adding some new starters…
Sold LABU SEP 11 2020 45.0 Puts @ 1.80
Sold LABU SEP 18 2020 45.0 Put @ 2.30
Sold LABU SEP 18 2020 40.0 Put @ 1.30
#BullPutSpreads – Just messing around with this one…
Bought to Close PLUG SEP 18 2020 12.0/10.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .70 (sold for 1.30)
BTO WKHS STOCK @16.51
STO WKHS 8/21/20 17.0 CALLS @.55
STO OSTK 8/21/20 120.0 CALL @5.20
IV increasing a bit here (current IV rank around 41). Sold $AMZN Sep 18 2980/3000//3600/3620 iron condor @ 6.79. About 1/3 the width of the strikes. Stock almost centered between the short strikes trading 3295-3300 which are +/- 300 points, puts and calls at 18 and 23 delta. Will look to close for 50% of the profit.
Reducing risk, BTC December 60 puts at 3.20, sold at 5.60
BTC December 75 puts at 5.75, sold at 7.40
I want to reduce my exposure and reduce my risk.
WDC
#Shortputs trying to mitigate my bad earnings trade when I sold 40 puts by first rolling them out to September and at the same time selling some calls for a straddle in the struggle. I flatly overlooked my loss limit per trade, terrible.
#ShortPuts – Looking a little weak so booking these now.
Bought to Close MRNA AUG 21 2020 60.0 Puts @ .20 (sold for .96)
In my IRA, STO 1250/1300-1700/1750 iron condor at 6.20 for October 2, expiration.
Bought to close 8/28 175 put @ .62. Sold for 3.30 on 8/5. Thanks @fuzzballl.
In my IRA, BTC September 18,350/400-600/650 Iron condor at 1.50, sold at 3.35, following the TT method.
#ShortPuts – Taking it a little early…
Bought to Close TQQQ AUG 28 2020 100.0 Put @ .45 (sold for 2.90)
Bought to close KSS Aug 21 2020 24.50 Diagonal Calls @ $0.01.
They won’t trade any lower.
Interestingly the Aug 25 calls have not traded there yet
#ShortPuts – Book ’em. NVDA was supposed to be for earnings but have to take the winner with a two day move like this.
Bought to Close LABU AUG 21 2020 45.0 Puts @ .08 (sold for 1.80)
Bought to Close MSFT AUG 21 2020 195.0 Put @ .10 (sold for 2.60)
Bought to Close NVDA SEP 18 2020 380.0 Put @ 1.70 (sold for 4.10)
#closing KSS
Bought 20/27.50 strangle for 1.57, sold yesterday for 1.73
#Earnings Sold to close $WMT 21Aug/28Aug 135 #DoubeCalendars for 1.612. Bought yesterday for .942.
Sold to close $KSS Aug 21`st 124 puts for 3.50. Bought yesterday for 1.70.
Excellent open for both trades.
#IronCondors – TOS was pretty much useless all day yesterday but did get one fill. With the stock price sitting perfectly centered I went ahead and sold the long sides to keep some extra premium. Still holding short sides.
Sold AMZN AUG 21 2020 2650.0 Put @ .47
Sold AMZN AUG 21 2020 3750.0 Call @ .45
ON my September 18, 700/2900 strangle, I rolled the 700 put up to 1500 for a credit of 36.00
#Earnings $WMT reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 19, 2020 BO -2.12%
Feb. 18, 2020 BO +1.47%
Nov. 14, 2019 BO -0.27%
Aug. 15, 2019 BO +6.11%
May 16, 2019 BO +1.43%
Feb. 19, 2019 BO +2.21%
Nov. 15, 2018 BO -1.96%
Aug. 16, 2018 BO +9.33%
May 17, 2018 BO -1.90%
Feb. 20, 2018 BO -10.17% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 16, 2017 BO +10.89% Biggest UP
Aug. 17, 2017 BO -1.58%
Avg (+ or -) 4.12%
Bias 1.12%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 135.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): CANNOT ACCESS
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 129.44 to 140.56
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (+10.9%): 120.30 to 149.70
Based on DOWN max only (-10.2%): 121.27
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings Order in to Buy to Open $KSS Aug 21st 24 puts for 1.50, with stock at 23.80. Breakeven at 22.50, which is -5.5% OTM. Strongly negative history, and also Covid. It’s possible negative already baked in and we could see a pop higher, but I’ll also have until Friday for that to fade.
Not filled yet… will raise my bid if necessary before the close.
Options Bistro 