Markets

2019-06-13_11-09-26

AVGO strangle

Borrowing another TT idea.
Sold $AVGO 7/19 230/320 strangle @ 2.92.
Earnings play but expiration in July.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX June 14th 2825/2845-2915/2935 condors for 1.00. (IV: 11.41%, SPX 2882)

AVGO condor

#Earnings Sold $AVGO 267.5/270/290/292.5 #IronCondor for 1.35. Better than 1:1, with a bullish lean.

#earnings #closing RH

bought July 19 60/140 strangle for .75, sold yesterday for 1.25.

AAL up 6.5% on JPM…

AAL up 6.5% on JPM note

IVR is only 20 though.

#earnings AVGO

Followed fuzzball but added some time and protection.

Sold July 5, 250/262.50/280/285 big lizard as they call it, I think, for 5.15 Thanks Fuzzball and Jeff.

SPX 1-dte GOOGL and AMZN For tomorrow:

Bull Put SPX sell 2850 / buy 2845 0.20 – 0.25
Bull Put AMZN sell 1835/ buy 1830 0.20-0.25
Bull Put GOOGLE sell 1075/ buy 1070 0.20-0.25

DIS covered calls

Sold $DIS 7/19 145 calls @ 1.33 (covered). This is a partial hedge against my stock position.

AVGO Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – Playing this one with max downside protection again and no upside risk. Breakeven just outside the expected move and at the 200ma…

Sold AVGO JUN 14 2019 265/280/285 Jade Lizard @ 5.10

#shortputs

Closing LULU

Bought to close $LULU 150/155/185/190 iron condor @ .45 for 80% of the max profit.

Out of the Frying Pan Closing BYND Puts

Too hot in the kitchen.

#shortputs
$BYND BTC 6/14 150 puts at 10.7. STO Monday at 10.50. If only I had an asbestos suit on. Price now at 8.60.

#closing IRBT

May 3, sold 85/125 strangle for 1.80 after an earnings drop (wasn’t quite done going down), bought today for .55.

NTES REGN UVXY

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls #DiagonalBearCallSpreads – A little bit of everything today…

Bought to Close NTES JUN 14 2019 247.5 Put @ .10 (sold for 3.40)

Bought to Close REGN JUN 14 2019 320.0 Call @ .10 (sold for 4.10)
Sold REGN JUN 28 2019 317.5 Call @ 3.13

Bought to Close UVXY JUN 14 2019 40.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 2.20 and 2.50)

LULU RH Earnings

#Earnings – No harm no foul and made a little…

Bought to Close LULU JUN 14 2019 152.5/170.0/172.5 Jade Lizard @ 2.14 (sold for 3.10)

Bought to Close RH JUN 14 2019 80.0/100.0/103.0 Jade Lizard @ 3.01 (sold for 3.15)

Looking at a similar play on AVGO now…

#earnings #closing LULU

bought July strangle for .45, sold yesterday for 1.65.

Closing RH

Bought to close $RH 8/16 75 puts @ .80. Sold for 3.10 on 4/2.

LULU Jade Lizard

#earnings
$LULU BTC 170/172.5 BUCS at 2.20 STO at 1.15. Will let the put expire and net on trade .85. Thank you @fuzzballl.
And very happy for you and the Blues.

Closing CTL

Bought to close $CTL 6/21 10 puts @ .04. Sold for .33 on 5/9.

AVGO earnings analysis

#Earnings $AVGO reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 14, 2019 AC +8.23% Biggest UP
Dec. 6, 2018 AC +0.58%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +7.69%
June 7, 2018 AC -2.53%
March 15, 2018 AC -4.81% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 6, 2017 AC 0.00%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -3.70%
June 1, 2017 AC +8.49%
March 1, 2017 AC +0.99%
Dec. 8, 2016 AC +4.90%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -2.24%
June 2, 2016 AC +4.93%

Avg (+ or -) 4.09%
Bias 1.88%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 282.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 265.11 to 299.89
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 270.94 to 294.06
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (8.5%): 258.52 to 306.48
Based on DOWN Max only (-4.8%): 268.91

Open to requests for other symbols.

