TSLA earnings analysis

#Earnings $TSLA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 30, 2019 AC -0.56%
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +9.13%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC +16.18% Biggest UP
May 2, 2018 AC -5.54%
Feb. 7, 2018 AC -8.62% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 1, 2017 AC -6.79%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC +6.50%
May 3, 2017 AC -5.00%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC -6.40%
Oct. 26, 2016 AC +0.87%
Aug. 3, 2016 AC +2.13%
May 4, 2016 AC -4.95%

Avg (+ or -) 6.06%
Bias -0.25%, small negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 260.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 238.89 to 281.11
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 244.25 to 275.75
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (16.2%): 217.93 to 302.07
Based on DOWN max only (-8.6%): 237.59

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