T Puts / Roll TNDM Puts / SPX Campaign

#shortputs
$T STO 7/19 32 puts at 1.25 Thank you @jeffcp66 for the concept
$TNDM BTC 4/18 68.50 puts and STO 4/25 68.50 puts at .99 credit

#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 4/30 2790/2810/2970/2950 IC for 3.90. Following @jeffcp66
$SPX BTC 4/15 2830/2850/2940/2920 for .85 STO on 4/12 for 1.95 Thank you @jeffcp66

TRADES:

YETI STO 4/18/19 ATM 31.5 PUTS @.90
MDLZ BTO STOCK @50.21

SPX 15-dte

#SPX1dte Sold another roll: $SPX Apr 30th 2790/2810/2950/2970 condors for 3.80. (IV: 10.85% SPX: 2902)

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX April 17th 2725/2750-2940/2965 condors for .50. Sold for 2.85 as a roll on April 1st.

UNH earnings analysis

#Earnings $UNH reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 15, 2019 BO +3.55%
Oct. 16, 2018 BO +4.73%
July 17, 2018 BO -2.60% Biggest DOWN
April 17, 2018 BO +3.57%
Jan. 16, 2018 BO +4.28%
Oct. 17, 2017 BO +5.53%
July 18, 2017 BO +0.26%
April 18, 2017 BO +0.84%
Jan. 17, 2017 BO -0.70%
Oct. 18, 2016 BO +6.90% Biggest UP
July 19, 2016 BO +1.30%
April 19, 2016 BO +2.10%

Avg (+ or -) 3.03%
Bias 2.48%, strongly positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 227.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 215.83 to 239.17
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 220.61 to 234.39
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (6.9%): 211.80 to 243.20
Based on DOWN max only (-2.6%): 221.59

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings #closing DAL April 9,…

#earnings #closing DAL

April 9, sold May 17, 52.50/60 strangle for 1.58, bought today for .98.

LABU

STO September 35 puts @ 3.20