TQQQ

#CoveredCalls – Partial fill…

Bought to Close TQQQ NOV 16 2018 58.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.62)

SPX condor closed

#SPXcampaign BTC $SPX Nov 30th 2675/2700/2875/2900 condor for 7.95. I legged into this condor for 11.25 total. Had to close it today… all the profit came from the call side.

#shortcallspreadscall SPX sell 2735/2750 Nov…

#shortcallspreadscall

SPX sell 2735/2750 Nov 12 calls for $6.70cr, quick drop $4 now, bottomed $3.50 watching for return.

SPX 1-dte closed

#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Nov 12th 2730/2710 put spread for 1.20, breakeven covering commissions of the condor sold for 1.25 on Friday. I was trying to change my order for a lower price, but it drops so quickly on the tiniest of bounces that it grabbed my bid before I could change it.

I’ve been discussing these trades with some people today and comparing performance. I think one of my weak spots is entering these trades too late in the day, and also after a bounce has already dropped volatility dramatically. I believe if I had entered this condor an hour earlier on Friday, I could have been 20 or 30 points farther out of the money. I’ll be watching this closely for a good entry tomorrow for Wednesday expiration.

A couple of short term short volatility trades

Bought to open (bear put spread): $VXX Nov 30 36/31 BePS @ 2.47 debit
Sold to open (bear call spread): $UVXY Nov 23 60/70 BeCS @ 1.29 credit

GS against the grain

Going the other way on $GS. Not at all calling a bottom, just saying that if it gets down to the strike (another 13% lower from here) I’d be willing to buy the stock at what would be around a 2 year low.
Sold $GS Dec 21 180 puts @ 1.45. Delta of the puts is 12. Basis if assigned 178.55.

AMZN Dec put spread

Sold $AMZN Dec 21 1470/1450 BuPS for 3.41. Short strike (delta 18) is below the recent low from 10/30 (1476 intraday).

OLED Dec

Sold $OLED Dec 21 70 puts @ 1.45. Stock at 86.65/Delta 14.

#shortcallspreads SPX BeCS sell 1750,…

#shortcallspreads

SPX BeCS sell 1750, buy 1770 calls expiring today for $5.50, a little slow on draw, got below $3, now $3.60 looking like it’ll take another dive.

Blood bath resumes

#Market Well, so much for the post-election rally. AAPL getting whacked, unlike in October, so it seems all bets are off. We could just remain in this wide range into year end, but things are not pretty with two days in a row like this.

Had to stop out on $TWLO puts with a loss… a painful whipsaw for me on the earnings trade. Staying away for now as it is still dropping.
No TSLA trade this week because margin req are jacked on that ticker by my broker.
BTC $DUST Mar 15th 60 call for 1.15. Sold for 3.65 (avg price) in Aug/Sept)
Stopped $BOIL Mar 15th 45 call for 8.00. Sold for 2.40, avg price. Working on some rolls to the new 60 strikes..

HD earnings analysis

#Earnings $HD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters. (I checked 5-day moves and the only value higher than those below was a +7% move for Nov 2015)

Aug. 14, 2018 BO -0.53%
May 15, 2018 BO -1.62%
Feb. 20, 2018 BO -0.13%
Nov. 14, 2017 BO 1.63%
Aug. 15, 2017 BO -2.65%
May 16, 2017 BO 0.59%
Feb. 21, 2017 BO 1.41%
Nov. 15, 2016 BO -2.56%
Aug. 16, 2016 BO -0.60%
May 17, 2016 BO -2.46%
Feb. 23, 2016 BO 1.36%
Nov. 17, 2015 BO 4.41%

Avg (+ or -) 1.66%
Bias -0.10%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 185.00 the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 176.22 to 193.78
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 181.92 to 188.08
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (4.4%): 176.84 to 193.16

Open for requests on other symbols.

UVXY

#LongPuts #LEAPS #ShortCalls – Taking a little risk off and looking for new sales…

Bought to Close UVXY NOV 23 2018 75.0 Call @ .75 (sold for 2.55)
Bought to Close UVXY NOV 30 2018 80.0 Call @ 1.09 (sold for 6.32)

New highest strikes for BOIL

Up to 60 in most expirations
Sold:
$BOIL Dec 21 60 calls @ 2.60
$BOIL Jan 18 60 calls @ 4.30

TQQQ

In my IRA, BTO January 2021 60 calls @14.96 and will sell short dated calls on an uptick.

TQQQ calls

#SyntheticCoveredCalls #LongLEAPs
BTC $TQQQ Nov 16th 59 calls for .15. Sold for 1.25 last Wednesday