FDX earnings analysis

#Earnings — $FDX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Dec. 18, 2018 AC -12.16% Biggest DOWN
Sept. 17, 2018 AC -5.53%
June 19, 2018 AC -2.69%
March 20, 2018 AC -1.17%
Dec. 19, 2017 AC +3.51%
Sept. 19, 2017 AC +2.08%
June 20, 2017 AC +1.60%
March 21, 2017 AC +2.12%
Dec. 20, 2016 AC -3.33%
Sept. 20, 2016 AC +6.89%
June 21, 2016 AC -4.53%
March 16, 2016 AC +11.83% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 4.79%
Bias -0.12%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 183.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 172.73 to 193.27
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 174.24 to 191.76
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (12.2%): 160.75 to 205.25
Based on UP max only (+11.8%): 204.65

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