SPX 1dte IC expired

SPX Jan14 IC 2630/2635/2530/2525 x2 expired. Sold for 1.10 on Friday. Used Tide to time entries.

#spx1dte

SPX 1-dte expires

#SPX1dte Expiring today: $SPX Jan 14th 2520/2540-2630/2650 condors, sold for .90 on Friday.

#shortstock DISH Sold short 100…

#shortstock DISH MO

Sold short 100 shares of DISH at 27.81
Sold short 100 shares of MO at 48.28

UVXY

#LongPuts #LEAPS – Looking to sell again on a spike…

Bought to Close UVXY JAN 18 2019 80.0/85.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .05 (sold for 1.17)

#earnings #ironbutterfly JPM Sold Feb….

#earnings #ironbutterfly JPM

Sold Feb. 15, 90/100/100/110 for 5.21, had to go to Feb for enough premium to cover max moves. Thanks Jeff

URI

#ShortPuts #IRA – One fill so far…

Bought to Close URI Jan 18 2019 100.0 Put @ .05 (sold for 2.30)

TRADES:

PCG STC STC STOCK @8.97
AMD STO 1/25/19 21.5 CALLS @.55
AMD STO 1/25/19 22.0 CALLS @.42
AMD STO 1/25/19 19.0 PUTS @.40
ROKU STO 1/18/19 43.0 CALLS @.57
ROKU STO 1/18/19 38.0 PUTS @.63

#spycraft Just opened Feb 1…

#spycraft

Just opened Feb 1 expiration IC at the 245/242 puts for 0.25 credit and the 166/269 calls for 0.39 credit. Could probably get about the same now.

#fuzzy

WDC rolled the 4 DTE 70/70 out a week for 0.62 credit. Cb now 18.49.

The #spycraft trades will be managed as per the discussion last week. Hard adjustment points as soon as the short strike is breached or if in expiration week closed for a small loss or rolled. As long as we have 2 or more weeks left to expiration will back ratio.

TQQQ

STO February 15, 50/55 call spread at .26 adding to my position. I am pre selling some of these because I have a large expiration this Friday.

JPM earnings analysis

#Earnings $JPM reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 12, 2018 BO -1.09%
July 13, 2018 BO -0.45%
April 13, 2018 BO -2.70% Biggest DOWN
Jan. 12, 2018 BO +1.65%
Oct. 12, 2017 BO -0.28%
July 14, 2017 BO -0.91%
April 13, 2017 BO -1.17%
Jan. 13, 2017 BO +0.53%
Oct. 14, 2016 BO -0.32%
July 14, 2016 BO +1.51%
April 13, 2016 BO +4.23% Biggest UP
Jan. 14, 2016 BO +1.49%

Avg (+ or -) 1.36%
Bias 0.21%, slight positive bias on earnings.

NOTE: JPM is a very small mover on earnings. The above are the 1-day moves; I checked 5-day moves, but the +4.23% move above was still the highest.

With stock at 100.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 96.58 to 103.42
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 98.64 to 101.36
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (4.2%): 95.77 to 104.23

Open for requests on other symbols.

#ironbutterfly