#bups

IRBT closing adjusted trade

Getting out for near breakeven/small profit.
Bought to close $IRBT 7/19 90/95 strangle @ 7.05.
Original trade was short May 95 puts. Rolled down and out to June 92.50 puts, then added Jun 95 calls. Subsequently rolled the position out to July 90/95 strangle. Overall profit after adjustments is .28. Lots of work to get back to even but I’ll take it.

LULU

BTC the July 19, 130/210 strangle at .42 cents. Sold yesterday at 1.66

Hat tip to Fuzzy for the idea.

LULU

BTC $LULU 6/19 145/155 #BuPS @.10 was STO 5/20 @1.65. #earnings

YESSSS!!!!!

images

Congratulations to the St. Louis Blues

Happy for you Fuzzy, and all long-suffering Blues fans!
220px-Stanley_Cup,_2015

Game 7

I feel like I might have jinxed game 6, so I’m not gonna say anything about who’s gonna win tonight, Fuzzy. All I’ll say is enjoy the game. It’s looking to be a great one!

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX June 14th 2815/2790 put spreads for .25. Sold for 2.50 on Friday.

Expired: June 12th 2825/2845/2920/2940, sold yesterday for .95.

SPX Campaign Close Early and Expire

#spxcampaign
$SPX BTC 6/14 2815/2790 BUPS at .50. STO for 2.45 on 6/7
#optionsexpiration
$SPX 6/12 2850/2825/2920/2940

Thanks @jeffcp66

LULU earnings

Sold 6/21 150/155/185/190 iron condor @ 2.25 credit.
Stock around 170.30. Short strikes right at expected move (+/- 15 points).

Play Puts

#shortputs
$PLAY STO 7/19 40 put at 2.30.

#fallingknife PLAY is down 22%

#fallingknife
PLAY is down 22%

SQ

#ShortPuts – Completely out of this now…

Bought to Close SQ JUN 21 2019 60.0 Puts @ .10 (sold for 1.06)

Adding to DRIP

Added a bit to this position (at the highest strike in Sep). Sold 9/20 21 calls @ 2.20 with DRIP at 16.07. My previous sales were at 1.55. Still pretty far out of the money but making a strong move up on the continued hammering of oil.

RH Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizard – Never had much luck with this one but IV is high enough to give it a shot…

Sold RH JUN 14 2019 80.0/100.0/103.0 Jade Lizard @ 3.15

LULU Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – My usual. Playing max downside protection with no upside risk. Would get the stock at a basis right at the 200ma.

Sold LULU JUN 14 2019 152.5/170.0/172.5 Jade Lizard @ 3.10

#brokenwingbutterfly #shortcallspreads CMG

Combination TastyTrade/ @ramie77 concepts
Sold July 19, 785/795/795//815 butterfly for 1.00. This is profitable below 806.
Sold July 19, 800/810 call spread for 1.75.
CMG is up 7 days in a row (thought I heard of some 3 day rule), some 100 points or so.

#earnings LULU

Sold July 19, 130/210 strangle for 1.65. Thanks for the data Jeff.

FB put spread

Sold $FB 7/19 165/155 bull put spread @ 1.72.

#closing LRCX

January 23 I sold a 120/160 earnings strangle. It quickly tore threw 160 and up to 209 after April earnings.
I adjusted this trade 7 times, went inverted and assigned short shares while having a short 185 put. LRCX is down about 8 to around 180 today. I closed the position and made about $3, yes $3.00, not $300.00. It wasn’t the best use of capital as TDA was requiring over 8K in margin for awhile. However I’m unscathed and looking at LULU and RH.

