NVDA earnings analysis

#Earnings $NVDA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 16, 2018 AC -4.90%
May 10, 2018 AC -2.15%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC 6.69%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC 5.26%
Aug. 10, 2017 AC -5.32% Biggest DOWN
May 9, 2017 AC 17.82%
Feb. 9, 2017 AC -2.37%
Nov. 10, 2016 AC 29.80% Biggest UP
Aug. 11, 2016 AC 5.59%
May 12, 2016 AC 15.20%
Feb. 17, 2016 AC 8.60%
Nov. 5, 2015 AC 13.85%

Avg (+ or -) 9.80%
Bias 7.34%, strong positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 200.00 the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 179.14 to 220.86
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 180.41 to 216.59
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (29.8%): 140.40 to 259.60

NOTE: the max move down (-5.3%) is dwarfed by the max move up (+29.8%).

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