#Earnings $SQ reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Aug. 1, 2019 AC -14.05% Biggest DOWN
May 1, 2019 AC -7.98%
Feb. 27, 2019 AC +2.42%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -9.02%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC +8.65%
May 2, 2018 AC +1.13%
Feb. 27, 2018 AC +0.30%
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +3.40%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC -4.68%
May 3, 2017 AC +8.86%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC +14.02% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +6.41%
Avg (+ or -) 6.74%
Bias 0.79%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 61.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 55.48 to 66.52
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 56.89 to 65.11
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.1%): 52.43 to 69.57
Based on UP max only (+14.0%): 69.55
Open to requests for other symbols.