Some observations as I closed…

Some observations as I closed out another week. Good 3 weeks 🙂 the pull back a few weeks ago really helped.

1. Critical mass on accounts seems to be around 50k. At that point the compounding really starts to kick in and the account becomes self sustaining for positive theta, #pietrades, income trades. Trades that need to be adjusted do not seem to affect the account value as much at these levels as well. Trading 6 different accounts with different values, lowest $3500 so can really see the difference. Each contract adds a lot more cash each week. 5-10 contracts is where the income really starts to compound and pay off. Even 3 contracts is a lot better than 1 unless talking AMZN or PCLN.

2. Some names are just better than others. GM is out as soon as it closes this week. Names with perceived high volatility but don’t really move around a lot and have good premiums (0.5-1% per week minimum) do the best and are easier to adjust.

3. I try to suck all the time value out of an option but once down to 0.2 roll it for better theta decay.

4. defending trades, easier to do it before the option goes way ITM or better yet, roll it before it even gets there. You will loose a little in time value but by rolling earlier you can stay ahead and continually bring in credits. Now if it is sitting right ATM I will wait until the last minute to roll it but if there is any time left, easier to roll early.

5. Taking a slight directional bias really increases returns. Allows to sell puts closer to ATM and also time call sales better.

6. For small accounts the #supercharger seems to work the best. Better ROI than credit spreads, less adjusting, less risk overall (defined) and more cushion for pull backs as you are already deep ITM. However, have to work the spread on entry or the exit is not as profitable. For any of my accounts under 10k I will be doing a lot more of these. 10k and up probably #pietrades with some #fuzzies thrown in. Occasional #spycraft as well but to be honest the #supercharger are doing much better when we have pull backs and more consistent gains.

Sitting on my hands until Fri. Hopefully we have a pull back, at least a little one where no one gets crushed 🙂

#fuzzy

FB

#LongPuts #LongCalls #LongLEAPStraddles – A couple trades I didn’t get a chance to post. Similar to TSLA, I’m playing this both directions. I’d like to see a pullback so I’m making a couple very bullish trades…LOL.

Calls:

On the call side adjusting everything up to get the short calls more rollable and back in play. If I can get the short calls to expire at some point the LEAPS have 7.10 gains in them along with another 6.95 of weekly premium so far.

Rolled 170 long LEAPS up to 180 @ 7.10 credit
Rolled 170 short weekly calls up to 177.5 @ 7.15 debit (and rolled out one week to Jun 22nd)

Puts:

Rolled short weekly puts up again. Aggressive roll here to in the money and near all time highs (gulp!)

Rolled 187.5 short puts to 195.0 puts @ 2.17 credit. (total credit on this batch now 6.12)

Of the 6.12 credit on these current short puts the last 2.22 is my first #PureProfit with 32 weeks still to run on a 5 lot…

SPX Trade

#spx

Friday afternoon
BTC Jun 22 Weekly 2625 Short side, at 6.50, Prev sold on 5/21 for 11.10
Gain at 43%
Resold Same Put for 6.40 X 2 contracts, 12.80 total credit
Took my small Profit as ES was at the High of the Day..

“Thongs”

@MamaCash is the one that comes up with all the creative trade names (Atomic Alligators). She just told me we’re going to start calling the “Theta Long” trades (like covered calls, etc) “Thongs”. I won’t hashtag this, but thought you’d all laugh with me.
Sue

#optionexpiration Afternoon all. Hot one…

#optionexpiration Afternoon all. Hot one today with temps in the 90s. Summer is here.
Expired
NUGT 26 Calls
TWTR 34 Puts
FAS I put a .05 closing order on my 66 short calls before I headed out this morning. These were filled about 3:15 when FAS was at 65.62.
Have a great weekend all.

#rolling #shortputs T rolled June…

#rolling #shortputs T
rolled June 15, 34 put to July for .62, now have a short 33 and short 34 with T around 32. Ex div will likely be the first week of July, might be rolling again.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX June 29th 2610/2585 put spreads for 1.55.

Stopped SPX June 15th 2735/2760 call spreads for 11.45. Sold as a #ReverseRoll for 4.40 on Tuesday.
Looking to roll into a condor.

