A TRADE:

PYX BTO STOCK @14.64
PYX STO 8/16/19 15.0 CALLS @1.40

Managing WDC

I was assigned 4 separate lots of stock from short puts, back in May and June.

I took one of those lots (sold stock for 54.79) off for an overall profit (after multiple rolls/adjustments starting in September.

For one of the remaining 3 lots, I sold Sep 20 60 covered calls which would take me out of that one for an overall profit if assigned.

Watching to sell calls on the other 2 lots as the stock looks like it could be poised for an earnings run into next week.

Adding NUGT

Sold $NUGT Sep 20 54 calls @ 1.40. Highest strike.

SPX 4-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX July 26th 2905/2930-3020/3045 condors for 2.80.

SWK earnings analysis and trade

#Earnings $SWK reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 24, 2019 BO -1.00%
Jan. 22, 2019 BO -15.48% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 25, 2018 BO +1.57%
July 20, 2018 BO +3.27%
April 20, 2018 BO -6.70%
Jan. 24, 2018 BO -1.89%
Oct. 24, 2017 BO +4.77% Biggest UP
July 24, 2017 BO -2.10%
April 21, 2017 BO +3.65%
Jan. 26, 2017 BO -0.15%
Oct. 27, 2016 BO -1.49%
July 22, 2016 BO +4.80%

Avg (+ or -) 3.91%
Bias -0.90%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 142.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 134.94 to 149.06
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 136.45 to 147.55
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (15.5%): 120.02 to 163.98
Based on UP Max only (+4.8%): 148.82

Open to requests for other symbols.

WHR earnings analysis

#Earnings $WHR reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 22, 2019 AC +0.40%
Jan. 28, 2019 AC +9.66% Biggest UP
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +6.78%
July 23, 2018 AC -14.52% Biggest DOWN
April 23, 2018 AC +3.75%
Jan. 24, 2018 AC +2.30%
Oct. 23, 2017 AC -10.54%
July 26, 2017 AC -6.28%
April 25, 2017 BO +3.51%
Jan. 26, 2017 BO -8.54%
Oct. 25, 2016 BO -10.77%
July 22, 2016 BO +2.67%

Avg (+ or -) 6.64%
Bias -1.80%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 148.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 139.70 to 157.30
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 138.63 to 158.37
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.5%): 126.94 to 170.06
Based on UP Max only (+9.7%): 162.85

Open to requests for other symbols.

XBI

#ShortPuts – Fidelity is commission free at .10 or less so if I can get out a week or two early I’ll take it.

Bought to Close XBI AUG 02 2019 77.5 Puts @ .10 (sold for .84)