Closed CMG

Just catching up on trades. Filled on this closing order: Bought to close $CMG 12/20 700/690 bull put spread @ .79. Sold for 1.80 on 11/11.

Adding more VIX

#VXXGame Bought to open $VIX Feb 18th 19/22 call spreads for .60. Added to the Jan 21st 17/20 already holding.

FB

BTO December 20, 200/210 bull call spread at 3.30 and sold the December 27, 190 put at 2.86

#earnings HD #jadelizard #ironcondor This…

#earnings HD KSS

#jadelizard #ironcondor #shortstrangles

HD This is a jade lizard set up with a protective put, making it an iron condor
HD Sold Dec. 20, 210/225/240/242.50 for 2.60
KSS sold Dec. 20, 50/65 strangle for 1.65

Thanks for the data Jeff

LABU Calls Rolled / GOOGL BUPS

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 12/6 42 call and STO 12/20 45 for .35 debit. My basis is now 41.35. Stock at 41.72.

#bups
$GOOGL STO 11/22 1280/1290 BUPS at .95

KSS earnings analysis

#Earnings $KSS reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 20, 2019 BO -6.88%
May 21, 2019 BO -12.33% Biggest DOWN
March 5, 2019 BO +7.31%
Nov. 20, 2018 BO -9.22%
Aug. 21, 2018 BO +1.71%
May 22, 2018 BO -7.42%
March 1, 2018 BO -5.05%
Nov. 9, 2017 BO +0.93%
Aug. 10, 2017 BO -5.79%
May 11, 2017 BO -7.83%
Feb. 23, 2017 BO -2.08%
Nov. 10, 2016 BO +11.53% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 6.51%
Bias -2.93%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 58.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 53.70 to 63.30
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 54.69 to 62.31
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (12.3%): 51.29 to 65.71
Based on UP max only (+11.5%): 65.25

Open to requests for other symbols.

UVXY

#ShortCalls – Nicely profitable stops set on my other naked positions so starting another one…

Sold UVXY DEC 13 2019 20.0 Calls @ .72

#assignment SBUX September 3, I…

#assignment SBUX
September 3, I sold a 92.50.95 put ratio spread. That date coincided with a decline in SBUX stock price to the low 80s. After a few adjustments I was assigned on a Dec. 20, 92.50 put. My cost basis 87.97 (haven’t done a very good job adjusting this). Today I sold a Nov. 22, 84.50 call for .33.
I don’t even drink coffee.

TNA

#ShortPuts – All stock called away over the weekend so starting a brand new position. Selling at the expected move and below the 50 and 200 day moving averages.

Sold TNA DEC 20 2019 57.5 Puts @ 1.55

HD earnings analysis & trade

#Earnings $HD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 20, 2019 BO +4.39% Biggest UP
May 21, 2019 BO +0.26%
Feb. 26, 2019 BO -0.88%
Nov. 13, 2018 BO -0.23%
Aug. 14, 2018 BO -0.53%
May 15, 2018 BO -1.62%
Feb. 20, 2018 BO -0.13%
Nov. 14, 2017 BO +1.63%
Aug. 15, 2017 BO -2.65% Biggest DOWN
May 16, 2017 BO +0.59%
Feb. 21, 2017 BO +1.41%
Nov. 15, 2016 BO -2.56%

Avg (+ or -) 1.41%
Bias -0.03%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 237.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 229.57 to 245.43
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 234.16 to 240.84
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (4.4%): 227.07 to 247.93
Based on DOWN max only (-2.7%): 231.21

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar