AVGO earnings analysis

#Earnings — $AVGO reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Dec. 6, 2018 AC +0.58%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +7.69%
June 7, 2018 AC -2.53%
March 15, 2018 AC -4.81% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 6, 2017 AC 0.00%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -3.70%
June 1, 2017 AC +8.49% Biggest UP
March 1, 2017 AC +0.99%
Dec. 8, 2016 AC +4.90%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -2.24%
June 2, 2016 AC +4.93%
March 3, 2016 AC +6.35%

Avg (+ or -) 3.93%
Bias 1.72%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 271.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 257.74 to 284.26
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 260.34 to 281.66
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (8.5%): 247.99 to 294.01
Based on Max DOWN only (-4.8%): 257.96

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