#Earnings $UAL reports tonight morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
April 16, 2019 AC +4.77%
Jan. 15, 2019 AC +6.35%
Oct. 16, 2018 AC +5.95%
July 17, 2018 AC +8.78% Biggest UP
April 17, 2018 AC +4.81%
Jan. 23, 2018 AC -11.44%
Oct. 18, 2017 AC -12.07% Biggest DOWN
July 18, 2017 AC -5.90%
April 17, 2017 AC -4.26%
Jan. 17, 2017 AC +0.35%
Oct. 17, 2016 BO -0.31%
July 19, 2016 BO +0.29%
Avg (+ or -) 5.44%
Bias -0.22%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 93.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 88.53 to 97.47
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 87.94 to 98.06
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (12.1%): 81.77 to 104.23
Based on UP Max only (+8.8%): 101.17
Open to requests for other symbols.