SQ earnings analysis

#Earnings $SQ reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 27, 2019 AC +2.42%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -9.02%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC +8.65%
May 2, 2018 AC +1.13%
Feb. 27, 2018 AC +0.30%
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +3.40%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC -4.68%
May 3, 2017 AC +8.86%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC +14.02% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +6.41%
Aug. 3, 2016 AC +8.42%
May 5, 2016 AC -21.68% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 7.42%
Bias 1.52%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 74.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 69.18 to 78.82
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 68.51 to 79.49
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (21.7%): 57.96 to 90.04
Based on UP max only (+14.0%): 84.37

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