GOOGL earnings analysis

#Earnings
Look how docile GOOGL is… its range has been small, and I’ve usually skipped it due to lack of premium. But with IV up, premium is huge at the ranges below. If I go back to the 13th Quarter there was a 16% up move, so beware that despite the recent quiet, GOOGL can move big.

$GOOGL reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2018 AC 3.89%
April 23, 2018 AC -4.76%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC -5.28%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC 4.26%
July 24, 2017 AC -2.93%
April 27, 2017 AC 3.71%
Jan. 26, 2017 AC -1.39%
Oct. 27, 2016 AC 0.27%
July 28, 2016 AC 3.32%
April 21, 2016 AC -5.41%
Feb. 1, 2016 AC 1.31%
Oct. 22, 2015 AC 5.60%

Avg + or – 3.51%
Bias +0.22%, very slight upside bias on earnings.

With stock at 1095.00, the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 1035.20 to 1154.80
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 1056.56 to 1133.44
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (5.6%): 1033.68 to 1156.32

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