1 DTE SPX Expired

#spx1dte
$SPX 2740/2760/2835/2815 STO for .95. Thank you @jeffcp66

NTNX While most of the…

NTNX While most of the stocks on my watchlist are down, this stock has been resilient and solid. It’s a recent falling knife. NOT a recommendation, just FYI.

#earnings KR Sold April 18,…

#earnings KR

Sold April 18, 28 straddle fr 2.75

SSYS dub cal

#Earnings As $DLTR ascends to the heavens, leaving my calendar in the dust, I’m trying another cheap one. $SSYS has an average move of 9% but for 20 cents, worth the shot.

I was filled on TOS with a 1-lot for .16. Kind of crazy. The fill shows I sold the Mar08 short call for 1.49 and bought the Mar15 long call for 1.50. Only a one penny spread? Meanwhile, my order at Interactive Brokers is in for .20 and not filling. Go figure.

Bought to Open $SSYS Mar08/Mar15 26.5 #DoubleCalendar for .16, trying for more at .20

BURL trade

#Earnings Bought to open $BURL Mar 8th 167.5/172.5/175 #BrokenWingButterfly (calls) for 1.40. No upside risk…

Max loss debit paid (1.40) if below 167.25.
Breakeven 168.85.
Max gain, 3.60 if Friday pin at 172.50.
Capped gain if over 175.00, 1.10.

LABU

#ShortPuts #IRA – Sold LABU APR 18 2019 45.0 Put @ 2.70

SPX 1-dte closed

#SPX1dte Closed $SPX March 6th 2760/2740 put spreads for .40. Stop was breached earlier so I watched for a bounce opportunity. Sold yesterday for .95.

Short Puts LABU TNDM

#shortputs
$STO 3/15 59.50 puts at 1.60
$LABU STO 4/18 40 puts at 1.65

KR earnings analysis

#Earnings — $KR reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Dec. 6, 2018 BO +3.21%
Sept. 13, 2018 BO -9.92%
June 21, 2018 BO +9.74% Biggest UP
March 8, 2018 BO -12.39%
Nov. 30, 2017 BO +6.07%
Sept. 8, 2017 BO -7.50%
June 15, 2017 BO -18.89% Biggest DOWN
March 2, 2017 BO -4.33%
Dec. 1, 2016 BO +3.28%
Sept. 9, 2016 BO +0.63%
June 16, 2016 BO -0.67%
March 3, 2016 BO -7.01%

Avg (+ or -) 6.97%
Bias -3.15%, strong negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 28.80 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 26.65 to 30.95
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 26.79 to 30.81
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (18.9%): 23.36 to 34.24
Based on Max UP only (9.7%): 31.61

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX Mar6 IC closed for profit

BTC SPX Mar6 BeCS 2820/2825 @ .05 x4. Sold @ .30. Profit $100
BTC SPX Mar6 BuPS 2740/2735 @ .05 x4. Sold @ .30. Profit $100
BTC SPX Mar6 BeCS 2820/2825 @ .25 x4. Sold @ .25. Profit $80
STO SPX Mar6 BuPS 2760/2755 @ .25×4. Pending GTC order @ .05
BTO SPX Mar6 BePS 2765/2760 @ .50 x1 to convert one BuPS to bearish fly. Will keep converting BuPS to flies if price continues down.
BTO SPX Mar6 BePS 2765/2760 @ 1.00 x1 to create another fly. Moved BE on downside to SPX 2757, BE on upside to 2765 and overall max profit cut from $80 to -$70.
Flies closed for $120 loss.
Last two BuPS 2760/2755 expired for $50 profit.
Net profit for all spreads $210

#spx1dte

LABU

STO September 30 puts @2.45

BURL earnings analysis

#Earnings — $BURL reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

I’m posting this one because it has a remarkably bullish response to earnings. Also, in a very long weekly squeeze. Will probably do a bullish butterfly, or maybe try my first #JadeLizard.

Nov. 28, 2018 BO +12.78%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO -0.86%
May 31, 2018 BO +7.11%
March 8, 2018 BO +5.84%
Nov. 21, 2017 BO -1.51%
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +1.36%
May 25, 2017 BO +4.90%
March 2, 2017 BO +6.66%
Nov. 22, 2016 BO +15.98% Biggest UP
Aug. 25, 2016 BO +3.12%
May 26, 2016 BO +7.44%
March 3, 2016 BO -2.78% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 5.86%
Bias 5.00%, very strong positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 170.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 158.81 to 181.19
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 160.04 to 179.96
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (16.0%): 142.83 to 197.17
Based on Max DOWN only (-2.8%): 165.27

Open to requests for other symbols.

A TRADE:

NIO BTO STOCK @8.35 Day Trade

ANF closing, DLTR not

#Earnings #LongStraddle Sold to close half of $ANF March 8th 21.5 calls for 3.40 and 3.80. #LongStraddle bought yesterday for 2.94. Holding the rest to see how high we can go.

DLTR 95 #DoubleCalendar, front week premium not going down much yet so sitting on this one for awhile.