#condorroll

SQ trades

#PieTrades Sold $SQ June 22nd 61.5 #syntheticcoveredcalls for 1.40

#CoveredCallCampaign #CoveredCalls
BTC SQ June 15th 60 call for 1.41. Sold for 1.40 on May 16th
#Rolling
Sold SQ June 29th 57.5 put for 1.50
Sold SQ July 6th 63 covered call for 1.40

Expiration Early But Grandchildren Call

#spxcampaign
$SPX 2465/2490 BUPS
$SPX 2425/2450 BUPS Thank you @jeffcp66 for both

SQ Roll

#rolling
$SQ BTC 6/15 55 put and STO 6/15 58.5 put at additional .75 credit.

#fallingknife ANF down 9%

#fallingknife

ANF down 9%

YY Earnings

#earnings
$YY BTO 6/8 116 call at 4.78

I will find out YY I did this after earnings 6/5 (after close)

ANET

BTC June 15, 200 put @ .05, sold at 6.90 as a falling knife. Just 1 contract though.I should have done more.

Augen Score

I’m watching the SPX Augen score inching up into high territory. It will hit 6 today. As you recall, the score is the number of 1-Standard Deviation up moves in a 21 day period. The higher that score gets, the more it points to a little too much frantic buying. I’ll look through everything this weekend for clarity on that score going up after a big correction. But anyway, for right now my plan is to stop any new buying at a “7”, take profits at “8”, flatten at “9”, get VIX calls or SPX short delta at “9-10.” In fact I have already taken steps to look through my whole portfolio and ask myself if I really want to hold certain positions. In the last 20 min I have cut:
ISRG $1215 net profit
IBM $200 net loss after many many income rolls
CARB $472 net gain on covered call
SBUX cut my short for $100 gain
TSLA $ not sure, don’t have a baseline
Took profit on VXX puts.
SHAK $244 net profit

I’ll write more this weekend about observations on the Augen score going up after a correction.

Too busy to check in…

Too busy to check in until now, we need a pull back, everything overcooked again!

TSLA CRM Sold Early / BABA Short Puts /

#shortcalls
Sold Early
$TSLA BTC 6/15 360/340 BECS at .10 STO at 2.35
$CRM STC 6/16 120/130 BUCS at 8.25 BTO at 4.35

#shortputs
$BABA STO 6/15 195/202.50 BUPS at 2.06

BABA synthetic

BTO January 2020, 200 calls @40.45

STO June 8, 210 calls @1.26

I need .48 cents per week to cover the cost of the leap. Stock breaking out.

COST earnings closed

#Earnings Closed $COST June 1st 195 puts for .16. Sold yesterday for 1.583 (avg price)

June 1 #CoveredBackRatio #CoveredCalls My…

June 1 #CoveredBackRatio #CoveredCalls

My week is just about done. For this week I had sold $9,574 in premium, and have collected $$8,189, that’s an 86% collection. As @MamaCash says, this has been a perfect few weeks for “covered’s.”

MSFT: I had to close an #AtomicAlligator trade due to peak T+1 profit line. Netted about $1400 total. The Atomic Alligators may become extinct now due to recent trade design evolution. They were fun!

TWTR: Needed an emergency debit roll, rolled Jun8 34 to jun15 36. I had to pay .87 for $2.00 gain.

ISRG: MM’s are always difficult on this. I rolled Jun1 465 to Jun8 467.5. I was only able to pocket $60 on the Jun 1 but this “roll into strength” gives me a ton of premium for next week, $5.45, + 2.50 in add’l head room. Oops, I see the new strike is blown already, I will watch extrinsic for full position close. 11:00 am update: closed out of full position for $1215 net profit.

RHT: Rolled Jun1 165 to Jun8 167.5 for $282 net on June 1.

CRM and NVDA executed share call.

One note on #UnbalancedDiagonals vs #CoveredBackRatio I’m finding I need to load them in a risk graph side by side and view P/L performance at up-and-down price points. It’s not a given that UD’s are always better than CBR’s. The extra work to compare the two creates “edge.”

One last note on a new trade called #Saf-T trade. I have a little cash that needs a lot of protection. So I loaded a trade into the backtester that brings a return better than a CD/money market, but very safely. It’s kind of a twist on the Unbalanced Diagonal, coupled w/ a collar. SPY: Buy 1000 shares, Buy qty 9 45-DTE 40 delta puts, Sell 8 7DTE 40 delta calls. You’ll notice I’m doing 1 put short of full protection, which bumps up performance just a tad. It adds 1% to the 2 year performance. The rolling calls need to finance the puts, plus add a little extra. This would be managed like a covered call: 1. allow shares to be called, 2. debit roll, 3. credit roll.

