#Earnings $FIVE reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
March 27, 2019 AC +8.15%
Dec. 6, 2018 BO -2.66%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +13.31%
June 6, 2018 AC +21.86% Biggest UP
March 21, 2018 AC +4.20%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC -0.46%
Aug. 30, 2017 AC -3.45% Biggest DOWN
June 1, 2017 AC +0.50%
March 22, 2017 AC +10.80%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC +9.87%
Aug. 31, 2016 AC -1.14%
June 2, 2016 AC +2.07%
Avg (+ or -) 6.54%
Bias 5.25%, Strongly positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 124.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 113.86 to 134.14
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 115.89 to 132.11
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (21.9%): 96.89 to 151.11
Based on DOWN Max only (-3.4%): 119.72
Open to requests for other symbols.