RH earnings analysis

#Earnings $RH reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 28, 2019 AC -21.96%
Dec. 3, 2018 AC +10.90%
Sept. 4, 2018 AC -13.06%
June 11, 2018 AC +30.54%
March 27, 2018 AC +22.48%
Dec. 5, 2017 AC +0.79%
Sept. 6, 2017 AC +44.75% Biggest UP
June 1, 2017 AC -25.69% Biggest DOWN
March 28, 2017 AC +14.94%
Dec. 8, 2016 AC -18.13%
Sept. 8, 2016 AC +3.08%
June 8, 2016 AC -21.23%

Avg (+ or -) 18.96%
Bias 2.28%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 93.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 78.98 to 108.02
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 75.77 to 111.23
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (44.8%): 51.66 to 135.34
Based on DOWN Max only (-25.7%): 69.48

Open to requests for other symbols.

LULU earnings analysis

#Earnings $LULU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 27, 2019 AC +14.12%
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.36%
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +13.08%
May 31, 2018 AC +16.31% Biggest UP
March 27, 2018 AC +9.21%
Dec. 6, 2017 AC +6.42%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC +7.19%
June 1, 2017 AC +11.54%
March 29, 2017 AC -23.43% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 7, 2016 AC +15.04%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -10.55%
June 8, 2016 BO +4.90%

Avg (+ or -) 12.10%
Bias 4.21%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 171.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 154.13 to 187.87
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 150.32 to 191.68
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (23.4%): 130.93 to 211.07
Based on UP Max only (+16.3%): 198.89

Open to requests for other symbols.

UVXY

#DiagonalBearCallSpreads – Let’s give Mr. Market something to shoot at…

Sold UVXY JUL 5 2019 40.0 Call @ 2.00

SPX roll

#SPX1dte #Rolling Maybe a period of consolidation after hitting against 2900 resistance?

Sold $SPX June 20th (monthlys) 2765/2785/2960/2980 condors for 2.50.

CMG call spread

Borrowing an idea from Tom at TastyTrade. Sold $CMG 7/19 750/760 bear call spread @ 3.60. Stock at 729.40 up almost 15% over the last week. Daily chart shows resistance around the current price.

#assignment LRCX

I was assigned last night on LRCX, short 100 shares, at 165 from a January earnings trade gone bad that has been rolled and rolled and rolled. LRCX is at 189. I have a June 21, 185 short put and have collected $2275 in premium. This may workout ok.

Closing a VXX put spread

Hit my 50% profit target, so sold to close 6/21 32/27 bear put spread @ 3.75. Bought for 2.44 on 6/3.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX June 12th 2825/2845-2920/2940 condors for .95. (IV 11.85%, SPX 2881)

A TRADE: Thanks to Ramie…

A TRADE: Thanks to Ramie with a different expiration.
A Jade Lizard
HIIQ STO 6/21 34.0 CALL @.51
HIIQ BTO 6/21/19 CALL @.23
HIIQ STO 6/21/19 PUT @.92 =118.42 NET

BYND put spread

Sold $BYND 7/19 90/80 bull put spread @ 2.25. Going far out of the money with the short strike at 14 delta and more than 40 points out of the money.

There’s some meat on the bone with out of the money option premium. See what I did there?

Rolling BYND #ShortPuts – Jun14…

Rolling BYND #ShortPuts – Jun14 125 to Jun28 110 (bottom of the breakout level) for 1.45 credit.

EEM

#ShortPuts – Slow week so far…taking these off early.

Bought to Close EEM JUN 21 2019 39.0 Puts @ .04 (sold for .52)

A TRADE:

GOOS STO 6/14/19 35.0 PUTS @ 1.00 Near the money

TNDM Rolling Puts

#shortputs
$TNDM BTC 6/14 68.50 put and STO 6/21 68.50 put at .95 credit

AMZN Partial Close BUPS

#bups
$AMZN BTC 6/21 1750/1740 BUPS at .40. STO at 2.61 on 5/29. Thank you @ramie77

BA Close BECS / CRM BUPS

#bearcallspreads
$BA BTC 6/21 370/380 BECS at .70. STO at 1.88 on 5/23. Thank you @ramie77

#bups
$CRM STO 7/19 145/155 BUPS at 4.00

SPXpire

#SPX1dte No trades today… but this expired:
$SPX June 10th 2805/2825-2920/2940 condors, sold Friday for 1.00.

