SPX 1 DTE Expired / TWLO Closed Early / Rolled HIIQ Puts

#spxcampaign #spx1dte
$SPX 6/19 2865/2845/2965/2985 IC. Thank you @jeffcp66

#bups
Closed Early
$TWLO BTC 6/21 130/135 BUPS at .20. STO at 1.70.

#shortputs
$HIIQ BTC 6/19 26 puts and STO 7/19 27 puts at added 2.80 credit.

FB

STO $FB 7/19/2019 165/175 #BuPS @1.20. The 175 Put is 20 delta. Earnings 7/24 (after expire).

ADBE

BTC $ADBE 6/28/2019 255/265 #BuPS @.12.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX June 20th (monthly) 2845/2865-2970/2990 condors for 1.00, IV: 16.31%, SPX 2922.

NTES

#ShortPuts – For the 8th time this year. Selling just below the 200ma and 2 weeks before earnings. G20 will probably move this thing around a little…

Sold NTES JUL 26 2019 237.5 Put @ 3.03

Continuing to add to NUGT

Sold $NUGT 9/20 31 calls @ 1.15, adding at a higher strike. I had an order in from this morning and got filled but I probably should have waited–you can get quite a bit more now (or maybe a higher strike).
My position is now short:
9/20 26 calls
9/20 30 calls
9/20 31 calls

Get out the way

#SPX1dte Closing call side on a couple condors before the FOMC report. I see the possibility of a strong rally if rates cut, but not a huge dive if they are not. Even so, I have a lot of room to downside in the put sides; call sides were tighter.

BTC $SPX june 19th 2965/2985 call spreads for .20. Condors sold yesterday for 1.00.
BTC June 20th (monthlys) 2960/2980 call spreads for 1.90. Condors sold for 2.50 on June 12th.

#ironcondor LYFT

#tastytradefollow Sold July 19, 52.50/60/70/77.50 iron condor for 2.50.

#closing CMG

June 12, sold July 19, 800/810 call spread for 1.75, bought today for .65, still have a butterfly, going to Q’doba for lunch.

ORCL earnings analysis

#Earnings $ORCL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 14, 2019 AC -0.20%
Dec. 17, 2018 AC +0.26%
Sept. 17, 2018 AC -0.30%
June 19, 2018 AC -7.45%
March 19, 2018 AC -9.43% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 14, 2017 AC -3.76%
Sept. 14, 2017 AC -7.67%
June 21, 2017 AC +8.56% Biggest UP
March 15, 2017 AC +6.22%
Dec. 15, 2016 AC -4.30%
Sept. 15, 2016 AC -4.74%
June 16, 2016 AC +2.69%

Avg (+ or -) 4.63%
Bias -1.68%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 52.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 49.84 to 55.16
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 50.07 to 54.93
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (9.4%): 47.55 to 57.45
Based on UP Max only (+8.6%): 56.99

Open to requests for other symbols.