Here’s 2 year and 6 month performance numbers (these numbers do not include div payments):
SPY 2 year: 10% return, Net $26,992 6 month: -1.1% return, Net -$3,068
QQQ 2 year: 8.2% return, Net $13,681 6 month: +1.4% return, Net $2048
TQQQ 2 year: 46.1% return, $112,000 6 month: +9.1% return, Net $29,592

I put this on in both SPY and TQQQ today. We are a few weeks away from dividends on these.

#spycraft Add another spread Jun…

#spycraft

Add another spread Jun 01 2740/2750 for $1.00cr, delta 0.14 when SPX 2730.01

#shortstraddle ROKU High IV, sold…

#shortstraddle ROKU

High IV, sold July 20, 37 straddle for 5.75.

Pie, CC, & Leap trades

#PieTrade BTC $AMAT June 1st 51.5 call for .12. Sold for .75 on Tuesday.
Sold June 8th 52.5 call for .55.

#CoveredCallCampaign #coveredcalls
BTC $BABA June 8th 190 put for .25. Sold in a #StrangleRoll for 5.28 on May 10th.
Sold $FB June 29th 200 call for 1.90.

#LEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCall
BTC $TQQQ June 8th 52.5 puts for .20. Sold in a #StrangleRoll on May 14th for 2.10 (effective price)

SPY

BTO Jul 13 272/270 Puts .67 TT Trade #Bitty
Looking for 50% profit in/out

PBR

BTO Jul 20 10/13 Calls 1.00 Bad news day, looking for in/out bounce #Bitty

AMBA

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Earnings next week also…

Bought to Close AMBA JUN 1 2018 51.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for .91) full position

Sold AMBA JUN 8 2018 51.0 Calls @ 1.60 (80 percent size)

TQQQ

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Rolling….since this is only an 80 percent position with no upside risk I can roll but don’t have to go crazy. Picking up a little more upside with some credit also.

Rolled TQQQ JUN 1 2018 56.5 Calls to JUN 8 2018 57.17 Calls @ .13 credit

I like having the oddball strikes now…LOL

SPX calls sold

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX June 29th 2815/2840 call spreads for 1.60.

Also, closed on GTC order: June 8th 2600/2575 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.60 on May 11th.

AZO

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Rolling out and up…

Rolled AZO JUN 1 2018 642.5 Call to JUN 15 2018 650.0 Call @ 1.74 credit

TSLA

#LongPuts #LongCalls #LongLEAPStraddles – Short 292.5 straddles worked pretty good this week so setting it up again for next week. Selling against long LEAPS puts and calls.

Sold TSLA JUN 8 2018 292.5 Calls @ 3.65

Rolled TSLA JUN 1 2018 292.5 Puts to JUN 8 2018 292.5 Puts @ 3.90 credit (7.15 total now)

#spycraft STO BeCS Jun 01…

#spycraft

STO BeCS Jun 01 2735/2745 for $1.50cr at 9:55
added BuPS Jun 01 2715/2705 for $0.75cr 10:07, should have held out for $1cr

#earnings #ironcondor COST bought June…

#earnings #ironcondor COST
bought June 15 180/185/210/215 for .30, sold yesterday for .77.

#tastyworks #closing strategies There have…

#tastyworks #closing strategies

There have been some discussions here on different philosophies around closing trades. Here is 8 minutes on closing early.

https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/daily_recaps/2018-05-31/episodes/average-daily-pl-theta-05-31-2018

#earnings #shortputspread LULU Bought Sept….

#earnings #shortputspread LULU
Bought Sept. 80/90 for .62, sold yesterday for 1.69, LULU up about 12 so far.

DIS

STC 103/101 BePS bought 5-25 for .93 sold for 1.31 #Bitty

AZO

STC DIM 610/612.5 Call spread cost 1.40 bought on 5/22 sold this AM 2.42

Good Morning

Good Morning

May Jobs Report

#Jobs Strong month, with lowest unemployment rate since 2000.

+223,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 188K expected
Unemployment down to 3.8%, lowest since April 2000
U6 unemployment at 7.6%, down by .2
Wages up 0.3%, reflecting 2.7% annualized
Labor force participation 62.7%, down 0.1

Apr revised down from 164K to 159K
Mar revised up from 135K to 155K