LABU CC Rolled / SPX 1 DTE Expired

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 11/29 40 calls to 12/6 42 for .40 debit.

#spx1dte
$SPX 3050/3060/3110/3130 expired. STO at .50. Thank you @jeffcp66

X Short Puts

Been pretty quiet on trading this week.  Aside from wishing I took long calls in $DIS prior to earnings and Dis+ launch, I sold two Nov 15 $13.50 Puts in $X yesterday at $0.21 x 2.  I’ve never had stock put to me or called away yet, and there are weeklies in the underlying so figured I’d give it a try.  Sold puts with stock around $13.75 or so, and it dipped past my strike today.  I’ll update if I get stock with covered call for next week.

CRWD Dec puts

Sold $CRWD 42.50 puts @ 1.55 with the stock at 52.19 up over 11% today. Delta 18. Earnings 12/5 after market so will be watching closely. IV rank 70.

NTAP Earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – Small position just to have something to do. Playing it to the downside at the expected move and 50ma with no upside risk.

Sold NTAP NOV 15 2019 56/61/62.5 Jade Lizards @ 1.62

#earnings WMT Sold Dec. 20,…

#earnings WMT NTAP

WMT Sold Dec. 20, 115/125 #shortstrangles for 2.62.
NTAP Sold Dec. 20, 50/70 strangle for 1.17

Thanks for the data Jeff.

dis/nflx

Sold to close 1/2 of the arbitrage I put on yesterday for $20.65 and kept the other half. The cost was 13.92

CSCO earnings analysis & trade

#Earnings $CSCO reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 14, 2019 AC -8.61% Biggest DOWN
May 15, 2019 AC +6.65% Biggest UP
Feb. 13, 2019 AC +1.89%
Nov. 14, 2018 AC +5.50%
Aug. 15, 2018 AC +2.96%
May 16, 2018 AC -3.76%
Feb. 14, 2018 AC +4.72%
Nov. 15, 2017 AC +5.18%
Aug. 16, 2017 AC -4.01%
May 17, 2017 AC -7.21%
Feb. 15, 2017 AC +2.37%
Nov. 16, 2016 AC -4.81%

Avg (+ or -) 4.81%
Bias 0.07%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 48.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 46.22 to 50.78
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 46.17 to 50.83
sed on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (8.6%): 44.32 to 52.68
Based on UP max only (+6.7%): 51.73

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

Closing SWKS

#Earnings . Sold to close $SWKS Nov15/Nov22 101 #DoubleCalendar for 1.40. Bought yesterday for .732.
Only partial fill so far.

WMT earnings analysis

#Earnings $WMT reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 15, 2019 BO +6.22%
May 16, 2019 BO +1.43%
Feb. 19, 2019 BO +2.21%
Nov. 15, 2018 BO -1.96%
Aug. 16, 2018 BO +9.33%
May 17, 2018 BO -1.90%
Feb. 20, 2018 BO -10.17% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 16, 2017 BO +10.89% Biggest UP
Aug. 17, 2017 BO -1.58%
May 18, 2017 BO +3.22%
Feb. 21, 2017 BO +2.99%
Nov. 17, 2016 BO -3.08%

Avg (+ or -) 4.58%
Bias 1.47%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 120.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 115.34 to 124.66
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 114.50 to 125.50
ased on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (10.9%): 106.93 to 133.07
Based on DOWN max only (-10.2%): 107.80

Open to requests for other symbols.

UVXY

#ShortCalls #BearCallSpreads – Taking advantage of the massive volatility pop this morning….

Sold UVXY NOV 29 2019 20.0 Calls @ .70
Sold UVXY JAN 17 2020 24.0/34.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .90

#assignment #coveredcalls UBER I was…

#assignment #coveredcalls UBER

I was assigned 100 shares of UBER on a Dec. 36 put, first sold Aug. 9 and rolled 3 times.
Sold a Nov. 22, 27.50 call for .40, cost basis is 33.53. I guess I’ll stop using LYFT.

NTAP earnings analysis

#Earnings $NTAP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 14, 2019 AC +3.93%
May 22, 2019 AC -8.10%
Feb. 13, 2019 AC -5.47%
Nov. 14, 2018 AC -11.72% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 15, 2018 AC -3.58%
May 23, 2018 AC +1.93%
Feb. 14, 2018 AC -4.89%
Nov. 15, 2017 AC +15.91% Biggest UP
Aug. 16, 2017 AC -6.72%
May 24, 2017 AC +3.53%
Feb. 15, 2017 AC +4.18%
Nov. 16, 2016 AC +6.24%

Avg (+ or -) 6.35%
Bias -0.40%, slight negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 60.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 55.03 to 65.97
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 56.66 to 64.34
ased on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (15.9%): 50.87 to 70.13
Based on DOWN max only (-11.7%): 53.41

Open to requests for other symbols.