#shortputs
$GSX STO 2/21/30 puts at 31
$SAVE BTC 2/21 40 put at .60. STO 1/13 at 2.35
#bups
$AAPL BTC 2/21 340/350 BUPS at .50. STO 1/28 for 1.91
#coveredcalls
$OKTA BTC 2/7 132 and STO 2/14 134 at added .40. Too bad stock tanked.
$PLAN BTC 2/21 and STO 3/20 65 at .40 debit. Then stock tanked. Quite the pattern. )-:
#optionsexpiration #spx1-dte
3245/3445/3340/3360
Thank you @jeffcp66
Bought to close 3/20 184 call @ .85. Sold for 2.75 on 1/31.
#Earnings $TWTR reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Oct. 24, 2019 BO -20.80% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2019 BO +8.91%
April 23, 2019 BO +15.64%
Feb. 7, 2019 BO -9.83%
Oct. 25, 2018 BO +15.46%
July 27, 2018 BO -20.54%
April 25, 2018 BO -2.36%
Feb. 8, 2018 BO +12.15%
Oct. 26, 2017 BO +18.49% Biggest UP
July 27, 2017 BO -14.12%
April 26, 2017 BO +7.91%
Feb. 9, 2017 BO -12.33%
Avg (+ or -) 13.21%
Bias -0.12%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 33.25 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 29.93 to 36.57
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 28.86 to 37.64
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (20.8%): 26.33 to 40.17
Based on UP max only (+18.5%): 39.40
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings $CTSH reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Oct. 30, 2019 AC +1.75%
July 31, 2019 AC +1.94%
May 2, 2019 AC -11.04% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 6, 2019 BO +4.62%
Oct. 30, 2018 BO -3.90%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO -6.37%
May 7, 2018 BO -5.24%
Feb. 7, 2018 BO +3.54%
Nov. 1, 2017 BO -2.81%
Aug. 3, 2017 BO +2.08%
May 5, 2017 BO +4.06%
Feb. 8, 2017 BO +4.94% Biggest UP
Avg (+ or -) 4.36%
Bias -0.54%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 64.90 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 61.81 to 67.99
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 62.07 to 67.73
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (11.0%): 57.74 to 72.06
Based on UP max only (+4.9%): 68.11
Open to requests for other symbols.
Down 5% today. STO March 20, 230 put at 5.30 but earnings are on 2/27, stock is at 287
Sold $TSLA 3/20 900/920 bear call spread @ 4.00
STO March 20, 80 puts at 2.61 with stock at 86.25 , earnings are on Feb. 19, they mine lithium used in batteries.
This premium is almost as insane as the stock’s move. Finally jumping in; it’s hard to believe I can’t be confident in this trade!
Sold $TSLA Feb 14th 550/1300 #ShortStrangles for 9.825
#earningsDIS
BTC DIS IC .14
STO yesterday for .99
#Earnings $REGN reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Nov. 5, 2019 BO +6.93%
Aug. 6, 2019 BO +0.23%
May 7, 2019 BO -6.34% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 6, 2019 BO -3.43%
Nov. 6, 2018 BO +0.75%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO +6.99% Biggest UP
May 3, 2018 BO -1.25%
Feb. 8, 2018 BO -3.58%
Nov. 8, 2017 BO +2.66%
Aug. 3, 2017 BO -2.03%
May 4, 2017 BO +6.70%
Feb. 9, 2017 BO +1.91%
Avg (+ or -) 3.57%
Bias 0.80%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 367.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 348.22 TO 386.78
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 354.39 TO 380.61
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.0%): 341.81 TO 393.19
Based on DOWN max only (-6.3%): 344.20
Open to requests for other symbols.
Options Bistro 