NFLX IBM BUPS Closed Early

#bups
$NFLX BTC 11/15 265/275 BUPS at .40. STO 10/17 at 1.60. Thank you @Raime
$IBM BTC 11/15 130/135 BUPS at .40. STO 10/17 at 2.25.

DIS bullish

#Earnings . Sold to Open $DIS Nov 8th 130/128 put spread for .65.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Nov 8th 3040/3060-3110/3130 condors for .80, IV 7.69%, SPX 3085

#earning Strangle $UBER

$UBER STO 11/8 27.50/33.5 at 1.95. BTC @ .60. Thank you @jeff.

MNST earnings analysis

#Earnings $MNST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 7, 2019 AC +2.96%
May 2, 2019 AC +8.82%
Feb. 27, 2019 AC +8.66%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -3.16%
Aug. 8, 2018 AC +2.65%
May 8, 2018 AC -7.47%
Feb. 28, 2018 AC -14.43% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +1.17%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -1.14%
May 4, 2017 AC +3.30%
March 1, 2017 AC +12.75% Biggest UP
Nov. 3, 2016 AC -3.55%

Avg (+ or -) 5.84%
Bias 0.88%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 56.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 52.63 to 60.87
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 53.44 to 60.06
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.4%): 48.56 to 64.94
Based on UP max only (+12.8%): 63.99

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings DIS Sold Dec. 20,…

#earnings DIS
Sold Dec. 20, 120/145 strangle for 1.51

Thanks for the data Jeff.

ISRG

#ShortPuts – Strong market so trying to squeeze a little more out of this one. Rolling current short put up to support at the 50 and 200 moving averages and also at the expected move over the next two weeks. Wouldn’t break my heart if this catches some heat.

Rolled ISRG NOV 22 2019 505.0 Put to NOV 22 2019 530.0 Put @ 2.00 credit (5.50 total now)