FDX earnings analysis

#Earnings $FDX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 19, 2019 AC -3.49%
Dec. 18, 2018 AC -12.16% Biggest DOWN
Sept. 17, 2018 AC -5.53%
June 19, 2018 AC -2.69%
March 20, 2018 AC -1.17%
Dec. 19, 2017 AC +3.51%
Sept. 19, 2017 AC +2.08%
June 20, 2017 AC +1.60%
March 21, 2017 AC +2.12%
Dec. 20, 2016 AC -3.33%
Sept. 20, 2016 AC +6.89% Biggest UP
June 21, 2016 AC -4.53%

Avg (+ or -) 4.09%
Bias -1.39%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 158.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 148.85 to 167.15
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 151.54 to 164.46
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (12.2%): 138.79 to 177.21
Based on UP Max only (+6.9%): 168.89

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