AXP earnings analysis

#Earnings $AXP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 18, 2018 AC +3.78%
July 18, 2018 AC -2.72%
April 18, 2018 AC +7.58%
Jan. 18, 2018 AC -1.83%
Oct. 18, 2017 AC -0.19%
July 19, 2017 AC -0.67%
April 19, 2017 AC +5.91%
Jan. 19, 2017 AC -0.63%
Oct. 19, 2016 AC +9.02% Biggest UP
July 20, 2016 AC -1.62%
April 20, 2016 AC +0.90%
Jan. 21, 2016 AC -12.10% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 3.91%
Bias 0.62%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 99.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 95.21 to 103.79
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 95.51 to 103.29
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (12.1%): 87.37 to 111.43

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