Worst case scenario? CHAPTER 11…what are the odds?

Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.


Bottom feeders in my accounts:

AAOI: 3%
TEVA: 48%
UAA: 13%


$SPX 2540/2515 BECS 300 loss per contract

$TSLA – initial move has…

$TSLA – initial move has it down to 305ish.


Not really #Earnings but sort of. Uncovering my stock just in case something crazy happens.

Bought to Close TEVA NOV 3 2017 15.5 Calls @ .19 (sold for .32)

#earnings FB #butterfly #longputspread Nov….

#earnings FB
#butterfly #longputspread
Nov. 17 sold 177.50/182.50/182.50/185 puts for .86 credit, possible 346 above 179, bought 180/172.50 for 1.59 to cover the downside.

Last of the DRIPs

Closed the last of my positions in this ticker at .05. Was a nice run starting in July, and now completely out of it. Not sure if we’ll get another shot at this one anytime soon.
Bought to close $DRIP Dec 15 35 calls @ .05. Sold for 3.58, 4.00 and 5.00 from 6/7-6/21.

$TSLA #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold…

$TSLA #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold TSLA Nov 3 2017 270.0 Puts @ 0.72 with the stock at 321.90.
These Expire Friday