#Earnings $NFLX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 16, 2019 AC -1.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -3.98%
Oct. 16, 2018 AC +5.28%
July 16, 2018 AC -5.24%
April 16, 2018 AC +9.18%
Jan. 22, 2018 AC +9.97%
Oct. 16, 2017 AC -1.57%
July 17, 2017 AC +13.54%
April 17, 2017 AC -2.64%
Jan. 18, 2017 AC +3.86%
Oct. 17, 2016 AC +19.02% Biggest UP
July 18, 2016 AC -13.12% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 7.39%
Bias 2.75%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 365.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 338.73 to 392.27
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 338.48 to 392.52
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (19.0%): 295.98 to 435.02
Based on DOWN Max only (-13.1%): 317.55

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