SPX 1-dte expiring

STO #spx1dte 6/10 2860/2875 #BuPS @0.85 early today. Expiring worthless.

Chipping away at an SPX #IC loss from last week that I waited too long to close.

TQQQ

STO June 21, 55 puts @ 1.15

#rolling TSLA again

May 15, sold a June 21, 180/275 strangle for 2.97, I was worried about the downside.
May 31, rolled the call down to June 21, 190 at the exact wrong time. Today I rolled it all to a July 5, inverted 185 call/200 put strangle. I have collected $2724 in premium. arrggghh

Closing a Boeing position

Bought to close $BA 6/21 330/320 bull put spread @ .28. Sold for 1.49 on 5/20.

Eaely Closings BABA EHTH

#earnings
$BABA BTC 6/21 200/145 strangle at .60 STO at 1.80. Thank you @thomberg1201

#bucs
$EHTH STC 6/21 60/70 BUCS at 8.50 BTO at 4.50 on 5/24

FIVE BUPS / LABU Covered Call

#bups
$FIVE STO 6/21 125/130 BUPS at 1.43

#coveredcalls
$LABU STO 6/14 46 call at .80

BYND Entering the Frying Pan

#shortputs
$BYND STO 6/14 150 put at 10.50

#coveredcallcampaign AVGO

Sold June 14, 297.50 call for 2.35, bringing my assigned cost basis to 295. AVGO working it’s way back up, now at 279.

Test

Test

That worked, sorry Jeff

NFLX TQQQ HIIQ Roll CC

#coveredcalls
$NFLX BTC 6/7 357.50 call and STO 6/14 365 call for even. Stock at 360.87
$TQQQ BTC 9/20 70 call and STO 7/5 60 call for even. ETF at 56.17.
$HIIQ BTC 6/21 28 call and STO 7/19 33 call for .60 debit. Stock at 29.70

Will these ever expire?

Have a wonderful weekend.

Shout out to Fuzzy

Go Blues! Great win in Boston last night, taking back home ice advantage and setting up a possible series-ending-Stanley-Cup winning game 6 at home. Scottrade Center errrr Enterprise Center will be rocking! It’s time to end the drought–Sunday night will be it.

Expiring

#OptionsExpiration #Earnings #IronCondor
$FIVE 117/120-138/141 condors, sold Wednesday for 1.31

Have a good weekend all!

ILMN

STC July 19, 320/330 call spread @ 6.50, BTO yesterday @ 4.45

Trying out HIIQ

Thanks @honkhonk81 for bringing my attention to this one.
Sold $HIIQ 7/19 jade lizard–short 26 puts + 34/37 bear call spread–for 3.20 credit.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to open $SPX June 10th 2805/2825-2920/2940 condors for 1.00. IV: 10.4%, SPX 2875.

Last Friday I sold the 2820/2800… but they were the CALL side.

HIIQ Hahaha, Jeff, did you…

HIIQ Hahaha, Jeff, did you see HIIQ, started to run as I was reading your replies. ;>) Sorry I didn’t do it now. No regrets though. Have a great weekend.

#closing CMG

May 3, sold a June 21, 685/690 put spread for 1.60. CMG went down down down, it’s recovered, trade turned profitable today, bought for 1.15. I thought I would do better, but CMG touched 636 on Monday, up to 713 now, it’s impacted by certain tweets and an African swine disease.

Econ Calendar for week of 6/10/19

Screen Shot 2019-06-07 at 10.32.49 AM
Screen Shot 2019-06-07 at 10.32.49 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=10&month=6&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

Euphoria and fear

#Market The Indices continuing a searingly bullish week, but the $VIX is spiking today as well.

I got filled on this trade as the market was going UP…

Sold $SPX June 14th 2815/2790 put spreads for 2.50. (SPX 2877)