Test, Wow it worked??
Daily Archives: Thursday, August 29, 2019
#closing TRTN Bought Sept. 20,…
#closing TRTN
Bought Sept. 20, 30 put for .45, sold for 90 on Aug. 26. You guys will have to recalculate the RoR on that.
Thanks always to Tabortrader for this ticker.
It’s ex-div on Sept. 4, .52 dividend.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte. Sold to Open Aug 30th $SPX 2845/2865-2955/2975 condors for 1.10. Was on the road, so stopped in time to place order just after market close.
Taking profits on DIS
Bought to close $DIS 9/20 130/120 bull put spread @ .40. Sold for 1.57 on 8/7.
#tastytradefollow GLD Sold Oct. 18,…
Sold Oct. 18, 128/138/149/159 #ironcondor for 1.86. GLD down a little to 144.
ULTA
#Earnings #JadeLizards – I only allow myself one of these high dollar stocks at a time in this account but with my ISRG lizard being blown out to the upside (465/495/500) it’s pretty safe so taking a shot with ULTA.
Sold ULTA AUG 30 2019 315.0/345.0/350.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.76
Put side at the expected move and just under the 200ma…
OLLI Another Fine Mess I am Getting Into?
AMBA earnings analysis
#Earnings $AMBA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
June 4, 2019 AC +0.07%
March 5, 2019 AC +3.74%
Nov. 29, 2018 AC +18.48% Biggest UP
Aug. 30, 2018 AC -3.62%
June 5, 2018 AC -12.93%
March 1, 2018 AC +13.46%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC +14.29%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC -22.35% Biggest DOWN
June 6, 2017 AC -10.24%
Feb. 28, 2017 AC -4.42%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC -11.27%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -6.67%
Avg (+ or -) 10.13%
Bias -1.79%, slight negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 46.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 42.36 to 50.64
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 41.79 to 51.21
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (22.4%): 36.11 to 56.89
Based on UP max only (+18.5%): 55.09
Open to requests for other symbols.
ULTA earnings analysis
#Earnings $ULTA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 30, 2019 AC +1.50%
March 14, 2019 AC +8.28% Biggest UP
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.12% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +6.37%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.71%
March 15, 2018 AC +7.63%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC -4.11%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -9.13%
May 25, 2017 AC +3.19%
March 9, 2017 AC +4.62%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC -1.56%
Aug. 25, 2016 AC -6.11%
Avg (+ or -) 5.53%
Bias -0.26%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 115.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 311.92 to 358.08
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 310.30 to 346.62
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.1%): 285.37 to 371.55
Based on UP max only (+8.3%): 355.66
Open to requests for other symbols.
ANF closing
#Earnings. closed first batch of $ANF 16.5 puts for 2.00. Long Strangles bought yesterday for 2.50. Waiting to see if we might drop further.
#earnings #closing FIVE Bought 105/120/121…
Bought 105/120/121 #jadelizard 1.00, sold yesterday for 2.20.
I was considering a 100/140 strangle yesterday. There wasn’t much liquidity at those strikes and it would now take awhile to close with the big up move. Jade Lizard wins this one.
Thanks to fuzzball for starting me thinking about using these for earnings.
ANF
STC 16.5/17 strangle for a loss of 1.05 but, the Jade lizard on FIVE should cover that loss.
Good morning from Seattle
#Markets Opening was highest $TICK since Feb 2018. Is it over?
Options Bistro 