EW Earnings Analysis

#Earnings $EW reports after the bell today. This is not one I’ve traded often, if ever, but the premium makes it look interesting. Chart is a little wacky, however. Watch your risk

Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 26, 2018 AC -8.50%
April 24, 2018 AC -3.82%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC 3.81%
Oct. 24, 2017 AC -9.55%
July 26, 2017 AC 0.64%
April 25, 2017 AC 10.49%
Feb. 1, 2017 AC -8.45%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -17.09%
July 26, 2016 AC 5.62%
April 26, 2016 AC 0.08%
Feb. 2, 2016 AC 8.33%
Oct. 26, 2015 AC 2.76%

Avg + or – 6.60%
Bias -1.31%, downside bias on earnings.

With stock at 146.00, the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 132.96 to 159.04
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 136.37 to 155.63
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (17.1%): 121.05 to 170.95