fuzzballl 1:05 pm on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

WYNN Earnings

Finally confirmed…

LAS VEGAS–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Wynn Resorts, Limited(WYNN) announced today that it will release the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2019 after the market close on Tuesday, August 6, 2019, followed by a conference call at 1:30 p.m. PT (4:30 p.m. ET).

The call will be broadcast live at www.wynnresorts.com under the “Company Information” section. Interested parties may also dial (888) 455-5965 or, for international callers, (773) 799-3869. The conference call access code is 3983556.

A replay of the call will be available through September 8, 2019 by dialing (888) 567-0385 or, for international callers, (402) 998-1755. The replay access code is 9694971. The call will also be archived at www.wynnresorts.com.

fuzzballl 12:51 pm on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,108 ), JadeLizard ( 130 )

AAPL Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizard – The usual. Playing for a down move just outside the expected move with no upside risk. Going out to Aug monthly for a little more room.

Sold AAPL AUG 16 2019 195.0/212.5/215.0 Jade Lizard @ 2.51

Jeff 12:18 pm on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX July 31st 2945/2965-3050/3070 condors for 1.20. IV 14.64%, SPX 3013.

Juicy premium due to the Fed announcement. I think everyone knows what the decision will be, but no one knows what it will do to the market once they confirm it. My guess is: not much. But I’ll be prepared if I’m wrong.

Jeff 12:04 pm on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,108 )

ADP earnings analysis & trade

#Earnings $ADP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 1, 2019 BO -4.20%
Jan. 30, 2019 BO +4.03%
Oct. 31, 2018 BO +4.96%
Aug. 1, 2018 BO -1.76%
May 2, 2018 BO +2.74%
Jan. 31, 2018 BO +2.33%
Nov. 2, 2017 BO -0.91%
July 27, 2017 BO +9.10% Biggest UP
May 3, 2017 BO -6.24% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 1, 2017 BO -5.68%
Nov. 2, 2016 BO +3.52%
July 28, 2016 BO -3.37%

Avg (+ or -) 4.07%
Bias 0.38%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 166.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 159.56 to 172.44
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 159.24 to 172.76
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (9.1%): 150.89 to 181.11
Based on DOWN max only (-6.2%): 155.64

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

thomberg1201 12:00 pm on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

#earnings AAPL

Sold Sept. 20, 190/225 strangle for 3.64. Thanks for the data Jeff.

MikeL 10:46 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Anyone selling puts on COF?

thomberg1201 10:44 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

#earnings EA

Sold Sept. 20, 75/100 strangle for 1.79, just outside the 1 day max moves. Thanks for the data Jeff.

Ramie 10:43 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

DRIP candle

A huge red candle printing on the daily chart, down around 15% today. This is the type of volatility that kills the long side of these ETFs. Just to recover and get back to the highs from this morning/yesterday, DRIP will have to increase more than 20%.

fuzzballl 10:41 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: ContangoETFs ( 446 ), ShortCalls ( 979 )

DRIP

#ContangoETFs #ShortCalls – Now that’s a pretty red bar!

Jeff 10:30 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,108 )

EA earnings analysis

#Earnings $EA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 7, 2019 AC +1.24%
Feb. 5, 2019 AC -13.30% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 30, 2018 AC -4.05%
July 26, 2018 AC -5.70%
May 8, 2018 AC +5.74%
Jan. 30, 2018 AC +6.95%
Oct. 31, 2017 AC -4.28%
July 27, 2017 AC +0.55%
May 9, 2017 AC +12.65% Biggest UP
Jan. 31, 2017 AC -0.51%
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +1.64%
Aug. 2, 2016 AC +2.40%

Avg (+ or -) 4.92%
Bias 0.28%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 88.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 82.17 to 93.83
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 83.67 to 92.33
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.3%): 76.30 to 99.70
Based on UP max only (+12.7%): 99.13

Open to requests for other symbols.

jsd501 10:29 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

NUGT

STC, August 16, 30 calls At 5.10, these were bought at 4.50

Jeff 10:05 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

EXAS not reporting today

$EXAS reported Monday morning, so please ignore its presence on the chart for today.

Lesserweavil 9:57 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

NUGT – Roll

Rolled 8/2/2019 34 Calls (Covered) for 8/9/2019 34.5 calls @0.40. Overall Cost basis @31.53.

Ramie 8:32 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Peeling off a little NUGT

Lightening things just a bit. Bought to close $NUGT 9/20 54 calls @ .68. Sold for 1.40.

thomberg1201 8:23 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

#perpetualrollingstrangles TSLA

Bringing back a hashtag from the past. Rolled inverted 185 call/200 put from Aug. 16 to Sept. 20 for 5.26. I’ve brought in $4,160 in premium, huge margin hog for me at $10,000 with the stock around 240. Started in May as a 180p/275c strangle.

Jeff 8:05 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,108 )

BYND closed

#Earnings Bought to close $BYND 145/175-230/232.5 Broken-Wing Condors for 1.45. Sold for 3.87 yesterday.

Jeff 7:50 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,108 )

AAPL earnings analysis

#Earnings $AAPL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 30, 2019 AC +4.90%
Jan. 29, 2019 AC +6.83% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -6.63% Biggest DOWN
July 31, 2018 AC +5.89%
May 1, 2018 AC +4.41%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC -4.33%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +2.61%
Aug. 1, 2017 AC +4.72%
May 2, 2017 AC -0.30%
Jan. 31, 2017 AC +6.09%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -2.24%
July 26, 2016 AC +6.49%

Avg (+ or -) 4.62%
Bias 2.37%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 207.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 197.49 to 217.51
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters:197.91 to 217.09
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.8%): 193.33 to 221.67
Based on DOWN max only (-6.6%): 193.74

Open to requests for other symbols.

fuzzballl 7:41 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019

WYNN Earnings

Up to their old tricks again. All sorts of earnings dates out there. TOS shows Aug 1st unconfirmed and Fidelity shows today. IV on the option chain would lead me to believe it’s next week. C’mon WYNN get your sh#t together!

fuzzballl 7:26 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: ShortPuts ( 4,763 )

NVDA

#ShortPuts – I just don’t feel right when I don’t have a position in this one. One of my top performers last 2 years so jumping back in for (hopefully) a quickie prior to earnings.

Sold NVDA AUG 09 2019 167.5 Put @ 2.00

Lesserweavil 7:21 am on Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Tags: BECS ( 60 ), BUPS ( 400 )

BYND

BTC 205/215 Aug 16 2019 #BeCS @2.75. Originally STO as Jul 26 195/205 @1.25 credit, Rolled to the Aug 19 @2.05 debit, so I’m down 3.55 overall, but wanted out.

Holding a 155/165 Aug 16 2019 #BuPS STO yesterday for @2.07.