CRM and SQ

#Earnings Bought to close $CRM March 8th 150/152.5/175/177.5 condors for .23. Sold for 1.15 yesterday.

#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls Sold to Open $SQ Mar 15th 79 calls for 1.00

Short Put PYX

#shortputs
$PYX STO 3/15 25 put at 1.25
$PYX STO 4/18 25 put at 2.01

Trying to get to a high with cannabis premium

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 6th 2740/2760-2815/2835 condors for .95. (IV 9.35%, SPX 2792)

Howdy all. I thought I…

Howdy all. I thought I would pop in to see what y’all are up to. I see MamaCash is doing 11-hour trades. I think I saw her in the Base Camp trading room. Here’s a link if you want to take a 30 day trial for $7. Please let me know if you sign up. www.basecamptrading.com.

ANF straddle, DLTR maybe

#Earnings #LongStraddle Bought $ANF March 8th 21.5 straddle for 2.94. Avg Move on earnings: 14.7%. I need a 13.7% move to breakeven.

Also trying for a #DoubleCalendar on $DLTR. Only if I can get filled for .40. Low probability, since it moves decently, but low risk worth the shot.

TQQQ

STO May 17, 60/65 call spread @ .80 cents on a partial fill.

#earnings Z This took a…

#earnings Z
This took a couple weeks. Feb. 21, sold a March 15, 30/40 strangle for 1.35, with Z around 35. It jumped to a little over 44 and is settling down now below 40. Bought today for .90.

NIO

There is some serious premium in NIO, a $10 Chinese auto stock

A TRADE: Added

SLDB BTO STOCK 11.17

ANF earnings analysis

#Earnings — $ANF reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 29, 2018 BO +20.91%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO -17.15%
June 1, 2018 BO -8.72%
March 7, 2018 BO +11.90%
Nov. 17, 2017 BO +23.90% Biggest UP
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +17.06%
May 25, 2017 BO +8.99%
March 2, 2017 BO +13.94%
Nov. 18, 2016 BO -13.76%
Aug. 30, 2016 BO -20.30% Biggest DOWN
May 26, 2016 BO -15.66%
March 2, 2016 BO +3.64%

Avg (+ or -) 14.66%
Bias 2.06%, Positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 21.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 18.76 to 24.24
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 18.35 to 24.65
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (23.9%): 16.36 to 26.64

Open to requests for other symbols.

#longstraddle

DLTR earnings analysis

#Earnings — $DLTR reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 29, 2018 BO +6.13%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO -15.54% Biggest DOWN
May 31, 2018 BO -14.28%
March 7, 2018 BO -14.47%
Nov. 21, 2017 BO +2.41%
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +5.62%
May 25, 2017 BO +0.92%
March 1, 2017 BO +0.20%
Nov. 22, 2016 BO +8.15%
Aug. 25, 2016 BO -9.93%
May 26, 2016 BO +12.77% Biggest UP
March 1, 2016 BO +2.21%

Avg (+ or -) 7.72%
Bias -1.32%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 95.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 88.39 to 101.61
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 87.67 to 102.33
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (15.5%): 80.24 to 109.76

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings CRM Yesterday sold April…

#earnings CRM
Yesterday sold April 18, 125/185 strangle for 1.47, bought this morning for .69