SPX Campaign Expired

#spxcampaign
$SPX 4/30 2790/2810/2950/2970 Expired. STO on 4/15 at 3.90. Thank you @jeffcp66 Somehow, I lost track of this trade. Should have been closed out earlier. Whew!

Using GOOGL To Find My Way / Sell CVX Call / Close Partial AAPL Call / Close NFLX Call / Rolling TNDM TQQQ Calls

#bullcallspreads
$GOOGL BTO 5/10 1200/1220 BUCS at 8.50
#bullputspreads
$GOOGL STO 5/3 1190/1200 BUPS at 4.50
$GOOGL STO 5/10 1165/1175 BUPS at 3.10
$GOOGL STO 6/21 1145/1160 BUPS at 4.50
May not find my way. Almost looks like I lost my mind.

#shortcalls
$CVX STO 5/3 120 call at 1.52. Sold against long 5/17 130 call position.

#longcalls Closing partial before earnings
$AAPL STC 5/17 175 call at 27.93. BTO at 9.47 on 3/11.

#coveredcalls
$NFLX BTC 5/3 385 call at .40. STO 4/23 for 6.89
Rolling
$TNDM BTC 5/3 64 calls and STO 5/17 70 calls for $1.00 debit. Earnings tonight. Not sure how smart this was. Will find out.
$TQQQ BTC 5/17 58 calls and STO 6/21 70 calls for $6.00 debit. These are sold against 1/2020 66.667 calls.

#earnings CLX

Sold June 21, 145/175 strangle for 1.50, thanks for the data Jeff.

A TRADE:

AMD STC STOCK @27.55 Earnings in 10 minutes.

CLX

Sold to open June 21, 145/175 strangle at 1.40

#earnings AMD

Kind of far out to be called an earnings trade, sold June 21, 27 straddle for 4.55

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 1st 2890/2910-2965/2980 condors for 1.10. (IV: 9.61%, SPX: 2942)

CLX dub cal

#Earnings Bought to open $CLX May03/May10 157.5 put calendars and 160 call calendars .74 total. So this is a split-strike #DoubleCalendar, a bit lower max profit but a wider profit range.

#earnings #doublecalendar FEYE

Bought double calendars for .12

WDC

BTC the June 37.5/62.5 strangle at .45 cents sod yesterday at 1.00

CLX earnings analysis

#Earnings $CLX reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Considering a #DoubleCalendar

Feb. 4, 2019 BO +5.68%
Oct. 31, 2018 BO -2.85%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO +6.17% Biggest UP
May 2, 2018 BO -0.70%
Feb. 2, 2018 BO -6.71% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 1, 2017 BO +1.17%
Aug. 3, 2017 BO +2.09%
May 3, 2017 BO +0.85%
Feb. 3, 2017 BO +4.07%
Nov. 2, 2016 BO -3.19%
Aug. 3, 2016 BO +0.99%
May 3, 2016 BO +1.94%

Avg (+ or -) 3.03%
Bias 0.79%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 158.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 152.89 to 164.11
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 153.84 to 163.46
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (6.7%): 148.00 to 169.30
Based on UP max only (+6.2%): 168.44

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX stopped out

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Apr 30th 2920/2900 put spreads for 1.95. Condors sold yesterday for .80.

TNDM earnings analysis

#Earnings $TNDM reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Pretty crazy stock. Topped out above 300 in 2009 and again in 2014, but was trading below 3.00 early last year.

Feb. 26, 2019 AC +25.19% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -1.62%
July 30, 2018 AC +10.95%
April 26, 2018 AC -2.37%
March 1, 2018 AC +14.75%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC -6.25%
July 27, 2017 AC -10.16%
April 27, 2017 AC -9.52%
March 8, 2017 AC -11.62%
Nov. 1, 2016 AC -58.87% Biggest DOWN
July 28, 2016 AC -14.78%
April 28, 2016 AC +2.29%

Avg (+ or -) 14.03%
Bias -5.17%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 63.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 55.47 to 70.53
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 54.16 to 71.84
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (58.9%): 25.91 to 100.09
Based on UP max only (+25.2%): 78.87

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings AAPL

Sold May 17, 180/200 strangle for 1.40, thanks for the data Jeff.

SPX 1-dter BeCS spx 1…

SPX 1-dter BeCS spx 1 May 2019 2965/2970 at 0.25

SPOT off

#Earnings BTC $SPOT May 3rd 127/129-145/147 #IronCondor for .25. Sold Friday for .95

AAPL earnings analysis

#Earnings $AAPL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 29, 2019 AC +6.83% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -6.63% Biggest DOWN
July 31, 2018 AC +5.89%
May 1, 2018 AC +4.41%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC -4.33%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +2.61%
Aug. 1, 2017 AC +4.72%
May 2, 2017 AC -0.30%
Jan. 31, 2017 AC +6.09%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -2.24%
July 26, 2016 AC +6.49%
April 26, 2016 AC -6.25%

Avg (+ or -) 4.73%
Bias 1.44%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 202.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 192.37 to 211.63
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 192.44 to 211.56
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (6.8%): 188.20 to 215.80
Based on DOWN max only (-6.6%): 188.61

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings WDC

Yesterday sold June 21, 37.50/62.50 strangle for 1.00, bought this morning for .51.

GOOGL down

Alphabet is going to open with its biggest earnings move DOWN since January 2012.